10/29: CD; AQU & HOL Meet Openers
 

Yet to get post-Cup thoughts down 'on paper', but typically challenging day with some strong opinions that worked (Ventura/F&M Sprint; Midnight Lute; Goldikova) and others that fell short, specifically Eagle Mountain and Diabolical. That pair failing in the Turf and Turf Sprint spelled the difference personally between a highly lucrative Cup and a $300 loss. Hope you did well and enjoyed the coverage from Santa Anita. As always, it was a pleasure delivering it... Seasonal changeovers are in effect with Aqueduct and Hollywood open today and Churchill started over the weekend...


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Debating 2-1 WON
Best Value: #11 Mister Nobody 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Lost Going Home 9-2 10th
Exotics Use: #2b Ifonlyjohnny 5-1 4th


7th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f [OFF THE TURF] (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Pastel Girl 5-2 7th
Best Value: #13 Vicarious 6-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Walkabout Winner 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Miss Dolan's Rose 5-1 6th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #7 On Board Again 6-5 WON
Best Value: #2 Amped 5-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Marina Market 10-1 5th


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #10 Tomlinson Hill 3-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Moonlight Gambler 15-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Nightintheslammer 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 SCR


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-4-8-11
7: 7-10-13
8: 2-7
9: 2-3-10

4x3x2x3 = $72



CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, 3+, 1m-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Calbo 5-2 WON
Best Value: #8 Narrow Daylight 6-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Holy Humor 5-1 10th


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Tsunami Bertie 2-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Smoking Kitty 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #14 Passion Du Coeur 4-1 WON


8th: OC/N$Y, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Native Ruler 6-1 WON
Most Likely: #4 Silver Lord 5-2 5th
Next Best: #7 Grand Traverse 4-1 2nd


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Nursery Rhyme 5-2 WON
Best Value: #4 Time Flies 12-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Anachini 7th
Exotics Use: #10 Bella Roja 6-1 4th


10th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 7f (Super, Z-5 Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Dictina 5-2 6th
Best Value: #2 Minimite 5-1 9th
Next Best: #6 Bound To 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Lady Hinkle 12-1 7th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-10
8: 4-6-7
9: 3-4-9-10
10: 2-6-8

2x3x4x3 = $72



HOLLYWOOD PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: OC/N3X, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Ferneley 5-2 WON
Best Value: #3 Black Astor 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Trimaran 3-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (4-5) Paid $9.30
$1 Trifecta (4-5-3) Paid $42.40


6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 L'Aziza 9-2 4th
Most Likely: #6 Stuttgart 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 SCR


7th: Dance in the Mood, F&M-3+, 6f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Queen Ofthe Catsle 8-5 WON
Next Best: #1 America's Friend 5-1
Best Value: #3 Electro Nuclear 15-1


8th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Chadlington 15-1 4th
Most Likely: #7 Samwise 5-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Courageous Captain 9-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Proud Heritage 8-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 3-4
6: [3]-6-8
7: 1-2-3
8: 4-7-8-10

2x2x3x4 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

Track: GOOD / HARROWED
Turf: OFF



6

2 (poe) Gold and Blue Box Early NO TRIFECTA
3 Brooker D Early


7

1A Sax in the City Early
2 (poe) Fiddlers Princess Early
3 (poe) Beequeone Early
4 Crusader's Code Early
5 Spinnaker Run Early
6 Magic Shop Early
9 Dr. Jess Jr Early
11 Tooralooracollora Early


8

1 My Golden Opinion Early
4 Helsinki Early

What are they going to do here?

I've got the 1-3-4 finishers and am sweating the decision...