Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   Joe Silverio Simulcast Center (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=3)
-   -   12/7: AQU (R4-9); HOL (Bayakoa/P4) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=26606)

Kasept 12-07-2008 05:26 AM

12/7: AQU (R4-9); HOL (Bayakoa/P4)
 
Once again was able to parlay late action at Hollywood into a winning day Saturday. Slew's Tizzy won the Native Diver at 7-1 keying a $117 tri using the only 3 horses we identified. Joe Lecombe's colt also started the $530 P4 we suggested that helped overcome earlier miscues at Aqueduct and Fair Grounds. Hope you did well on the day...


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD)

SCR: 1A-3

Most Likely: #1 Liza Too 3-1 WON
Next Best: #11 Aspasia 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Stage Trick 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Megadiva 10-1 10th


5th: CLM, 3+, 1m-70y (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

SCR: 9-11

Best Value: #1 One of the Best 6-1 4th
Most Likely: #10 Coyoteshighestcall 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Sea of Trees 5-2 8th
Super Add: #5 Joaquin Memphis 5-1 6th


6th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Levine entry 9-5 WON/2nd
Best Value: #2 City Roar 6-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Muffy 5-1 3rd (2nd for wagering)
Exotics Use: #7 Beam of Love 6-1 4th (3rd for wagering)

$1 Exacta (1-5) Paid $6.70
$1 Trifecta (1-5-7) Paid $18.70



7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Terrificly deep and interesting field..

SCR: 1A-7-8

Most Likely: #6 Grand Minsrel 6-1 4th
Best Value: #2 City Attraction 10-1 8th
Next Best: #4 True Quality 7-2 WON
Exotics Use: #5 Boss Zach 15-1 5th


8th: 30th Damon Runyon, 2yo, 1m-70y (DD, Super)

SCR: 11

Most Likely: #1 Haynesfield 7-2 WON
Best Value: #9 Legal Consent 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Tall Poppi 3-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Fiddlers Afleet 12-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (1-10) Paid $27.50
$1 Trifecta (1-10-9) Paid $169.50



9th: CLM, 3+, 1m-70y (Super)

SCR: 9-11-13

Most Likely: #8 Broad Acres 7-2 6th
Best Value: #4 Golden Man 8-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Big Emi 5-1 WON
Exotics Use: #5 Sleek Hunter 3-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-5
7: 2-6
8: 1-4-9-10
9: 1-4-8

3x2x4x3 = $72



HOLLYWOOD PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


6th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Flew First Class 5-2 WON
Best Value: #10 Toy's Toy 8-1
Next Best: #8 Silent Western 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Hannah's Moment 8-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (4-8) Paid $22.90
$1 Trifecta (4-8-11) Paid $149.70



7th: CLM, 3+, 6f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Within Reason 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Luhuk's Dancer 5-2
Best Value: #6 Devils Afleet 4-1


8th: 27th Bayakoa (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Model 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Baroness Thatcher 6-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Wake Up Maggie 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 Double Trouble 3-1


9th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 6.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Dial Four Peace 9-5
Best Value: #9 Haja Boy 20-1
Next Best: #8 El Tajin 4-1
Super Add: #3 White Lace Jimmy 12-1
Hi-5 Play: #12 Day With Desi 6-1


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 4-8
7: 1-3-4-6
8: 1-4-7
9: 6-8-9

2x4x3x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 12-07-2008 10:26 AM

AQUEDUCT

Weather: MOSTLY CLOUDY 34
Track: FAST
Turf: TURF SEASON OVER



SCRATCHES

1ST
1A Debating Early
2B Slade Early
11 End of an Era Early
12 Ifonlyjohnny Early


2ND
3 Shipwreckstreasure Early


4TH
1A Dixie Temper Early
3 Forest Fashion Early


5TH
9 Rhythmn Master Early
11 Thunder Minister Early


7TH
1A Mr. Umphrey Early
7 Palmer's Approach Early
8 Subtitles Early


8TH
11 Dear Cat Early


9TH
9 Mount Wilton Early
11 Successful Affair Early
13 Stealth Missile Early



JOCKEY CHANGES

9TH
2 Judiths Leery S. Russell * 116 Lbs



MISCELLANEOUS CHANGES

1ST
5 Loquacious Lover GELDING
6 Gift of Valor +1


5TH
1 One of the Best GELDING


7TH
10 Rondo 2 ALUMINUM PADS OFF

Kasept 12-07-2008 01:02 PM

Wild odds board here in the 5th...

oilertige 12-07-2008 05:36 PM

Steve - nice little tri with the chalk on top in the 6th at the 'wood!

A side note; was wearing my DT swag and some friends saw the sweet t-shirt and I think they'll be contacting you for a X-mas order! And best of all - they are Chi-towners who were with me at Arlington on KnS's picture day - they are certainly DT 'wannabes'

Kasept 12-07-2008 06:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oilertige
Steve - nice little tri with the chalk on top in the 6th at the 'wood!

A side note; was wearing my DT swag and some friends saw the sweet t-shirt and I think they'll be contacting you for a X-mas order! And best of all - they are Chi-towners who were with me at Arlington on KnS's picture day - they are certainly DT 'wannabes'

O/T,

Thx.. $150 tris go a long way to keeping you solvent.. ;)

I think I did hear from that couple in Chicago! Thx...

Kasept 12-07-2008 06:15 PM

Wow... Cerin's BRIECAT forgets to stop.. And those weren't soft fractions. In fact, it's a NSR...

thunderdan09 12-07-2008 08:02 PM

I just thought I would post this because I am still fuming about how close I came to taking home the entire Super-Hi 5 pool at Hollywood.

Here was my ticket

$1 Pentafecta

13 with 1,6,9 with 1,6,9 with 1,6,8,9,12 with 1,6,8,9,12

I wish I would have checked out KaSept's horses to add. I missed out on #3 who cost me my super and Super Hi-5.

I only had a $1 exacta with those horses in the right order.

Oh well, I'll move on:(

docicu3 12-07-2008 08:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thunderdan09
I just thought I would post this because I am still fuming about how close I came to taking home the entire Super-Hi 5 pool at Hollywood.

Here was my ticket

$1 Pentafecta

13 with 1,6,9 with 1,6,9 with 1,6,8,9,12 with 1,6,8,9,12

I wish I would have checked out KaSept's horses to add. I missed out on #3 who cost me my super and Super Hi-5.

I only had a $1 exacta with those horses in the right order.

Oh well, I'll move on:(

Not that I don't believe you about the play but usually it's best not to make comments about plays here on the board that you haven't posted before the race. We have had problems with guys not always being truthful about what they play creating wars of words we are all better off avoiding. Sorry it didn't work out for you today and hopefully you'll rebound next week.

thunderdan09 12-07-2008 09:22 PM

I am not claiming I won, just that I came close :)

Not everyone trusts everyone, but I don't have a wireless connection when I am at the track to update my picks like I do when I am working at my track.

I work at one also, but they don't allow betting while on duty like most tracks.

I have a sheet I post at my track that proves I had those four horses, but it isn't for me to decide whether you believe me or not.

I promise you this. I do bet my tickets I post on this web site 95% of the time, but I am just on here to become a better handicapper.

I post my choices and take the criticism in a constructive manner.

Best of luck to all!


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 08:39 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.