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-   -   2/7: FG; SA; Magna 5; Whirlaway-AQU; Essex-OP (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=27719)

Kasept 02-07-2009 04:29 AM

2/7: FG; SA; Magna 5; Whirlaway-AQU; Essex-OP
 
FAIR GROUNDS


5th: 22nd Colonel Power, 4+, 5.5f-T (.50 P5, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Chamberlain Bridge 2-1: Should kick off big double for Calhoun.. WON
Next Best: #1 Storm Treasure 8-5: Always fires but no pace to chase.. DH-3RD
Best Value: #6 Acting Zippy 10-1: Step slow but arching back to big try.. 6TH
Super Add: #2 Grand Traverse 8-1: Value include was OK turf sprinting 2 back.. 2ND

$1 Exacta (5-2) Paid $15.90
$1 Trifecta (5-2-1) Paid $18.50



6th: 24th Mineshaft (Gr. II), 4+, 8.5f (.50 P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Honest Man 5-2: Jones poised for possible stakes triple.. WON
Best Value: #1 Secret Getaway 9-2: Wins with Tenacious repeat; Saves ground.. 5TH
Next Best: #2 Good and Lucky 6-1: Louisiana H. winner as eligible here as top 2.. 2ND
Super Add: #5 My Pal Charlie 7-2: Tough spot for Super Derby winner's return.. 4TH

$1 Exacta (8-2) Paid $20.80


7th: 22 Fair Grounds H. (Gr. III), 4+, 9f-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #1e Frostad entry 5-2 2ND/6TH
Best Value: #7 Demarcation 9-2 7th
Next Best: #4 Corrupt 3-1 3RD
Super Add: #2 Jimmy Simms 4-1 5TH


8th: 28th Silverbulletday (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 8.5f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Just Jenda 2-1: Righted ship here last after Delta misstep.. 3RD
Best Value: #4 Flying Spur 6-1: Needs to show jump up last wasn't slop only.. 4TH
Next Best: #3 War Echo 9-2: Note older brother liked this strip; On upswing.. WON
Super Add: #1 Four Gifts 3-1: DeD heroine was even throughout in local prep.. 2ND

$1 Exacta (3-1) Paid $19.50
$1 Trifecta (3-1-7) Paid $40.20
$1 Superfecta (3-1-7-4) Paid $140.50



9th: 36th Risen Star (Gr. III), 3yo, 8.5f (P3, Super)

Best Value: #2 Indygo Mountain 10-1: Appears over bruise; Toss LeComte disaster.. 7TH
Most Likely: #7 Giant Oak 3-1: Block IL-bred may need one but working well.. 5TH
Next Best: #5 Uno Mas 8-1: One of three Steve A. runners; Steadily improving.. 3RD
Super Add: #10 Soul Warrior 15-1: Saw Free Country in debut; Won 2 turn bow.. 6TH


<$75 P5 Play:

5: 1-5
6: 1-2-8
7: 1-2-4-7
8: 7
9: 2-4-5-6-7-10

2x3x4x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-4-5-8
7: 1-2-4-7
8: 7
9: 2-4-5-6-7

5x4x1x5 = 100 x .50 = $50


10th: LA-ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Ide Better Run 7-2 10TH
Best Value: #5 Tiffany Marie 15-1 2ND
Next Best: #9 Little Springer 4-1 6TH
Super Add: #8 Like a Butterfly 6-1 9TH


11th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #2 Hillswick 5-2 3RD
Best Value: #9 Rondevous 6-1 4TH
Next Best: #5 Hull 4-1 WON
Super Add: #7 Outta Speight 6-1


<$50 P4 Play:

8: 7
9: 2-4-5-6-7-10
10: 3-5-8-9
11: 2-5-7-9

1x6x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48



AQUEDUCT


8th: 30th Whirlaway, 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Peace Town 2-1: Trombetta up from FL to saddle MD juvy champ.. 4TH
Next Best: #1 Haynesfield 1-1: Speightstown red testing stamina limits; Go against.. WON
Best Value: #6 Cellar Dweller 10-1: Paraneck bay exits hot affair; Could boost tri.. 2ND

$1 Exacta (1-6) Paid $11.10



OAKLAWN


9th: 61st Essex H., 4+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Golden Yank 5-2: One of my favorite horses; Always fires.. 2ND
Best Value: #3 Solar Flare 9-2: Jones awfully busy for a guy that was retiring.. 7TH
Next Best: #8 Telling 3-1: Hobby's under-rated 5yo is 3 for 3 at Hot Springs.. 8TH
Super Add: #4 Prom Shoes 10-1: NoLa turf try a flop, but expect better here.. WON

$1 Exacta (4-2) Paid $43.50



MAGNA 5


LRL 9th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 7f

Most Likely: #1 Madman 9-5 3RD
Best Value: #8 Celery Salt 9-2 6TH
Next Best: #2 SCR
Super Add: #7 Lamster 6-1 5TH


SA 4th: MSW, 3yo, 5.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Supreme Summit 3-1 WON
Best Value: #2 Late SCR
Next Best: #4 More Than Class 4-1 4TH
Super Add: #5 Dixie Passion 5-1 5TH


GP 9th: Tallahassee, 4+, 1m-T

Most Likely: #3 Smooth Air 7-2 2ND
Best Value: #4 Frisco Star 15-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Vanquisher 12-1 WON
Super Add: #10 Fearless Eagle 8-1 6th

$1 Exacta (6-3) Paid $32.00


GG 4th: S/ALW, 4+, 6f

Most Likely: #10 Saipan 5-2 WON
Best Value: #5 Razor Cut 15-1 5TH
Next Best: #8 Tijuana Tuesday 2-1 3RD
Super Add: #6 Tritium 10-1 2ND

$1 Exacta (10-6) Paid $32.90
$1 Trifecta (10-6-8) Paid $138.60



SA 5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Cato Major 7-2 2ND
Best Value: #8 Good Shot Molly 15-1 6TH
Next Best: #9 Aunt Pink 8-1 10TH
Super Add: #11 Bien Dulce 20-1 11TH


<$150 Magna 5 Play:

A: 1-7-8
B: 2-4-10
C: 3-4
D: 5-6-8-10
E: 6-8

3x3x2x4x2 = $144




SANTA ANITA


1st: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T (P4, P3, Place Pick All, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Herr Mozart 7-2 WON
Best Value: #5 Snowmaster 6-1 2ND
Next Best: #4 Millenium Lakes 9-2 3RD
Super Add: #9 Joking Sam 8-1 5TH

$1 Exacta (3-5) Paid $15.50
$1 Trifecta (3-5-4) Paid $31.50



2nd: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Belafonte 7-2 4TH
Most Likely: #5 Riley Tucker 7-5 WON
Next Best: #6 A Lil Dumaani 5-2 2ND

$1 Exacta (5-6) Paid $3.30


3rd: CLM, 4+, 6.5f-DHT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 SCR
Best Value: #6 Bestdressed 8-1 2ND
Next Best: #2 Ukiah 6-1 3RD
Super Add: #10 Street Lights 12-1 9TH


SA 4th: MSW, 3yo, 5.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Supreme Summit 3-1 WON
Best Value: #2 Late SCR
Next Best: #4 More Than Class 4-1 4TH
Super Add: #5 Dixie Passion 5-1 5TH


<$75 P4 Play:

1: 3-4-5
2: 1-5
3: 2-6-[9/SCR]-10
4: 2-[4/Late SCR]-10

3x2x3x3 = $54


SA 5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Cato Major 7-2 2ND
Best Value: #8 Good Shot Molly 15-1 6TH
Next Best: #9 Aunt Pink 8-1 10TH
Super Add: #11 Bien Dulce 20-1 11TH


6th: 27th Las Virgenes (Gr. I), 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Stardom Bound 3-5 WON
Best Value: #7 Saucey Evening 8-1 3RD
Next Best: #9 Pinkarella 8-1 8TH
Super Add: #1 SCR


7th: 6th Thunder Road (Gr. III), 4+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Ferneley 6-1
Most Likely: #9 Matto Mondo 9-2 WON
Next Best: #4 Monterey Jazz 5-1
Super Add: #7 Dilemma 8-1 4TH


8th: 71st Bob Lewis (Gr. II), 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Pioneerof the Nile 2-1 WON
Best Value: #9 Charlie's Moment 20-1
Next Best: #4 I Want Revenge 5-2
Super Add: #8 Shafted 8-1


9th: 62nd Strub (Gr. II), 4yo, 9f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Nownownow 8-1
Most Likely: #8 Cowboy Cal 9-2 WON
Next Best: #5 Gio Ponti 7-2
Super Add: #11 Cherokee Artist 30-1


10th: MDN CLM, 4+, 6f (Super High 5)

Most Likely: #2 Thornmark 3-1
Best Value: #4 The Emerald King 6-1
Next Best: #6 Sailboat Sam 4-1 WON
Exotics Use: #14 Villa Park 15-1
Hi 5 Play: #1 Hold This 6-1


<$100/<$200 P6 Carryover Play:

5: 6-8
6: 5
7: 2-9
8: 2-9 [4-8]
9: 7-8
10: 2-4-6

2x1x2x4x2x3 = 96 x $2 = $192 or 2x1x2x2x2x3 = 48 x $2 = $96

5 of 6 Paid $78.40 x 2 = $156.80


@$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-4-9
8: 2-4-9
9: 5-7-8
10: 2-4-6

3x3x3x3 = $81 P4 Paid $378.50


Good luck!
Steve

fpsoxfan 02-07-2009 08:05 AM

Looks like a great day of racing!

Hickory Hill Hoff 02-07-2009 08:37 AM

Love the Fairgrounds "All Stakes" pick 6 & pick 5 for .50 cent.

dellinger63 02-07-2009 09:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fpsoxfan
Looks like a great day of racing!

Best day since BC IMO. Sunshine Millions not for me as I can't stand SA.

Kasept 02-07-2009 09:35 AM

Gulfstream -- Early Changes: Saturday, February 7

Track: Fast Turf: Firm Rail: 24 Feet

Race 1: Scratch #4

Race 3: Scratch #2

Race 4: Scratch #8 #11

Race 7: Scratch #13 #14

Race 8: Scratch #4 #14 #15
Jockey Change #8 Paco Lopez

Race 9: Scratch #2 (Roman Tiger) #5 (St. Joe) #11 - Gelding

Race 10: Scratch #13 #14 #15 #16

mclem0822 02-07-2009 10:27 AM

Big Scratch in the Pan Zareta.....
 
# 3 Secret Gypsy out, along with Control System

ateamstupid 02-07-2009 10:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mclem0822
# 3 Secret Gypsy out, along with Control System

Just saw that, sheesh. Changes things a bit.

ateamstupid 02-07-2009 10:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Next Best: #1 Storm Treasure 8-5: Always fires but no pace to chase..

That didn't hurt him last time.

Kasept 02-07-2009 10:49 AM

FAIR GROUNDS SCR'S

Race 2 #13 Look Both Ways, #14 Pleasant Tune
Race 3 #6 The Q Club
Race 4 #1 Control System, #3 Secret Gypsy
Race 5 #4 Break New Ground, #8 Sok Sok
Race 7 #8 Brothers Nicholas
Race 10 #2 Missionofthenight

SCUDSBROTHER 02-07-2009 10:55 AM

Very wet in SOCAL. Suppose to clear up(now would be good.)

Rootdog1 02-07-2009 11:06 AM

Thanks for all the hard work Steve...looks like it was a looong night.

Kasept 02-07-2009 11:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rootdog1
Thanks for all the hard work Steve...looks like it was a looong night.

Thx Root. My pleasure. Actually had capped everything except the non-stakes for ATR preview segments Thurs-Fri... Some very tricky races sprinkled throughout the cards everywhere. Should be a fun afternoon/evening.

Running out for a while... Good luck all. Catch up later aft.

Rootdog1 02-07-2009 12:24 PM

Anyone else worried that Stardom Bound may not be cranked up and the wet track may make it difficult to close?

Also, the 3rd at SA is a great wagering race....love Best dressed at 8-1 but what about 14 Be Realistic at 10-1, Street Lights at 12-1, Prince Atlantis at a FAT 20-1, and Self Insured at 15-1 (some flashy works for 7months on the bench). Can I just box em all please?

mclem0822 02-07-2009 12:24 PM

FG Early Pick 3 Plays....
 
3
4-5-6-9-10-11-12
1-4-7
$21

2-3
4-6-12
1-4-7
$18
Good Luck All!

justindew 02-07-2009 12:38 PM

FG Early Pick 4

2,6,7,12
1,5,8
5
5

.50x12=$6

-BT- 02-07-2009 12:59 PM

wow, secret gypsy scratching out of the 4th really puts a kink in my plans


FG
R2) $0.50 PK4

679 10 12 / 57 / 25 / 135 = $30

$1 PK4
9 10 12 / 5 / 2 / 15 = $6


gl all


-bt-

pointman 02-07-2009 01:43 PM

Aqueduct late:

6- 8
7- 1,7,9
8- 1,4,6
9- 2,5,8,10

Good Luck!

Coach Pants 02-07-2009 01:50 PM

Aqueduct Late 4
2,8
1,7
1,4,6
5,7,8
$36

justindew 02-07-2009 02:00 PM

FG Pick 5 (Race 5)

1,5
4,8
1,4,5,7
2,4,7,8
2,7,12

.50x192=$96

Pick 4 (Race 6)

4,8
1,4,5,7
2,4,7,8
2,7,12

.50x96=$48


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