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Kasept 01-01-2009 08:46 PM

1/2: Aqueduct/Santa Anita (C/O's)
 
Perfect Jan.2 entertainment early and late!

AQU: http://www.drf.com/entries/02/eAQU02.html?rn=671804

SA: http://www.drf.com/entries/02/eSA02.html?rn=671804

Kasept 01-02-2009 05:39 AM

1/2: Aqueduct/Santa Anita (C/O's)
 
Carryovers in New York ($30k) and Arcadia ($143k) Friday, with the Santa Anita string looking far more playable with two potential singles. Big A races are brutally tough, at least to me, and the Late P4 may be the more prudent approach there.

Returned home Thursday from a very pleasant 9 days away. Hope you had a super Holiday Season, and are ready for a great '09...


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

SCR: 1

Most Likely: #6 Tis Cactus Nellie 3-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Earle's First Girl 4-1 WON
Must Use: #2 Starship Cruiser 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #5 Mickeless 12-1 5th

$1 Exacta (7-2) Paid $12.20


5th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

SCR: 1a-7

Most Likely: #6 Carpathian 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 (POE) Jenay Benay 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Craftly Shocked 20-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Kiss and Fly 4-1 WON

$1 Exacta (4-6) Paid $24.10
$1 Trifecta (4-6-5) Paid $221.75
$1 Superfecta (4-6-5-1) Paid $785.00



6th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

SCR: 1a

Most Likely: #3 Precursor 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Waltzing With Blue 6-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Retriever 7-2 4th
Super Add: #8 Tapit's Brew 9-2 5th


7th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, DD)

SCR: 1a-2b-9

Most Likely: #8 Peleliu 3-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Tainted Love 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Seventeen Love 12-1 4th


8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Very confusing group..

SCR: 1a-7

Most Likely: #6 Flint River 7-2 5th
Next Best: #3 Papa Bear 9-2 6th
Best Value: #2 Malibu Moonshine 12-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Barrier Reef 6-1 WON


9th: S/ALW, 4+, 1m-70y (Super)

Best Value: #4 Cozzene's Destiny 10-1 7th
Most Likely: #9 Stopbluffing 4-1 WON
Next Best: #8 Greenspirit 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Lion by My Side 7-2 3rd

$1 Exacta (9-8) Paid $30.50
$1 Trifecta (9-8-7) Paid $81.50



<$192 P6 Play:

4: 2-6-7
5: 1-6
6: 3-6
7: 7-8
8: 3-6
9: 4-9

3x2x2x2x2x2 = 96 x 2 = $192


@$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-6-7-8
7: 7-8
8: 3-6
9: 4-6-7-8-9

4x2x2x5 = $80



SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


3rd: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Flag Waver 9-2 11th
Best Value: #8 Not So Plain Jane 8-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Holychoir 7-2 6th
Super Add: #3 Spoolish 8-1 8th


4th: CLM, 4+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 ALL MAN 7-2 WON
Best Value: #10 Searchforthetruth 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Rathor 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Midwesterner 12-1 7th

$1 Exacta (1-2) Paid $11.40
$1 Trifecta (1-2-6) Paid $35.30



5th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Heathersdaddysbaby 6-1 WON
Most Likely: #2 Tough Apples 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Wonderous Event 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Powerofvoodoo 12-1 5th

$1 Exacta (9-1) Paid $19.70
$1 Trifecta (9-1-2) Paid $46.60



6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Cat Brulay 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Fiery Trippi 15-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Cape Hatchet 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Overbid 12-1 6th


7th: 8th Paseana H., F&M-4+, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #3 VICTORIANA 9-5 WON
Best Value: #4 Island Hop 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Double Trouble 7-5 4th


8th: MDN CLM, 4+, 5.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Motorboat 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Weevescent 8-1 WON
Next Best: #11 Stray Cat 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #12 The Emerald King 5-1 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #5 Premier Issue 12-1 8th

$1 Exacta (7-8) Paid $19.40
$1 Trifecta (7-8-12) Paid $89.20



<$300 P6 Play:

3: 2-3-7-8-9-12
4: 1
5: 1-2-4-9
6: 3-6-10
7: 3
8: 7-8

6x1x4x3x1x2 = 144 x 2 = $288

$2 Pick 6 (9/1/9/2/3/7) 5 of 6 Paid $449.00


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-2-4-9
6: 3-6-8-10
7: 3
8: 7-8-11-12

4x4x1x4 = $64


Good luck!
Steve

Holland Hacker 01-02-2009 06:41 AM

Steve,

Welcome back and Happy New Year. I hope you had a nice and relaxing vacation.

I think Tapits Brew is # 8 not #9, probably not a big deal as he is the outside horse in the field.

HH

Kasept 01-02-2009 08:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Holland Hacker
Steve,

Welcome back and Happy New Year. I hope you had a nice and relaxing vacation.

I think Tapits Brew is # 8 not #9, probably not a big deal as he is the outside horse in the field.

HH

HH,

Thx re HNY greetings.. Had an especially nice week plus. And Tapit's Brew indeed the 8.. (Was working with numberless early PP's.. 9 horse field but with entry).

Good luck today!

Hickory Hill Hoff 01-02-2009 08:29 AM

Welcome back to work and these great Northeast winters :mad: just don't get a cold from the temperature change.

sdjcom 01-02-2009 09:08 AM

Aqueduct 01-02 play-along
 
$2 exactas


1) 1-3 with 1-3-2-7 lost -$12
3) 1-4 with 1-2-4-5-6 / $5wp #2 lost $-26

4) 2-6 with 2-3-6-8 lost -$12

5) 1-9 with 1-3-4-9 / $5wp #9 lost $-22

declansharbor 01-02-2009 11:03 AM

Steve,

I too, am singling Victorina. Wasn't sure what to make of Bejarano jumping off FRANKEL'S Double Trouble(her Bayoaka run wasn't all too bad), whether that was the trainer or jockey's agent decision. She (V) hit major trouble in her last at the top of the stretch and would have won IMO had she not. Looking for her to take control on the turn for home and kicking away.

Best of luck to you today!

sdjcom 01-02-2009 11:05 AM

Race 8 Aqu
 
8) 3-10 with 1-3-4-10-11 / $5wp #10 lost -$26









lost -$98 today at Aqu

Kasept 01-02-2009 11:06 AM

Significant SCR's at AQU for the '6'..


4

1 Ambling Rose Early NO SUPERFECTA


5

1A Irish Mama Early
7 Miss Royale Early


6

1A Canardly Early


7

1A C. T. Phone Home Early
2B Indy's Forum Early
9 Golden Leigh Early


8

1A Numaany Early
7 Newfy Early

pmacdaddy 01-02-2009 11:16 AM

Early DD

5 / 2,3

5 / 6

pmacdaddy 01-02-2009 11:21 AM

Also roll an early pk4:

R2
A - 2,3
B - 6
C - X

R3
A - 1,5
B - 2,3
C - 4

R4
A - 2
B - 5,6
C - 3,7,8

R5
A - 1,4,9
B - X
C - 5,6

Good Luck!

Good for 1/2 of $945. Starship Cruiser would have been nice...

-BT- 01-02-2009 12:28 PM

absolutlely no strong opinion about this

26
146
378
248
69 10 11
4679 = 1728

gl all

-bt-

Kasept 01-02-2009 01:39 PM

Fast and Firm and cold and foggy in Arcadia this afternoon..

SANTA ANITA SCRATCHES:

Race 3 #11 Kelleys Kitchen (MEX), #13 Tie
Race 6 #11 Snow Fighter, #1 Saint Paul, #4 Professnl Courtesy
Race 8 #13 Sailboat Sam, #14 All About Larry

pmacdaddy 01-02-2009 01:45 PM

Cave man late. Split larger play with Nick...

R6 - 2,7
R7 - 2,3,4,8
R8 - 1,4,6
R9 - 6,9
$48

Good Luck!

Coach Pants 01-02-2009 01:58 PM

Don't take this 2 down. FFS

ARyan 01-02-2009 02:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
Don't take this 2 down. FFS


I agree, it would be a great way to start the PK4 off. Didn't look like there was enough to take him down regardless...

Coach Pants 01-02-2009 02:03 PM

Hell yeah!!

Good luck to you guys!

pmacdaddy 01-02-2009 02:06 PM

Nice!

Kasept 01-02-2009 02:09 PM

Hope 'guido' was watching as Andy played against all the short numbers and lauded the winner... I kind of thought he was coming down, but the contact really didn't seem to affect the runner up and he held his path well. Good start to the 4 guys.

I'll be anxious to see if the serial steward bashers come out and say 'Good no call'...

pmacdaddy 01-02-2009 02:16 PM

The larger pk4 play:

AB - $144
6- 2,3,7
7- 2,4,7,8
8- 1,4,6,7
9- 2,6,9

AC- $24
6- *4,6,8
7- 4,8
8- 1,4
9- 6,9

AC- $8
6- 2,7
7- *3
8- 1,4
9- 6,9

AC- $16
6- 2,7
7- 4,8
8- *2,8
9- 6,9

AC - $24
6- 2,7
7- 4,8
8- 1,4
9- *2,3,8

Total - $212


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