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-   -   12/10: Hollywood ($146k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=26661)

Kasept 12-10-2008 06:59 AM

12/10: Hollywood ($146k C/O)
 
Nice P6 pot to start the HollyPark homestretch. The P6 looks approachable depending on your budget. As straightforward as the races are, a single or more than one single, appears hard to find.

Like last year as I recall, I am going to be sorry to see this meet end. It's been a lucrative stretch.


HOLLYWOOD PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Rogue Scholar 3-1 5th
As Likely: #2 Exceedingly 2-1 WON
Next Best: #3 Reality Now 5-2 3rd


4th: ALW/N$Y, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Pride 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #4 Wind Caper 5-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Joe'sgirklisgolden 3-1 4th


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Lobo entry 2-1 2nd/4th
Next Best: #2 Fastongrass 3-1 WON
Exotics Add: #7 Coracao Beijo 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Exotic Design 6-1 7th

$1 Exacta (2-1) Paid $15.50
$1 Trifecta (2-1-7) Paid $39.60



6th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Glimmering Pete 4-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Chadlington 15-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Twin Turbo 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 One Shot 5-1 WON


7th: OC/N3X, 6f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Delta Storm 2-1 WON
Best Value: #5 Racketeer 3-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Hewitts 5-2 2nd


8th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Dixieland Pop 8-5 WON
Next Best: #7 Love Our Grandkids 3-1
Best Value: #1 Paddlin Mud 6-1
Exotics Use: #4 Clever Caitlyn 7-2


<$200 P6 Play:

3: 2-5
4: 4-5
5: 1
6: 1-3-4-5-6-8
7: 4-5
8: 3-7

2x2x1x6x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-2
6: 1-3-4-5-6-8
7: 4-5
8: 1-3-7

2x6x2x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

lemoncrush 12-10-2008 09:58 AM

Pick 6 Budget Play
 
Would usually never be playing a Wednesday pk 6 carryover unless it was a monster, but the race sequence is too playable to pass up. I'll take a very affordable stab at it.

A) 2 - Exceeding
8-yo gelding is in fine form. Should be able to sit off the speed and get a nice trip with a small field. Rogue Scholar shouldn't let Reality Now get a comfortable lead and in the end, I think Exceeding just has too much class for these two.

B) 3- CandleJas, 5 Pride
I don't trust the Pletcher horse at all, but can't really find anyone who can beat her. CandleJas gets some serious class relief, and the turn back to 6-1/2 furlongs where she won her maiden should pay dividends. Joe'sgirlisgolden draws the rail, faces tougher and will really have to work for the lead against these.

C) 1 Entry, 2-Fastongrass, 7- Coracao Beijo
Including the 3 obvious players

D) 1 Silver Vista, 4 Bodacat, 6, Glimmering Pete, 8 One Shot
Toughest race in the sequence, and would go even deeper on a bigger budget.

E) 4 Delta Storm
Tough call between him and Rackateer. This is more of a hunch play based on turf form and the barn, as Abrams has been ice cold during Hollywood.

F) 3 Dixieland Pop
Single based purely on MSW to MD CLAIMING class drop, and that she has the best jockey in the race. Not comfortable with the single, but if I somehow make it this far on a $48 ticket, I'll be more than happy.

1x2x3x4x1x1 = 24 X $2 = $48

Good luck everyone.

Kasept 12-10-2008 10:25 AM

L/C..

Nice $50 tick.. Good luck. It seems like one of those sequences where the big tix and the budget tix have equal shots.

If pressed for a tight budget play, I'd mirror your closely with minor adjustment and a spread in that $8k circle-jerk..

3: 2-5
4: 4-5
5: 1
6: 1-3-4-5-6-8
7: 4
8: 3

$48

philcski 12-10-2008 12:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
L/C..

Nice $50 tick.. Good luck. It seems like one of those sequences where the big tix and the budget tix have equal shots.

If pressed for a tight budget play, I'd mirror your closely with minor adjustment and a spread in that $8k circle-jerk..

3: 2-5
4: 4-5
5: 1
6: 1-3-4-5-6-8
7: 4
8: 3

$48

LOL


I like both of your tickets, guys. My real tickets:

2/2,4,5/1,2,3,7/1,3,4/4/1,3,7
2/2,5/5,6/1,3,4/4/1,3,7
2/2,5/1,2,3,7/5,6,8/4/1,3,7
5/2,5/1,2,3,7/5,6,8/4/3

good luck to all playing today.

Kasept 12-10-2008 02:53 PM

ONLY SCRATCH AT HOLLYWOOD:
Race 8 #6 Mystic Seaport

And note... $61k C/O in the Super Hi-5 (R8)!!

Coach Pants 12-10-2008 03:01 PM

muh ticket
3,5
2
1,3,4
5
1,4
1,3,7
$72

Coach Pants 12-10-2008 03:37 PM

21 and 44

Why do I bother with these retarded carryovers at that track?

Coach Pants 12-10-2008 04:59 PM

Late Pick 3
5/1,4/1,3,7

$30

lemoncrush 12-10-2008 06:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lemoncrush
Would usually never be playing a Wednesday pk 6 carryover unless it was a monster, but the race sequence is too playable to pass up. I'll take a very affordable stab at it.

A) 2 - Exceeding
8-yo gelding is in fine form. Should be able to sit off the speed and get a nice trip with a small field. Rogue Scholar shouldn't let Reality Now get a comfortable lead and in the end, I think Exceeding just has too much class for these two.

B) 3- CandleJas, 5 Pride
I don't trust the Pletcher horse at all, but can't really find anyone who can beat her. CandleJas gets some serious class relief, and the turn back to 6-1/2 furlongs where she won her maiden should pay dividends. Joe'sgirlisgolden draws the rail, faces tougher and will really have to work for the lead against these.

C) 1 Entry, 2-Fastongrass, 7- Coracao Beijo
Including the 3 obvious players

D) 1 Silver Vista, 4 Bodacat, 6, Glimmering Pete, 8 One Shot
Toughest race in the sequence, and would go even deeper on a bigger budget.

E) 4 Delta Storm
Tough call between him and Rackateer. This is more of a hunch play based on turf form and the barn, as Abrams has been ice cold during Hollywood.

F) 3 Dixieland Pop
Single based purely on MSW to MD CLAIMING class drop, and that she has the best jockey in the race. Not comfortable with the single, but if I somehow make it this far on a $48 ticket, I'll be more than happy.

1x2x3x4x1x1 = 24 X $2 = $48

Good luck everyone.

5 out of 5, alive to the favorite.....let's get him home!

Kasept 12-10-2008 06:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lemoncrush
5 out of 5, alive to the favorite.....let's get him home!

Good luck LC!

Bigsmc 12-10-2008 06:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lemoncrush
5 out of 5, alive to the favorite.....let's get him home!

Congrats. Pretty sure Phil got it too.

Nice work on small tickets.

Bigsmc 12-10-2008 06:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
LOL


I like both of your tickets, guys. My real tickets:

2/2,4,5/1,2,3,7/1,3,4/4/1,3,7
2/2,5/5,6/1,3,4/4/1,3,7
2/2,5/1,2,3,7/5,6,8/4/1,3,7
5/2,5/1,2,3,7/5,6,8/4/3

good luck to all playing today.

Grade jub.

philcski 12-10-2008 06:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc
Grade jub.

Thanks bud!!!!


GREAT JOB L/C... I knew I liked your ticket!!! :D

lemoncrush 12-10-2008 06:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
Thanks bud!!!!


GREAT JOB L/C... I knew I liked your ticket!!! :D

I'm still surprised. And with my schedule today, I didn't get a chance to watch any of the races, so it was a little less exciting waiting for the results to come in online.

Coach Pants 12-10-2008 07:01 PM

Grade jub, guys.

3kings 12-10-2008 07:02 PM

Great job Phil and LC, congrats!

GPK 12-10-2008 08:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
LOL


I like both of your tickets, guys. My real tickets:

2/2,4,5/1,2,3,7/1,3,4/4/1,3,7
2/2,5/5,6/1,3,4/4/1,3,7
2/2,5/1,2,3,7/5,6,8/4/1,3,7
5/2,5/1,2,3,7/5,6,8/4/3

good luck to all playing today.


Well done guys:$:

Heels1989 12-11-2008 09:07 AM

Phil and LC - very nice. And to Mr. Byk on another HP P4 score. CONGRATS.


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