10/31: Churchill (Late P4)
 

Fun day at Aqueduct Thursday with a healthy P6 carryover return of $15,000 on the very tricky sequence. Had all the winners somewhere in the selections yesterday, but it would have taken a deep, expensive play to get them all on one ducat. Keying off the 'Best Value' suggestions was lucrative though, as a hatful of exotics were available with them. Biggest mutuels were yours in the 5th via Shifty Guy getting up 2nd ($60 EXA, $400 TRI, $1,370 SUPER). Hope you did well!

Churchill Late P4 looks like fun with a stake, 2 MSW's and a good ALW...


CHURCHILL DOWNS


PRE-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Forest Warfare 5-1 6th
Most Likely: #8 Dahlgonit 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Manchild 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Iron Id 10-1 3rd


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Big Wig 5-1 10th
Best Value: #5 Darboy 10-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Valtrus 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Holy Anthem 9-2 8th


9th: Dream Supreme H., F&M-3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Elope 2-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Palanka City 3-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Tequilas Dayjur 15-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Gem Sleuth 8-1 7th


10th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Splash of Colour 7-2
Next Best: #8 Yes Im Woman 3-1
Best Value: #6 Sapphirendiamonds 8-1
Exotics Use: #4 Coy Cat 4-1 WON


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 8-9
8: 1-3-4-5-6-10
9: 4-5
10: 2-6-8

2x6x2x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Dont think I would leave the 1 or 2 out of the 7th race (1st leg).
Im gonna play it:

1,2,8,9 / all / 4 / 2 = $40

good luck to all.:$:

Race 7 -- LATE PICK 4 BEGINS

SCRATCH AE #11 PARADE CRITIC

SCRATCH AE #12 KENNER SWITCH



Race 8

SCRATCH AE #11 BOLD ADVENTURE

SCRATCH AE #12 RACEHORSE DAVIS

SCRATCH AE #13 SPOKALU

SCRATCH AE #14 I CAN'T KNOW

SCRATCH AE #15 MAKUTUS (MTO)

SCRATCH AE #16 FLINT RIVER (MTO)

SCRATCH AE #17 CLASSIC WAGER (MTO)



Race 9 ($61,000-added Dream Supreme Handicap)

NO CHANGES



Race 10 -- $10,000 guaranteed Z-5 (SUPER HI-5)

SCRATCH #1 DRESS IN DUBAI

Jockey Change #12 Bozena - Erin Wilkinson

Late Workout #12 Bozena - Oct. 28, Highpointe Training Center, 4 F in :48 3/5b

AE #13 HAUNTED HOTEL WILL RUN

Equipment Change #13 Haunted Hotel - Blinkers On

SCRATCH AE #14 LACA

VJ,

The Maker-Ramsey off the claim (#2) is a bit worrisome.. The McPeek-Robbins Argentinian needs to really move up on the grass. Possible...

I thought 2nd leg was more problematic and spread there as you did.. I'm less sure about Elope and Splash in the late races than you as well..

G/L! Is a fun sequence and I can see it paying off.

God I have #8 Dahlgonit 7-2 as a lone A in here and will be a single on my back ups but he seems dead on the board.

I wouldnt exclude Maker right now if he led a donkey over.
He is hitting so good he almost got our crow to win the 3rd.

p4 really gonna be worth having if elope gets beat. P3 will pays much lower to her.

nevermind.