3/7: AQU (R5-10); GP (R8-11); Magna 5; SA (R5-11)
 

Full day of outstanding action Saturday starts with intriguing Gotham and Toboggan stakes card at Aqueduct which is now enhanced by $109,000 Carryover as well as another guaranteed Late P4.. The Magna 5 looks very difficult once again this week with a good listed stake at Laurel (9th) starting things off before the Honest Lady at Santa Anita (5th), a Gulfstream ALW (9th), Golden Gate ALW headscratcher (5th) and Arcadia downhill course finale (6th).. Gulfstream has also managed to accrue a $68,000 carryover for it's P6after Friday's quirky results.. And of course the day continues at Santa Anita for the Gr. I trio of the Oaks, Kilroe and Big Cap.. Should be a fabulous afternoon and evening!


AQUEDUCT


5th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Very tough start to the P6 with in-and-out $10k claimers..

Most Likely: #6 Make the Point 5-1 WON
Next Best: #1e Contessa entry 3-1 7th/12th
Best Value: #3 Spring Meadows 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 True Rebel 4-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (6-4) Paid $17.90
$1 Trifecta (6-4-3) Box Paid $57.25


6th: OC/C, 3yo, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Fellow Crasher 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Higher Place 6-1 8th
Best Value: #3 Wild Proof 12-1 9th
Super Add: #8 Counter Move 8-1 WON

$1 Exacta (8-9) Paid $26.75


7th: NYB-MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 For Love Alone 6-1 5th
Most Likely: #2 Not Ja Mama 7-2 3rd
Next Best: SCR #1 Sub #8 Jet's Tradition 8-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Lilith's Dream 15-1 8th


8th: 116th Toboggan H. (Gr. II), 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

An unbelievably balanced and confusing edition of this legendary race..

Best Value: #2 Eternal Star 9-2 2nd
Most Likely: #1 Driven by Success 7-2 5th
Next Best: #9 Ah Day 8-1 WON
Super Add: #3 Place Your Bet 12-1 9th

$1 Exacta (9-2) Paid $44.25



9th: 57th Gotham (Gr. II), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Mr. Fantasy 7-2: State bred horse to beat; Tight and fast; 3rd
Best Value: #6 Haynesfield 5-1: Consistency earns NYB respect.. 8th
Next Best: #3 Masala 5-1: 2nd to Sham runner-up/barnmate last.. 4th
Super Add: #2 Russell Road 20-1: WV bred will light board if OK routing.. 5th


10th: CLM, 4+, 1m-70y (Super)

Most Likely: #7 Dreamin of Victory 7-2 5th
Best Value: #6 K. R.'s Regent 4-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Military Major 5-2 DNF
Super Add: #9 Fregata 12-1 2nd


<$200 P6 Play:

5: 1-3-6
6: 5-9
7: 2-6
8: 1-2-3-9
9: 5
10: 6-7

3x2x2x4x1x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 2-6
8: 1-2-3-4-5-6-8-9
9: 5
10: 1-6-7

2x8x1x3 = $48



GULFSTREAM


8th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (.50 P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Custom for Carlos 5-2 WON
Next Best: #4 Dubinsky 6-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Bear's Prospector 12-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Big Top 4-1 9th


9th: OC/N$Y, 4+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 B. B. Best 5-2 5th
Best Value: #4 Wicked B. Havior 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Dream Maestro 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Discreet Treasure 5-1 WON


10th: 24th Honey Fox (Gr. II), F&M-4+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Wild Promises 5-2
Best Value: #4 Audacious Chloe 12-1
Next Best: #1 I Lost My Choo 8-1 WON
Super Add: #5 Love Cove 12-1


11th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (Super)

Most Likely: #1 Galligan Road 5-2 4th
Next Best: #5 Antitrust 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Unbridled Cardinal 20-1 7th
Super Add: #4 San Valentino 3-1 WON


<$75 .50 P4 Play:

8: 4-7-10
9: 1-2-3-4
10: 1-2-4-5-9-15
11: 1-5

3x4x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72



MAGNA 5


A.) LRL 9th: The Wide Country, 3yo-F, 7f (Super)

Best Value: #2 SAARLIGHT 4-1 WON
Most Likely: #9 Strut the Canary 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #8 Huge 5-1 7th
Super Add: #7 Fondant 10-1 4th


B.) SA 5th: Honest Lady, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Foxy Danseur 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Starry Pursuit 5-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Moonshine Alice 9-2 6th
Super Add: #9 Highland Torree 8-1 5th


C.) GP 9th: OC/N$Y, 4+, 1m (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #3 B. B. Best 5-2 5th
Best Value: #4 Wicked B. Havior 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Dream Maestro 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Discreet Treasure 5-1 WON


D.) GG 5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #3 Flighty Girl 6-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Dizzy Up the Girl 8-1 11th
Next Best: #10 Storm Queen 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Dynamatic 7-2 5th
High 5 Play: #1 Persian Honey 12-1 9th


E.) SA 6th: Cal-OC/N1X, 4+, 6.5f-DHT (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Deputy Flyer 5-1 10th
Best Value: #1 Hannah's Classy Boy 15-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Buck's Bro 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 No Sweat 10-1 7th


$200 Magna 5 Play:

A: 2
B: 1-3-4-5-9
C: 1-2-3-4
D: 2-3
E: 1-4-6-7-8

1x5x4x2x5 = $200



SANTA ANITA


5th: 2nd Honest Lady, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Foxy Danseur 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Starry Pursuit 5-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Moonshine Alice 9-2 6th
Super Add: #9 Highland Torree 8-1 5th


6th: Cal-OC/N1X, 4+, 6.5f-DHT (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Deputy Flyer 5-1 10th
Best Value: #1 Hannah's Classy Boy 15-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Buck's Bro 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 No Sweat 10-1 7th


7th: 70th Santa Anita Oaks (Gr. I), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Stardom Bound 2-5 WON
Best Value: #4 Hooh Why 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Will O Way 8-1 9th
Super Add: #8 Beltene 15-1 6th


8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1e Baffert entry 3-1 4th/10th
Next Best: #6 Cherokee Artist 4-1 WON
Best Value: #11 Sensational Score 12-1 6th
Super Add: #10 Limestone Edge 6-1 11th


9th: 9th Kilroe Mile (Gr. I), 4+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Expect #2 Mast Track to SCR.. A must-use if he goes however..

Most Likely: #1 Ventura 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Global Hunter 8-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Gio Ponti 6-1 WON
Super Add: #5 Wise River 15-1 9th


10th: 72nd Santa Anita H. (Gr. I), 4+, 10f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Matto Mondo 6-1: Mandella has 5yo perfect; Pace edge on lead.. 3rd
Best Value: #12 Zambezi Sun 12-1: Expect less eager effort in 2nd U.S. try.. 9th
Next Best: #8 Einstein 6-1: Pitts veteran too tough and versatile to exclude.. WON
Super Add: #11 Court Vision 6-1: If 'turf' race pace unfolds, Dominguez factors in.. 7th


11th: CLM, 4+, 1m-T (Super High 5)

Most Likely: #7 Rathor 6-1 8th
Best Value: #10 Plug Me In 10-1 10th
Next Best: #4 Mt. Orient 7-2 12th
Exotics Use: #9 Soupy 5-1 2nd
High 5 Play: #2 Macduff 6-1 4th


<$200 P6 Play:

6: 1-4-7-8
7: 1-4
8: 1
9: 1-9
10: 1-12
11: 4-7-10

4x2x1x2x2x3 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 1-6
9: 1-9-11
10: 1-8-11-12
11: 4-7-10

2x3x4x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Steve

I believe Cherokee Artist is the #6 in race 8 at SA. Also, Einstein should be #8.

Just a heads up.

Good luck today!

Steve,

Quick question...Why B.B. Best most likely in the 9th at Gulfstream? Looking back over his lifetime PP's, he seems to regress heavily off his comebacker.

Did a quick Formulator search on Plesa, over the last 5 years, 2nd off the layoff on dirt, at a mile or more, he is 3% with a ROI of $0.65.

I keep coming back to Song Shan. Has some early foot, and putting Lynch under tha same query, he comes back 38% with an ROI of $1.95. If you replace route with going sprint to route, he is 40% with a $3.04 ROI.

Just wanted to understand why you put B.B. on top.

Thanks!

Love Song shan today. Should be a fair price, too.

what's the deal with Mast Track? why is he expected to scratch.
i was planning to key on him pretty heavy.

He's the fastest horse with anything near his best. Thought Plesa bringing him back fairly quick and raising him in class were positive signs that he's come back nicely off the return race. This is a very difficult group. I wouldn't be shocked by anyone winning it.

Rick Hammerle told me yesterday on "At the Races" that Frankel was leaning towards scratching as opposed to running him versus Ventura.

okay thanks, we'll just have to see then.
Ventura is really good but i think she's going to have a tough go of it today.

ANDY SERLING'S & ERIC DONOVAN'S SATURDAY SELECTIONS

http://www.nyra.com/aqueduct/stories...ngHorses.shtml



AQU SCR'S

http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/AQU-changes.asp

6TH:
2 Hatfield Early

7TH:
1 Imthequeenofqueens Early
4 Pebo's Jet Early
12 Olde Glamour Early

10TH:
1A Tour of the Cat Early
2 (poe) Gift of Valor Early

Gulfstream's Early Changes: Saturday, March 7

NOTE: Yesterday a key SCR was missing from the GP website. Check your ADW change listing to ensure accuracy...


Track: Fast Turf: Firm Rail: 60 Feet

Race 2:
Jockey Change: #7 J C Sanchez

Race 4: Scratch #13 #14 #15 #16
Jockey Change: #5 P. Monterrey 121 lbs

Race 5: Scratch #1 (POE) #2

Race 6: Scratch #2 #13 #15 #16
Jockey Change: #14 Paco Lopez

Race 7: Scratch #2 #6

Race 9:
Jockey Change: #6 Manoel Cruz 124 lbs

Race 10: Scratch #3 #6 #14
Jockey Change: 13 TBA

Race 11: No Changes


__________________________________________________ _________________________________


MAGNA 5 SCR/CHG'S:
http://www.magna5.com/scratches.aspx


MAGNA PP's
http://www.xpressbet.com/ed/downloads/m5pp0307.pdf


__________________________________________________ ________________________________________


SANTA ANITA

Scratches

Race 1 #14 Niger River, #11 Road to the Throne

Race 2 #8 Premium Quality

Race 6 #13 Brian the Bold, #14 Complexity

Race 7 #10 Acronym

Race 8 #12 Rocket Legs, #13 Zappa

Race 9 #2 Mast Track, #3 Monterey Jazz

Race 10 #5 Colonel John

Race 11 #14 Salty Humor, #13 Rivergrade Boy

Aqueduct
Race 1 $5 Pick 3
4,5
7
4,5

$20

Aqueduct Early P-3
 

1-3-4-5-7
5
1-4-5
$15
Good Luck All!

Steve, thanks so much for posting Andy's and Eric's pick, thanks to them both using the #1 in third in the first I caught a $1 tri paid $231!:)

Good work! It's my pleasure, but of course it's Andy and Eric that did the hard part... Both had the top 4 finishers in their tabs for that very generous triple. Andy liked the $13+ winner more than Eric.

steve in the 6th at san anita deputy flyer is the #8 and buck's bro is the 7

this changes the #'s in the pick6 and magna

Thx Tony..

Magna was actually OK as I'm using 5 in that last leg including the 6-7-8, but it did affect the SA P6 numbers.

G/L today...

Saturday Plays
 

$1 Magna 5

Leg a -
9 - Strut the Canary
2 - Saarlight
5 - Haley's Lolipop

Leg b -
3 - Foxy Danseur

Leg c -
5 - Song Shan
1 - Dream Maestro
7- Admirality

Leg d -
10 - Storm Queen
3 - Flighty Girl

Leg e -
12 - Tribal Justice
6 - Swift Demand
1 - Hannah's Classy Boy

$54 for $1

Aqueduct Late PK 4

Race 7 - 2,3,6,11
Race 8 - 1,2,9
Race 9 - 5,7
Race 10 - 1,6

$48 for $1

Santa Anita late PK 4

Race 8 -
1entry - Riley Tucker, Malt Magic
6 - Cherokee Artist
8 - Soul City Slew
10 - Limestone Edge

Race 9 -
1 - Ventura

Race 10 -
7 - Blue Exit
8 - Einstein
12 -Zambezi Sun
9 - Dasant
11 - Court Vision

Race 11
4 - Mt. Orient
7 - Rathor

$40 for $1

Good Luck Everyone!

AQU Pick 4
 

Race 7

2,6,9
1,2,5,9
2,5,7,8
1,10

$96

Aqueduct
pick 4
2,6,8
1,2,5,6,8
5,7
1,7
$60

Pk3 r7 AQU

6
12479
279