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-   -   11/11: Churchill (7th-10th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=26139)

Kasept 11-11-2008 06:57 AM

11/11: Churchill (7th-10th)
 
CHURCHILL DOWNS

Veteran's Day offers up racing in a couple of typically dark venues including Churchill today...

PRE-SCRATCHES


7th: CLM, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Maker-Ramsey fave obvious here; I'm looking to hook her up with some prices..

Most Likely: #2 MAJESTIC FELINE 2-1: Johar bay from top CD connections stands out.. WON
Best Value: #6 Skeptic 12-1: Lawn debut was OK; Due for jump up.. 8th
Next Best: #7 Emma Guth 5-2: If even marginal on lawn, obliged to use.. 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Tapitsdontlie 10-1: Maiden win came turfing this trip.. 7th


8th: S/ALW, 2yo, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Smokin' Legend 5-2: Pitts gelding put it together once blinkered.. 4th
Best Value: #6 Attractive Ride 8-1: McKathan's Candy Ride colt circling back to good run.. 6th
Next Best: #8 Seal Team 2-1: Can win, but a short-price candidate to regress too.. 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Kid Gusto 3-1: DiVito NY-bred was OK in Chicago ALW company.. 5th


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Geniver 3-1: 7yo Arch mare stolen from Ramsey is good now.. 4th
Next Best: #3 Distorted Passion 5-2: $475k bay has been ordinary since move to Pletcher.. WON
Best Value: #8 Nothinglikegold 15-1: More Than Ready soph has upside yet.. 7th
Exotics Use: #1 Silent Street 4-1: Wilkes' Street Cry 4yo just refuses to win.. 2nd


10th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Iftheshoefits 10-1: Dirt tries win versus these.. 5th
Best Value: #12 Hell Broke Loose 12-1: 4yo rig goes 'first for tag'.. 10th
Next Best: #9 Sinister 4-1: McGee gelding drops; Best try a fir here.. 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Next Adventure 7-2: Margolis 4yo one to fear on back class.. WON
Hi-5 Play: #8 Classic Robbery 6-1: Flint returnee a threat if ready.. 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2
8: 1-3-5-6-7-8
9: 3-7-8
10: 2-7-9-12

1x6x3x4 = $72

$1 P4 (2-7-3-2) Paid $184.60


Good luck!
Steve

Borntorun 11-11-2008 09:55 AM

Late P4 at CD
 
Hello Steve,

Is the #9 in the 3rd leg a typo?

Kasept 11-11-2008 10:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Borntorun
Hello Steve,

Is the #9 in the 3rd leg a typo?

BTR,

Yup.. Thx! Meant to be the #8 of course...

Borntorun 11-11-2008 10:19 AM

Good Luck
 
Thought so Steve but wanted to make sure. Writing down selections, off work today so going to OTB to play CD.

Special thanks to all our Veterans.

PSH 11-11-2008 10:39 AM

CRC and CD dispute
 
Does anyone know where we stand in regards to being able to wager on CD and CRC on Xpressbet, TVG, Youbet, TwinSpires, etc? Has there been any signs of progress or are we at the same place we were 6 months ago?

Appreciate the selections of CD and CRC but realistically there is no way for many of us to wager on those tracks...

Thanks,

PSH

golfer 11-11-2008 11:12 AM

This from DRF's Hegarty: They are negotiating.

http://www.drf.com/news/article/99830.html

thunderdan09 11-11-2008 11:15 AM

I work at a horse track here in Minnesota and would highly doubt any change in the ability to bet on CDI tracks anytime in the near future. Take it up with entity that is CDI.

Kasept 11-11-2008 11:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PSH
Does anyone know where we stand in regards to being able to wager on CD and CRC on Xpressbet, TVG, Youbet, TwinSpires, etc? Has there been any signs of progress or are we at the same place we were 6 months ago?

Appreciate the selections of CD and CRC but realistically there is no way for many of us to wager on those tracks...

Thanks,

PSH

There has been little movement, but reports are that CDI is at least talking to TGH now which represents progress.

And while I appreciate that it's an inconvenience for you to bet Calder and Churchill where you are, it's as much of one for those of us outside California to bet Hollywood (and Santa Anita next month)... Should I stop doing selections for Hollywood because of that?

thunderdan09 11-11-2008 11:21 AM

EARLY PICK 3 and 4
 
I know I am new to the site, so here is my attempt to establish some credibility right of the bat.

CD Race 1:

$1 Pick 4
1: 4,6
2: 1,2,4,7
3: 5,1
4: 2,4,7,8

$64 ticket

CD Race 2:

$1 Pick 3

2: 1,2,4,6,7
3: 1,5
4: 8

$10 ticket


I usually always keep my P3 tickets below $12. I have found if I spend more than that I am usually improperly handicapping a race.

Stay tuned for more selections.

thunderdan09 11-11-2008 11:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
There has been little movement, but reports are that CDI is at least talking to TGH now which represents progress.

And while I appreciate that it's an inconvenience for you to bet Calder and Churchill where you are, it's as much of one for those of us outside California to bet Hollywood (and Santa Anita next month)... Should I stop doing selections for Hollywood because of that?


I wouldn't stop doing your handicapping for these issues... It's good to stay on top of the game in California. Plus, everyone can still bet at the track.

thunderdan09 11-11-2008 11:40 AM

The Lukas horse in the first is 3-1. At the price there is good value. I expected 8-5.

thunderdan09 11-11-2008 11:46 AM

Race 1 - Churchill Downs
 
The #4 (Diva's Gold) made a closing move when he hit the top of the stretch to hit the winners circle.

The #7 (Why Now) had the lead the whole way around the track and lost it in the final furlong. She held on for 2nd.

The #8 (Spoiler Now) completed the trifecta, but was never a factor.

1 for 1 in the P4

thunderdan09 11-11-2008 12:12 PM

Race 2 - Churchill Downs
 
The #6 (Yikes) ran away with race. Pounced on the leaders before the quarter pole and nobody touched her.

Track seems to be running very fair right now.

thunderdan09 11-11-2008 12:43 PM

Leparoux wins the first three. All easy wins!

cowgirlintexas 11-11-2008 12:53 PM

Hey Dan, Welcome to D.T and looks like so far your a pretty good handicapper..Best of luck with the 8 in the 4th :)

thunderdan09 11-11-2008 12:56 PM

I am live in the Pick 4 also, I just forgot to put the 6 horse in my previous post. My mistake.

I appreciate the comments.

The #8 horse at 6-1 looks like good value

blackthroatedwind 11-11-2008 01:03 PM

I'm alive too.....with all......$10 tickets!!!!!!!!!!!!!

cowgirlintexas 11-11-2008 01:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I'm alive too.....with all......$10 tickets!!!!!!!!!!!!!

:rolleyes:

thunderdan09 11-11-2008 01:11 PM

Easy money.... I'll take the Pick 3 and Pick 4 and call it a day!

$284.70 Pick 4

$125.40 Pick 3


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