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-   -   3/11: Aqueduct/Gulfstream (Late P4's) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=28347)

Kasept 03-11-2009 06:25 AM

3/11: Aqueduct/Gulfstream (Late P4's)
 
Race week kicks off with excellent ALW features in the late P4's at both Aqueduct and Gulfstream Wednesday. Thursday, Oaklawn and Santa Anita's featured events include Proud Spell's 4 year old debut at Hot Springs, while Mast Track, Monterey Jazz and more face off in a $63k stakes quality ALW.

Saturday of course, the Derby Trail and spring racing kicks into third gear with a head-spinning Louisiana Derby Day card, the Rebel, Tampa Bay Derby and San Felipe... A lot to look forward to, but to start, a pair of tricky Quads at Ozone Park and Hallandale.


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Volos 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Api Mohkat 6-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Double or Nothing 3-1 WON


7th: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Smokin Sarah 4-1 4th
Next Best: #8 I Promise 3-1 5th
Also Consider: #1 Jovanna 5-2 6th


8th: OC/N3X, 4+, 6f (DD)

This is a terrifc third level ALW race with enough pace balance to generate several scenarios. Should Accredit and Trophy Road hook up, with potential for Dubai Distinction to possibly jump in, it will set things up for any of the solid stalker or closer types (as long as the track is playing evenly)..

Most Likely: #3 Mr. Madison 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Accredit 3-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Trophy Road 6-1 7th


9th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #6 Sunday Dreamer 9-2 WON
Next Best: #10 Bentbutnotbroken 3-1 4th
Best Value: #11 Amaysing Orphan 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Run From Hell 4-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (6-11) Paid $18.00
$1 Trifecta (6-11-8) Paid $99.00
$1 Superfecta (6-11-8-10) Paid $222.50




<$75 P4 Play:

6: 4-5-9
7: 1-3-8
8: 2-3-5-6
9: 6-10

3x3x4x2 = $72



GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 1m (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Norrissun 5-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Lizzie Grey 6-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Puttingonthemist 3-1 8th
Super Add: #7 Ruby's Tune 8-1 3rd


7th: CLM, 4+, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #12 Hard Top 3-1 WON
Best Value: #10 Grand 5-1 6th
Next Best: #8 True Dancer 4-1 8th
Super Add: #4 Leadwithyourchin 8-1 5th


8th: OC/N$Y, 4+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Captivating Cat 3-1 7th
Best Value: #5 Coach Jimi Lee 6-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Repenting 4-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Disco's Son 5-1 WON


9th: CLM, 4+, 8.5f-T (Super)

SCR Favorite #7 National Captain..

Most Likely: #14 Tiger Woodman 8-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Demeteor 10-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Headsandtales 6-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Harry T 8-1 WON

$1 Exacta (8-14) Paid $45.40


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-6-7-8-9
7: 8-10-12
8: 7
9: 4-5-8-12-14

5x3x1x5 = $75 ($37.50 for .50)


Good luck!
Steve

Bigsmc 03-11-2009 07:43 AM

How old is Coach Jimi Lee?

9? 10?

Bogey 03-11-2009 08:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc
How old is Coach Jimi Lee?

9? 10?

9, makes his 45th career start today.

Bigsmc 03-11-2009 08:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bogey
9, makes his 45th career start today.

Thanks Gus, seems like he's been running forever and that's nice to see.

Kasept 03-11-2009 10:35 AM

AQU SCR'S:

6th: 3-6

7th: 7

8th: 1a-4

9th: 3-5

pointman 03-11-2009 10:44 AM

Taking a stab with Cat Grace in the Aqueduct 4th today, 8-1 ML. Wide post and wide trip against the inside speed bias last time.

Kasept 03-11-2009 11:30 AM

Gulfstream -- Wednesday, March 11, 2009

Track: Fast Turf: Firm Rail 84 Feet

Race 1: Scratch #3
Jockey Change #8 Manny Aguilar

Race 2: Scratch #4
Jockey Change: #8 Manoel Cruz 122 lbs
Overweights: #5 - +2 lbs #6 - +2 lbs

Race 4: Scratch #7
Jockey Change: #2 TBA

Race 5: Scratch #12
Jockey Change #10 Manoel Cruz

Race 6: Scratch #3

Race 7: Scratch #5 #11

Race 9: Scratch #7 #11 #13
Jockey Change: Alan Garcia

Coach Pants 03-11-2009 02:31 PM

Dominguez is having an off day.

gales0678 03-11-2009 02:32 PM

was there interference here in the 6th?

declansharbor 03-11-2009 02:32 PM

Gulfstream late 4's and R8 exacta

.50

2,6,7,8
2,8,10,12
2,3,5,7
1

$1

2,4,8
4,7,8,12
7
1,8,14

$1

2,8
8,12
3,4,7
14

R8

$10 exacta box 3 with 2,7

$120 total...Best of luck Steve and all else playing today!!

gales0678 03-11-2009 02:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
Dominguez is having an off day.

what was that move on the backside ramon?

Coach Pants 03-11-2009 02:35 PM

I don't think it was his fault. He was on a scared horse that got bullied by the 9 the whole trip.

herkhorse 03-11-2009 03:11 PM

I'm liking the 9-1 on Leadwithyourchin in the 7th. Hoping he doesn't get too far behind early. 10 win 15 place tri key 4/3-8-10-12

declansharbor 03-11-2009 03:50 PM

What a f'in joke that was. (R8)

Coach Pants 03-11-2009 04:03 PM

SA 3
Blasterman
$50 win

ateamstupid 03-11-2009 04:05 PM

Can anyone explain how Hard Top didn't get claimed in the seventh?

Coach Pants 03-11-2009 04:08 PM

Oh well wasn't going to win regardless of Gryder's boneheaded move to rate a speed horse. That's why you hardly ever win races, Gryder.

declansharbor 03-11-2009 04:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Can anyone explain how Hard Top didn't get claimed in the seventh?

I, too, was shocked there wasnt a claim. Maybe it was the HUGE drop that red-flagged potential suitors. Seems like this level, or maybe one or two rungs up the ladder is where he belongs.

declansharbor 03-11-2009 04:18 PM

Piss-poor ticket structuring continues to haunt me...UGGHHHH...

DJARUM 03-11-2009 04:24 PM

SA Race 4 Doggie Bear


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