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-   -   1/8: Gulfstream (P4); Santa Anita (C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=27122)

Kasept 01-08-2009 06:49 AM

1/8: Gulfstream (P4); Santa Anita (C/O)
 
Had all 6 winners somewhere in selections for the Aqueduct Carryover Wednesday, but going 4 of 6 on the $144 play shows why the workable series produced an overlay return of $20,000+. While it wasn't hard to identify likely winners, it was quite a bit more challenging to build a ticket that included them all... My 3rd choice won 4 of the races, while the 2nd choice won the other pair. That wasn't good enough for the sextet, but it was OK for catching nearly a 5-1 return the $240 Late P4 ($54 play after an early scratch in R6). Hope you did well...

Potentially important 3yo ALW's at Gulfstream today (6th/8th), and the P4 is exceedingly tough. $100,000 Santa Anita carryover may be the play... Both below.


GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: ALW/N$Y, 3yo, 9f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Free Country 4-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Pressure Point 6-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Stormallory 7-2 6th
Super Add: #3 Sincero 6-1 5th


7th: OC/N$Y, 4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Ballast 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Just as Well 6-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Jamaludin 4-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Gaelic Storm 20-1 9th


8th: ALW/N$Y, 3yo, 9f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Idol Maker 5-2 4th
Best Value: #8 They're Late 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Danger to Society 4-1 WON
Super Add: #5 A. P. Cardinal 6-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (2-5) Paid $14.30
$1 Trifecta (2-5-8) Paid $115.30
$1 Superfecta (2-5-8-1) Paid $339.70



9th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 1m-T (Super)

Insane nightcap.. Only 9 or 10 seem capable of winning..

Best Value: #11 Sammy's Toy 12-1 10th
Most Likely: #2 Bold Abbott 8-1 WON
Next Best: #8 Aqab 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Rumored Heart 10-1 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1
7: 5-6-7
8: 1-2-5-8
9: 1-2-8-9-10-11

1x3x4x6 = $72



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM, 4yo-F, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Blame the Wine 5-2 WON
Next Best: #4 Stormy Racer 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #2 Tuscan Princess 7-2 5th


4th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 White Lace Jimmy 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Prince Novetti 10-1
Next Best: #7 Lacotah 7-2 4th
Super Add: #8 Tavern 6-1 WON


5th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Absolutely fascinating race where a case can be made for at least 7 of them.. Brutally tough field to narrow for the '6'..

Most Likely: #7 G's Heavenly Union 7-2 6th
Best Value: #4 The Legal Blonde 30-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Box Office Queen 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Dailies 12-1 5th


6th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Dances With Tigers 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Mud Seat 'n Tears 7-2 WON
Best Value: #2 Good Shot Mally 8-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Ice Lady 9-2 8th


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 6.5f-DHT (DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Unusually Hot 6-1 5th
Most Likely: #6 Linda Lou 7-2 4th
Next Best: #9 Theodora 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Excitement 12-1 8th


8th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6.5f (Super, Super High 5)

Best Value: #9 SCR
Most Likely: #4 Busby 7-2 6th
Next Best: #2 Cold Ruler 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Convenient Memory 9-2 4th
Hi-5 Play: #8 El Tajin 6-1 5th


<$200 P6 Play:

3: 4-5
4: 1-4-7
5: 1-4-6-7
6: 1-5
7: 5
8: 2-4

2x3x4x2x1x2 = 96 x 2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

5: 1-4-6-7
6: 1-2-5
7: 5
8: 2-4-6-8

4x3x1x4 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

sdjcom 01-08-2009 07:04 AM

Gs 01-08
 
+ $92.71 in early pre-scratches got to work today good luck


1) $2ex pw 3-7 with 1-2-3-6-7 $5wp 3 lost ex win $22.50 plc $12.00 +$8.50 on race

2) 3-10 with 3-6-8-10-12 $5wp 3 won ex $20.60 lost wp -$5.40 on race


4) 3-6 with 1-3-6-7-8 $5wp 3 lost -$26 on race

6) 1-4 with 1-2-4-7-8 $5wp 1 won ex $27.00 win $17.00 plc $8.50 total $52.50 +$26.50 on race


8) 1-2 with 1-2- 4-5-6 $5 wp 2 scr #7 add #4won ex $28.60 win $11.50 plc $7.00 cash $47.10 +21.10 for race




total bet $ 130 won +$24.70 +$117.41(2009)

Kasept 01-08-2009 11:01 AM

Only Gulfstream SCR's for P4 are the MTO's and AE's...
http://www.gulfstreampark.com/RACING...s+and+Changes/

hoovesupsideyourhead 01-08-2009 01:15 PM

mine

8/7/4
2/7/1/6
6/4/5
6/7/11

declansharbor 01-08-2009 01:52 PM

I'm so :mad: I could pull a Plexico right now. Get to the Turfy with about 5 mtp for GP R3. Played my 2 P3's starting in races 5 and 6. Bull$hit with my favorite teller there Jack for a minute, and decide to put in a tri bet, keying Hill's charge with 3 other horses.(none of which hit the board) I make the bet, and a few guys behind me is this guy(Warren Sapp look alike to the tee) that I've engaged in conversations with before about Hills on the grass. He asks me if I want to go halves on a $2 ex 4-all and a $1 all-4 bet :mad: ..I tell him no thanks, I like him in this spot and all, but I just spent my extra loot on the tri ticket.(actually had about 8 dollars left and wasnt about to tap the Mac there, leaves a paper trail for my woman, as she works at teh bank that I belong to and checks up on $hit like this..different story for a different day)...

Needless to say, he wins, a bomb fills the exacta, and I slink out the door in disgust. As I'm leaving all I hear is "White Mike, White Mike", as he was trying to flag me down. Just a missed opportunity that I wouldnt even have fretted over had the opportunity not just presented itself to me like it did. Basically hit me in the a$$ with it..uggghh...I already know how the rest of my day is going to end.

Better luck to eveyone else playing!

TheSpyder 01-08-2009 01:57 PM

Race 5: #9 Eldoktori

Obviously something's gone wrong with this horse from starting his maiden career as favorite for Zayat/Mott and getting claimed. Still, the hose shows potential and steady works may bring this one into top form to take these. It's a stab, but arn't they all.

$5 W/P

Kasept 01-08-2009 02:08 PM

Race 5: Scratch #2 Ermine Slippers, #9 Rare Sparkle

Race 6: No Changes

Race 7: Scratch #11 Grace Anatomy, #12 Ashton Girl, #13 Your Pleasure, #14 Ever So Pretty

Race 8: Scratch #9 Good Newsman; #7 is a regular gelding

ateamstupid 01-08-2009 02:10 PM

Scratch #7 Theregoesjojo out of GP 8th.

TheSpyder 01-08-2009 02:17 PM

Put this one on your watch list. He got clobbered in the stretch to come in 4th and ran a heck of a lot better than 10/1.
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheSpyder
Race 5: #9 Eldoktori

Obviously something's gone wrong with this horse from starting his maiden career as favorite for Zayat/Mott and getting claimed. Still, the hose shows potential and steady works may bring this one into top form to take these. It's a stab, but arn't they all.

$5 W/P


hoovesupsideyourhead 01-08-2009 02:24 PM

they better take this 4 down

hoovesupsideyourhead 01-08-2009 02:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
they better take this 4 down

yes!!

Kasept 01-08-2009 02:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Scratch #7 Theregoesjojo out of GP 8th.

Goes 7f instead in a hot ALW Saturday (10th race).

ateamstupid 01-08-2009 02:29 PM

Race 6
$1 P3
1,4 / 5,6,7 / 1,2,6

herkhorse 01-08-2009 02:35 PM

GP pic 4 stab 2-8/1-5-6/2-3-6/2-6-11

hoovesupsideyourhead 01-08-2009 02:59 PM

congrats too those who had the 1 he had a ton of horse..

ateamstupid 01-08-2009 03:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
congrats too those who had the 1 he had a ton of horse..

I thought so too and was expecting Free Country to win off, but Atomic Rain fought him tooth and nail.

hoovesupsideyourhead 01-08-2009 03:17 PM

lol thats pure lescano...pitts is great..

docicu3 01-08-2009 03:20 PM

Sambino did nada....value was there boys and girls!! Tough tough race.....love GP!! It's like root canal without anesthetic sometimes..

hoovesupsideyourhead 01-08-2009 03:22 PM

doc franks move is second start..but he figured and was wideeeeeeeeeeeeeee


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