10/17: Keeneland ($109k C/O)
 

Slow building Keeneland carryover passed six figures yesterday,(now $109,000), and should garner real attention today to perhaps double.. Featured Gr. III an added attraction in advance of solid weekend of action in advance of next weekend's insanity. When last capping on Columbus Day, enjoyed terrific afternoon at Belmont capped by $350 P4. Hope you did well!

Pre-entries for Cup reveal glut of excellent action with the turf events and Juvenile races particularly alluring. Don't over-analyze the fields right now with cross-entries and post positions figuring prominently for Tuesday's actual pill pull...


KEENELAND


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Total Darkness 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 SCR
Best Value: #10 My Buddy Garfield 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Fly True 10-1 6th


6th: ALW/N$Y, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Sweet Ransom 5-2 4th
Best Value: #10 Luna Dorado 12-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Locato 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Impressionism 3-1 3rd


7th: OC/N1Y, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, Super)

Best Value: #5 Nakayama Arashi 9-2 2nd
Most Likely: #7 Kelly's Landing 4-5 WON
Next Best: #2 Santana Strings 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Natural Speed 5-1 4th


8th: ALW/N2L, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Rachel Alexander 3-1 WON
Best Value: #4 Sweet Relish 5-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Argyle Pink 7-2 2nd


9th: 18th Valley View (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Acoma 7-2 WON
Best Value: #3 Tight Precision 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Much Obliged 9-2 7th

.10 Super Play: 3-8-10 with 3-8-10 with 2-3-8-9-10-11 with 2-3-8-9-10-11 (3x2x4x3 = 72 x .10 = $7.20)


10th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (Super Hi 5, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Blame 4-1 WON
Best Value: #2 Flying Warrior 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Jadal 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Pegasus Fever 20-1 6th
Hi 5 Play: #10 Feel the Moment 6-1 4th


<$200 P6 Play:

5: 1-8-10-11
6: 3-10
7: 5-7
8: 9
9: 3-8-10
10: 2-4

4x2x2x1x3x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-4-5-7
8: 4-7-9
9: 3-8-10
10: 2-4

4x3x3x2 = $72

$1 P4 Paid $115.80


Good luck!
Steve

belmont
 

Steve,
On my way to Delta Downs. I'll be playing your pick 4 @ Keenland. I like a real longshot in the 7th @ Belmont, Brushed Prince at 30-1 in the morning line.

Dennis..

Good luck today! I haven't looked at Belmont for today at all but know Brushed Prince. Will root for..

A Bill Allyn horse? It is noteworthy when he wins a race anywhere. God luck with that one. 7th is a tough one. There are a few in there I like. I'm going with Millennium Jet who drew in from the AE's and El Apache. Both have good numbers for this and appear to be rounding out into form. I worry about William T and Turn up the Volume. Good luck

SCR @ KEE:

Race 5 #4 What About It Brud
Race 6 #6 Magic Tune, #12 Magger Bags
Race 7 #3 Xela, #6 Adore the Gold
Race 9 #6 Dreaming of Liz, #13 Absolutely Cindy
Race 10 #1 Rewiring

R6

box Sweet Ransom with Locata

Think we are carrying again at KEE.

What is the guarantee on the Late P4, they just showed the pool at only 185k and I think the guarantee is 200k.....LONG stroll to the gate :)

With 10 minutes to post, Scolara is 6:1; less than half of what I expected. Layoff and underlay. Lovely.

And no factor whatsoever

She didn't run badly (she beat all the late runners in the race) but why in the world is she 5:1 in that race?