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-   -   11/13: Churchill (Late P4) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=26186)

Kasept 11-13-2008 07:52 AM

11/13: Churchill (Late P4)
 
Slippery slope Wednesday at Aqueduct. Couldn't get close to the winner of the 7th, and wasn't going to cash the Quad anyway with 'Exotics Add' Chestoria left off the play as well. Hope you did OK Wednesday...


CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Halton 4-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Getalong 5-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Siena Canyon 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Messa Nera 5-1 WON


8th: OC/N$Y, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 SCR
Best Value: #6 Thor's Daughter 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Be Golden 5-2 3rd


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Interesting feature.. Howard favorite is OK to use, but seems heavily underlaid at 8-5..

Most Likely: #2 Park at Dark 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Diamond Song 6-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Diverse 8-5 WON
Exotics Use: #5 Kiss the Queen 10-1 2nd

$2 Exacta (9-5) Paid $19.00
$2 Trifecta (9-5-2) Paid $69.40



10th: MDN CLM ($15k), 3+, 6f (Super, Z-5 Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Lopaka Keoni 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #8 Wisconsin Racer 15-1 7th
Next Best: #10 Laura's Jinsky 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Fort Denmark 5-1 4th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-4-8
8: 1-3-6
9: 2-7
10: 1-7-8-10

3x3x2x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 11-13-2008 10:10 AM

CHURCHILL DOWNS


Race 7 -- LATE PICK 4 BEGINS

Jockey Change #4 Getalong - Bill Troilo


Race 8

Jockey Change #3 Be Golden - Julien Leparoux
SCRATCH #7 Control Systerm


Race 9

Jockey Change #5 Kiss the Queen - Shaun Bridgmohan
SCRATCH AE #11 Natural Tendancy
SCRATCH AE #12 Candy and Flowers
SCRATCH AE #13 Time Flies (MTO)


Race 10 - $10,000 guaranteed Z-5 (SUPER HI-5)

Jockey Change #1 Lopaka Keoni - Jamie Theriot
Late Workout #8 Wisconsin Racer - Nov. 9, JDM Training Center, 4F in :52b
SCRATCH #12 Baritone
SCRATCH AE #13 Sir Cat Dance
AE #14 Huxley Hall will run
SCRATCH AE #15 Reincarnation

peetsa 11-13-2008 01:07 PM

Race 4 is the 7 horse the only closer @47-1? any chance?

Kasept 11-13-2008 01:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by peetsa
Race 4 is the 7 horse the only closer @47-1? any chance?

Peet,

Ran out to do a couple errands.. Didn't see the 4th. Replay about to come up on TV here though.... Did you play?

peetsa 11-13-2008 01:32 PM

no , didnt play, but I think he ran5th after being down around 20 at the quarter. don't think he would be a playback.

alphanumeric1 11-13-2008 02:36 PM

Steve,
Is it my imagination or did you have Aqueduct picks posted here this AM?

Kasept 11-13-2008 05:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by alphanumeric1
Steve,
Is it my imagination or did you have Aqueduct picks posted here this AM?

Yes but when they came off the turf I didn't have a chance to rework the P4 so I abandioned it...

blackthroatedwind 11-13-2008 05:52 PM

You have a lot of nerve including Mustang Fever who you didn't even pick originally and only threw in because I gave you sh it about it.

Kasept 11-13-2008 06:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
You have a lot of nerve including Mustang Fever who you didn't even pick originally and only threw in because I gave you sh it about it.

That's pretzel logic... Would it have been better I not include her after you rightfully brought her up? I missed her, you pointed out the omission, and I adjusted to include her. And I should be ashamed? Like the goalie in Slap Shot?

Kasept 11-13-2008 06:21 PM

"You feel shame..."



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