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-   -   10/1: Belmont/Santa Anita C/O's (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=25362)

Kasept 10-01-2008 06:31 AM

10/1: Belmont/Santa Anita C/O's
 
Two captivating cards made more interesting by $50k and $130k Carryovers!


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (P6, P3DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Oniyome 5-2 6th
Best Value: #1 Raffie's Treasure 5-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Twistaway 3-1 5th
Super Add: #7 New York Citi 15-1 DNF


5th: CLM, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Southern Missle 9-2 3rd
Most Likely: #3 Sir Winston 3-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Call Me Tony 7-2 5th
Super Add: #6 Wafi City 10-1 7th


6th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Prince of Iron 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Golden Glen 6-5 (SCR #1a Diamond Isle) WON
Best Value: #7 King Mobay 8-1 6th


7th: 29th Miss Grillo (Gr. III), 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Consequence 4-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Freedom Rings 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Casanova Move 6-1 7th
Super Add: #12 Megachurch 9-2 6th


8th: 30th Pilgrim (Gr. III), 2yo, 8.5f-IT (DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Relatively Ready 6-1 3rd
Most Likely: #8 SCR
Next Best: #5 Duke of Homberg 3-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Elusive Bluff 10-1 WON


9th: NYB-MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (Super)

Best Value: #1e SCR
Most Likely: #11 Irish Mama 3-1 4th
Next Best: #5 SCR
Super Add: #6 Symbol 5-1 7th


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 1-6
5: 1
6: 1-6
7: 1-4-9-12
8: 3-5-9
9: 6-11

2x1x2x4x3x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-6
7: 1-4-9-12
8: 3-5-9
9: 6-8-11

2x4x3x3 = $72



OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: S/ALW, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Forty Dates 15-1 2nd
Most Likely: #1a (POE) Chilliwack 8-1 4th
Next Best: #13 Gotham Glory 12-1 7th
Super Add: #10 Steam Iron 8-1 WON

$1 Exacta (10-7) Paid $180.10


4th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Billie Bob 5-2 6th
Best Value: #3 B. A. Homebody 12-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Small But Mighty 8-1 WON
Super Add: #13 SCR


5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f-DHT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Carrie With a C 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Time Tosay Goodbye 8-1 10th
Next Best: #5 Missoula 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Donas Miracle Lane 6-1 7th


6th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Super tough group..

Most Likely: #1 She Floats 7-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Inspiration Within 10-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Quisisana 5-2 WON
Exotics/Supers: #10 Stolen Heart 5-1 6th


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Nownownow 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 SCR
Next Best: #8 Prince Rexy 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 T'aint War Sir 15-1 9th


8th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super Hi 5)

Most Likely: #1 Midnight Corredor 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #6 Standing Posse 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Arabian Cheetah 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #14 El Senor Halo 12-1 6th
Hi 5 Play: #2 True Freedom 10-1 7th


@$200 P6 Play:

3: 1-7-13
4: 3-9-11
5: 4
6: 1-2
7: 1-7-8
8: 1-6

3x3x1x2x3x2 = 108 x $2 = $216


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 4-6
6: 1-2-3-10
7: 1-7-8
8: 1-4-6

2x4x3x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 10-01-2008 10:42 AM

P6 SCR'S

4

4 Silver Elegance Early NO SUPERFECTA


5

5 Dark Cheetah Early NO SUPERFECTA


6

1A Diamond Isle Early
2B Packer Early


7

11 Laragh Early


8

1 Giant Talent Early NO SUPERFECTA
2 Scientist Early
8 Bittel Road Early


9

1 Quiet Sky Early
1A My Golden Years Early
5 Beboblues Art Early
12 Mustang Fever Early

turf fan 10-01-2008 11:37 AM

Give Maram a shot in the 7th. With her Euro pedigree, she should like the yielding turf. Likely will get a decent price with her maiden breaker being a claimer. Only filly in the field to win at today's distance and ran the final
3/16ths of her win in under 29 seconds.

ateamstupid 10-01-2008 11:58 AM

Race 1

$1 TRI: 1 / 4,9,10 / 4,8,9,10,12

ateamstupid 10-01-2008 12:03 PM

LOL @ Couth finally getting a win. Serves me right for eating chalk.

Kasept 10-01-2008 02:24 PM

OSA-Scratches

Race 4 #13 Sierra Nostra (BRZ)
Race 5 #11 No Ka Oi, #12 Udriga, #13 Exquisite Beauty, #14 Foxy Games
Race 6 #4 Julia M, #8 Lemon Supreme
Race 7 #5 Bad Boy, #9 Tent (IRE), #11 Whilly (IRE)
Race 8 #8 Orientation Hall, #10 Forsman

Coach Pants 10-01-2008 02:35 PM

I like One Starry Night a little $5wp

Coach Pants 10-01-2008 03:18 PM

That poor horse. Desormeaux with another ride for the ages.

Coach Pants 10-01-2008 03:42 PM

Race 8

Pynaformer Win $20
Double
4/6,11 $10

ateamstupid 10-01-2008 03:44 PM

Late Dub

3,9 / 6,8,11

KY_Sasquash 10-01-2008 04:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by turf fan
Give Maram a shot in the 7th. With her Euro pedigree, she should like the yielding turf. Likely will get a decent price with her maiden breaker being a claimer. Only filly in the field to win at today's distance and ran the final
3/16ths of her win in under 29 seconds.


Nice call-hope you made a nice score on her

Coach Pants 10-01-2008 04:21 PM

Yikes. Glad I closed shop after the feature.

infield_line 10-01-2008 04:22 PM

LOL..... that 9 was shot out of a cannon...
 
that has to carry...61-1.....jeez

I/L

ateamstupid 10-01-2008 04:22 PM

61-1. Double carry of course.

ateamstupid 10-01-2008 04:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by infield_line
LOL..... that 9 was shot out of a cannon...

Irish Mama had slowed to a walk, so it looked like a better move than it was.

3kings 10-01-2008 05:26 PM

Steve,

Thanks for the exacta in the Oaktree 3rd. I was on the way home and since you were carrying it live, I played along. Thanks for the big exacta! By the way it helps when you recap your race preview by telling the #'s you are playing at the end;) Thanks again.

Tom

outofthebox 10-01-2008 08:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Irish Mama had slowed to a walk, so it looked like a better move than it was.

You're right about that. The trainers of the also rans should be lining them all up for a trip to Finger Lakes on the next Ebert Van....

asudevil 10-01-2008 10:27 PM

How....
 
....was that Pick 6 hit today at SA???? Scratching my head

hoovesupsideyourhead 10-02-2008 07:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by asudevil
....was that Pick 6 hit today at SA???? Scratching my head

yes..

sumitas 10-02-2008 03:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Irish Mama had slowed to a walk, so it looked like a better move than it was.

A dazzling shocker to cap the card.


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