brianwspencer |
04-24-2009 05:44 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Travis Stone
Hillswick, who ran third to Hull in his FG win, has since lost twice. Once on the weeds and once at Woodbine. Rendevous, who was fourth, is now a $15k maiden claimer. And the Turfway race, while impressive on paper, was a trounce of a $30k maiden from Ellis and a 2-for-16 $25k claimer from Hawthorne.
He's going to see early speed like he never has before and I think he's a good bet against at anything short.
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None of which is news to me.
And I wasn't actually that impressed with the Turfway race on paper, but he's bred to be a better horse on conventional dirt anyway. On the other hand, I couldn't have been any more impressed with his debut and the way he did it.
He stopped the clock in a wicked time that day. Down the Road won a maiden race earlier that day in 1:12 and came right back to win. Cush won a high-end statebred allowance race in 1:10.3, and he rattled off three huge, very fast races all meet. The Pan Zareta stakes for older fillies and mares went in 1:11.
All of which didn't touch Hull's 1:10.2.
I know raw times are subject to analysis, but it's not like he just scored an impressive running line because he beat a bunch of nobodies....he ran like hell, putting away horses he was supposed to put away if he was any good, killed the clock, and then took a bit of a step back on a surface he arguably will like less in his second start.
He hasn't done anything wrong yet, and he's undoubtedly still got room to improve and we're not sure where his ceiling is yet. I freely admit in my analysis of this race that's out there right now that he's taking a huge step up here...but he's exciting, and there's no way at all of knowing what he's capable of. So until I find out that he's capable of losing, I'll stick with him.
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