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-   -   9/24: Belmont Selections ($55k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=25221)

Kasept 09-24-2008 06:26 AM

9/24: Belmont Selections ($55k C/O)
 
With quick Kentucky trip, haven't played/capped since Friday when I couldn't have flirted more with the $22,500 carryover payout on the $192.00 play. The pair of 5 of 6 consos paid $224.00, includuing scores of $28.20 Survived (5th) and $16.20 Seven in a Row (9th). But budget choices left $8.90 House Quest (8th) off the play, and we'll all have to look forward to the next opportunity.. which is TODAY! Hope you did well Friday and over the weekend! Tricky sequence including 4 maiden affairs with $55.5k in the Sextet pot...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 9f-IT (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Sol a Pino 3-1 9th
Best Value: #3 Allegre 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Certifiably Royal 5-1 6th
Exotics/Super: #7 D' Wildcard 8-1 4th


5th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Afleet Aya 4-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Welcome to Wista 8-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Charming Officer 7-2 6th
Exotics/Super: #4 Professional Woman 4-1 3rd


6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 10f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Hyper-competitive race.. Virtually none can be instantly eliminated..

Most Likely: #6 Vacation 3-1 6th
Best Value: #1 Quasicobra 10-1 WON ($27.00)
Next Best: #10 Ea 7-2 8th
Exotics/Super: #3 Hidden Glance 4-1 4th


7th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Got That Money 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Palmetto Princess 6-1 10th
Next Best: #10 Lady Kafca 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Puttingonthemist 8-1 2nd


8th: The Hey Babaloulou (NYB), F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (DD, Super)

Superb NYB group that consistently exchange decisions.. Taking a bit of a stand against ML favored #1 Rewrite who may be a bity over the top right now..

Most Likely: #5 You Go West Girl 4-1 WON ($7.70)
Best Value: #3 Love Cove 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Cagey Girl 10-1 4th
Exotics/Super: #9 Aristo 15-1 7th


9th: NYB-MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (Super)

Best Value: #6 Paramedic 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #3 Bitabaz 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #1a Gold Prospect 5-1 6th
Exotics/Super: #7 Spencerific 30-1 5th; #10 Futurazo 10-1 7th

.10 SUPER PLAY: Key 6 first/second with 1-3-5-7-10 (1x5x4x3 = 60 x 2 = 120 x .10 = $12.00)


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 3-6-7-10
5: 6-8
6: 1-6-10
7: 7
8: 3-5
9: 3-6

4x2x3x1x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-6-8-10
7: 7
8: 1-2-3-5-9
9: 1-3-6

5x1x5x3 = $75


Good luck!
Steve

CSC 09-24-2008 07:00 AM

I agree, Rewrite may be vulnernable as the favorite in a super handicapping race, it's almost impossible to be confident in one single horse in here. A very difficult race to call but I guess if I had to lean towards someone it would be Latitude Forty, on her good days she is right there and she always seems to be a price.

hrfan 09-24-2008 07:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC
I agree, Rewrite may be vulnernable as the favorite in a super handicapping race, it's almost impossible to be confident in one single horse in here. A very difficult race to call but I guess if I had to lean towards someone it would be Latitude Forty, on her good days she is right there and she always seems to be a price.

she is always vulnerable, i have to think they wont make her the chalk again today....

CSC 09-24-2008 08:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hrfan
she is always vulnerable, i have to think they wont make her the chalk again today....

Rewrite? She always takes her share of money, I would be surprised if she is not the favorite today.

Kasept 09-24-2008 10:43 AM

SCR
 
4

13 Cat Ridge Road Early


5

5 M'Lady's Colors Early


6

7 Sky Dragon Early
11 Lorccan Early


8

8 Chestoria Early
11 Ice Cool Kitty Early
12 My Dinah Early


9

1 (poe) Sweet Groom Early

VOL JACK 09-24-2008 10:49 AM

Steve, Who is the jock with Cot Cambell in your avatar??

Kasept 09-24-2008 11:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by VOL JACK
Steve, Who is the jock with Cot Cambell in your avatar??

LOL... Cot Campbell :rolleyes:

It's Ramon Dominguez. From last year before Sumwonlovesyou's 2nd try at Saratoga.

VOL JACK 09-24-2008 11:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
LOL... Cot Campbell :rolleyes:

It's Ramon Dominguez. From last year before Sumwonlovesyou's 2nd try at Saratoga.


:D :D Got ya.

mes5107 09-24-2008 01:40 PM

4th race #7 to win

Exactas KeyBox 7 w 4,6,10

Kasept 09-24-2008 02:01 PM

Sumbitch.. Didn't know what to make of the Frankel whose best runs had come on the main track. Jeez. Needed the Harty firster, Allegre, to pull the fat out of the fire...

Coach Pants 09-24-2008 02:37 PM

This pick 4 sequence more than likely will pay a large sum

2,3,8
3,6,9
1,5
5,6,9,11
$72

mes5107 09-24-2008 02:42 PM

Late p4 stab
6. 6-9-10
7. 2-6
8. 1-3-5
9. 2-5-10 $54

the_fat_man 09-24-2008 02:43 PM

QuasiCobra is interesting here. Got the Johnny V special last out (wide, no cover on the backstretch and moved to the leaders on the turn). Cuts back and should get the IDIOT PROOF ride on the rail from a jock who excels at it.

mes5107 09-24-2008 02:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man
QuasiCobra is interesting here. Got the Johnny V special last out (wide, no cover on the backstretch and moved to the leaders on the turn). Cuts back and should get the IDIOT PROOF ride on the rail from a jock who excels at it.

Nice

DJARUM 09-24-2008 02:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man
QuasiCobra is interesting here. Got the Johnny V special last out (wide, no cover on the backstretch and moved to the leaders on the turn). Cuts back and should get the IDIOT PROOF ride on the rail from a jock who excels at it.

Count that mony fat man, good work and thanks for posting!

philcski 09-24-2008 02:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man
QuasiCobra is interesting here. Got the Johnny V special last out (wide, no cover on the backstretch and moved to the leaders on the turn). Cuts back and should get the IDIOT PROOF ride on the rail from a jock who excels at it.

Well done TFM- Byk was all over this one on the radio last night, too. I had dismissed him as having too many chances at the level, despite being competitive here.

hoovesupsideyourhead 09-24-2008 02:57 PM

nice call steve.

GPK 09-24-2008 03:04 PM

Nice call gents:$:

Coach Pants 09-24-2008 03:15 PM

Late pick 3
3,6,9
1,5
5,6,9,11
$24

Coach Pants 09-24-2008 03:20 PM

I'm always second. ALWAYS.


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