Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   "At the Races with Steve Byk" (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=10)
-   -   ATR Selections (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=27436)

Kasept 01-24-2009 11:26 AM

ATR Selections
 
Sunshine Millions and Magna 5 season opener has become something of an unofficial kick-off to the deepest part of the winter racing calendar. With a 10 week run that happily distracts players from the cold and dank, the "5" campaign marches us all into the heart of the Derby Trail and Triple Crown. From there, you look up and Saratoga, Del Mar and Breeders' Cup have suddenly come and gone! I initially wasn't sure if the new $1 minimum on the Magna 5 was the right call, but acclimation by players and a brutally tough opening week made me get in step with the wagering masses. Below I offer $25, $50, $100 and $200 approaches to the 'finnif'...

Deep and talented fields at Santa Anita and Gulfstream mark the 7th Sunshine Millions, a series that has been marked by some outrageous prices and memorable moments over the first 6 runnings. Miesque's Approval certainly captured elements of both price and momento when the $100 winner denied Jerry Bailey a last ride triumph... Enjoy this fun day of racing!


GULFSTREAM


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Cairiene 4-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Dunkirk 7-2 WON
Best Value: #2 Spanish Fortune 15-1 3rd
Super Add: #13 (AE) Ziegfeld 8-1 10th


6th: ALW/N$Y, 4+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Mr. Sidney 3-1 WON
Best Value: #4 Holiday Trip 10-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Big Stick 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Rogue Victory 6-1 4th


7th: SunMill Dash, CA/FL 3yo, 6f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Ju Jitsu Jax 8-1 4th
Best Value: #9 This Ones for Phil 12-1 WON
Next Best: #11 You Luckie Mann 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #7 Kelly Leak 6-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (9-11) Paid $32.50
$1 Trifecta (9-11-7) Paid $139.60
$1 Superfecta (9-11-7-4) Paid $1,004.40



8th: SunMill F&M Turf, CA/FL F&M-4+, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Wild Promises 6-5 WON
Best Value: #3 Snow Cone 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Bel Air Sizzle 4-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Elusive Lady 20-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (2-4) Paid $22.50
$1 Trifecta (2-4-3) Paid $78.20



MAGNA 5


LEG A -- LAUREL 9th: Nellie Morse, F&M-4+, 1m (Super)

Most Likely: #1e R. Small entry 6-5 2nd/5th
Best Value: #8 La Bomba 12-1 4th
Next Best: #6 SCR
Exotics Use: #3 All Smiles 10-1 WON


LEG B -- GULFSTREAM 9th: SunMill F&M Sprint, F&M-4+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Lovely Isle 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 High Resolve 6-1 WON
Best Value: #4 Dubai Majesty 12-12nd
Super Add: #9 Mistical Plan 3-1 4th

$1 Exacta (1-4) Paid $57.30
$1 Trifecta (1-4-6) Paid $160.90
$1 Superfecta (1-4-6-9) Paid $652.40



LEG C -- SANTA ANITA 6th: SunMill Turf, 4+, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Soldier's Dancer 5-2 WON
Best Value: #10 Lucky J. H. 5-1
Next Best: #3 Precious Passion 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Icy Atlantic 9-2


LEG D -- GOLDEN GATE 6th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Specht entry 7-5 WON
Next Best: #5 Flighty Girl 5-2 4th
Best Value: #3 For Sure for Sure 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Serena Ballerina 6-1 7th


LEG E -- GULFSTREAM 10th: SunMill Classic, CA/FL 4+, 9f (Super)

Tremendously entertaining finale and as good a betting affair as you could find..

Most Likely: #7 Dry Martini 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Dream Maestro 20-1 4th
Next Best: #12 Delightful Kiss 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Finallymadeit 12-1 5th
Super Add: #5 It's a Bird 12-1 WON

$1 Exacta (5-7) Paid $65.50
$1 Trifecta (5-7-12) Paid $183.70
$1 Superfecta (5-7-12-2) Paid $1,825.20



<$200/$100/$50/$25 Magna 5 Plays:

A: 1 (3-6/SCR-8)
B: 1-4-6-9
C: 3-8
D: 1
E: 2-7-12 (1-5-8)

$24: 1x4x2x1x3
$48: 1x4x2x1x6
$96: 4x4x2x1x3
$192: 4x4x2x1x6 Magna 5 Paid $26,354.60


<$75 GP Late P4 Play:

7: 4-9-11
8: 2-4
9: 1-4-6-9
10: 1-2-5-7-8-12

3x2x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72 .50 Pick 4 (9-2-1-5) Paid $858.70



SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


6th: SunMill Turf, 4+, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Soldier's Dancer 5-2 WON
Best Value: #10 Lucky J. H. 5-1 12th
Next Best: #3 Precious Passion 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Icy Atlantic 9-2 7th

$1 Exacta (8-3) Paid $21.10


7th: SunMill Oaks, CA/FL 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Leigh McLovin 5-1 9th
Best Value: #5 Hooh Why 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Emmy Darling 3-1 7th
Super Add: #9 Dancin Erin 30-1 4th


8th: SunMill Sprint, CA/FL 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Devoted Magic likely to go Sunday in Graded Stake..

Most Likely: #11 Yesbyjimminy 9-2 7th
Best Value: #7 Georgie Boy 5-1 WON
Next Best: #9 In Summation 7-2 5th
Super Add: #10 Dancing in Silks 12-1 4th


9th: SunMill Distaff, CA/FL 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Leah's Secret 7-2 WON
Best Value: #12 Amazing 15-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Annabill 5-1 5th
Super Add: #2 SCR


10th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Temple City 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 Aitcho 8-1 WON
Next Best: #6 Throne of Power 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Premium Quality 12-1 6th

$1 Exacta (5-6) Paid $29.00
$1 Trifecta (5-6-3) Paid $82.90



11th: ALW/N2X, F&M-4+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (Super High 5)

Most Likely: #2 Onebadkitty 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #11 SCR
Next Best: #9 SCR
Exotics Use: #7 For Free 5-1 7th
Hi-5 Play: #3 Comeback Queen 6-1 5th


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 3-5-7-9-10-11
9: 3-10-12
10: 3-5
11: 2-11/SCR

6x3x2x2 = $72

Good luck!
Steve

dprtulsa 01-25-2009 10:15 AM

MAGNA 5 winner
 
Steve was that is, I was too cheap and singled the 1 in the first leg

great job steve, plus the late GP pick 4

on fire


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 05:11 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.