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-   -   1/16: Santa Anita (C/O); Gulfstream (P4) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=27290)

Kasept 01-16-2009 06:15 AM

1/16: Santa Anita (C/O); Gulfstream (P4)
 
Took a thorough beating attempting $100k Santa Anita carryover Thursday, and have promptly given back most of the year's early gains. Sequence was tough to begin with, but impossible Han Moon winner on the downhill ensured another kick at the can for all of us today. Expect pool to swell towards $3,000,000 with Aqueduct dark due to the newly arrived ice age.

Gulfstream Late P4 was going to be the focus Friday before the Arcadia carry arrived Wednesday, so that quad is included in the looks below. Would like to snap out of small funk today with big weekend on the horizon. Hope you survived Thursday!


GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Cherokee Bull 4-1 4th
Next Best: #11 SCR
Best Value: #10 Frost Diamond 5-1 WON
Super Add: #9 Fullofsong 8-1 6th


7th: ALW/N$Y, 3yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Tire Kicker 6-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Safety Squeeze 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 SCR
Super Add: #1 Zulouche 12-1 11th


8th: OC/N$Y, 4+, 7f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1a Fidelio 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Lucky James 6-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Dragon Fi 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Ling Ling Qi 3-1 WON


9th: MDN CLM, 4+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #5 Unaccountable 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Cat Ridge Road 15-1 12th
Next Best: #2 Rapid Mon 6-1 8th
Super Add: #1 War Buddy 12-1 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-10-9
7: 1-4-6-7
8: 1-2-3
9: 1-2-5-7

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72



SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM, 4yo, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD. Super)

Best Value: #4 Big Bad Al 5-1 3rd
Most Likely: #6 Tommys Luck 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Just Charmed 6-1 6th


4th: MDN CLM, 4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Elusive Chief 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #10 Cubs Molina 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Paper Gain 10-1 4th
Super Add: #12 Suchaburningdesire 20-1 7th


5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Alex's Wish 7-2 WON
Best Value: #9 Terina 20-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Saucey Officer 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #6 Our Anastacia 8-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (1-4) Paid $14.00
$1 Trifecta (1-4-6) Paid $89.10



6th: Cal-MSW, 4+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Magic Launch 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Kaptain Kordough 5-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Degreko 20-1 6th
Super Add: #8 A Flicker of Light 4-1 WON


7th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Aggie Engineer 5-2 WON
Best Value: #3 A Lil Dumanni 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Onetimeatbandcamp 2-1 3rd


$1 Exacta (2-3) Paid $10.60
$1 Trifecta (2-3-6) Paid $26.00



8th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (Super High 5)

Most Likely: #11 Lucky Losty 9-2 6th
Best Value: #4 Anearlyalure 20-1 10th
Next Best: #7 Betterthanfiction 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #14 Winningdancer 8-1 WON
Hi-5 Play: #5 There Goes Gee Gee 8-1 7th


<$250 P6 Play:

3: 4-6
4: 9-10
5: 1
6: 1-5
7: 2-3-6
8: 4-5-7-11-14

2x2x1x2x3x5 = 120 x $2 = $240


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-9
6: 1-5
7: 2-3-6
8: 4-5-7-11-14

2x2x3x5 = $60


Good luck!
Steve

Bogey 01-16-2009 07:43 AM

I really think #1 Kaptain Kordough is a single in Race 6 - Check out his last race and you'll see why. Was absolutely loaded and had no where to go. A clean trip and it's picture time.

Rootdog1 01-16-2009 08:27 AM

Agree #1 looks tough, I kinda fear BK's Flicker of Light on the outside...this gal will love going long and has tactical speed. Do not like the other filly in this race. Both of them taking on the boys...interesting.

asudevil 01-16-2009 01:01 PM

Elusive Chief is a single in the 4th

Kasept 01-16-2009 01:12 PM

GP P4 SCR'S

Race 6 #7 The King Ping, #11 Big Flirt

Race 7 #7 Smart Shot, #11 Ambuscader, #13 Livingston Street, #14 Masala, #15 Cape Royale

Race 8 #1 On Board Again

Race 9 #13 Divine Colony, #14 Brave Apache, #15 Spy Park, #16 Whistle

Kasept 01-16-2009 01:20 PM

SA P6 SCR'S

Race 4 #5 Gold Stock, #11 Bear Mountain, #4 Tribunal Blues

Race 6 #3 Tale the Truth

Race 8 #12 First Condition

Rootdog1 01-16-2009 03:28 PM

my ticket
3)1,6,7
4)9
5)4,6
6)1,5
7)2,6
8)3,11,14

herkhorse 01-16-2009 03:43 PM

6/9/1-4/1/2-3-6/3-5-11-14

Heels1989 01-16-2009 03:48 PM

Small Ticket $32

4/5/6/7
9
1/11
1/5
1
3

declansharbor 01-16-2009 03:58 PM

Not playing it, but if I were to, it would read:

6
9
1,4
1,5
1,3
ALL

or

4,6
9
1,4
1
1,3
3,7,8,11


Best of luck to those playing this evening!!!!

TitanSooner 01-16-2009 04:03 PM

1,4,6,7
9
1,4,6
1,5,8
2
3,8

$144

Rootdog1 01-16-2009 05:31 PM

what a bone head ride on Our Anastacia...that cost me some $

Scav 01-16-2009 05:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rootdog1
what a bone head ride on Our Anastacia...that cost me some $

Chantal just ****ed up that ride on the Gaines horse BAD........So far the worst ride I have seen this year

SCUDSBROTHER 01-16-2009 09:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Chantal just ****ed up that ride on the Gaines horse BAD........So far the worst ride I have seen this year

Talamo's ride on Bandcamp wasn't much better. What is he 6 wide at the apex of the turn? Who isn't gunna flatten out doing that? Just one race earlier, he put in a perfect ride to beat the horse you're talking about. As far as the turf racing there goes, they have to get those fkn rails back in. That is sick. Stubborn bitches gotta get them rails back in, or just run on the main.

Rootdog1 01-16-2009 10:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rootdog1
Agree #1 looks tough, I kinda fear BK's Flicker of Light on the outside...this gal will love going long and has tactical speed. Do not like the other filly in this race. Both of them taking on the boys...interesting.

Nailed this one..which got me the pk4....still hate that I missed a well paying pk6 where logical horses came in

SCUDSBROTHER 01-16-2009 10:00 PM

Scavs, is Abrams running Lethal Heat this Sunday, or next week in the Sunshine Millions(or both....?)


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