Betting Music Note to Show
 

Is this a dumb bet? We have gone over this but I was hoping that Dunbar would be so kind as to explain the logic...Lord knows that i cant.

For the record, if they have show betting in this race, I am going to bridge jump on Music Note. So please don't call me a redboarder when she finishes top three.

And if there is no show betting, i will not do the bet to place.

depends on what you're looking for.
if you just want to be able to cash a winner, may not be a dumb bet. if you're looking to make money, it's a dumb bet.

if you're convinced she'll win, it's a time for exotic and multi race bets with her as your single. change to make a bit more money that way, but if she does win, those payoffs won't be large either. but it'll certainly pay better than .05 cents on the dollar.

I think she is trying to tell you to find a way to lose your wager.

If there's show wagering....check the money in the show pool. If you think she will finish out-of-the-money, it worth a wager.
Hell, if she runs-out it only cost you $10 & if the "bridge jumpers" are there.....:$: :$: :$:

bet the house and get 5% for your money in less than 2 mins?

Think I'll bet Country Star to show and hope Music Note gently dumps JJ at the start. Worse case senario is CS still shows and splits w/MN. IMO. It does have bridgejumper race written all over it provided no one scratches.

I hear you but...logically, she won't run out of the money. Betting against her to run out of the money is a worse bet than betting on her to show.

hmmm sounds like you are thinking about putting $100k on a horse.

if you are wrong you will have to be right 20 more times

she probably won't but there's no value in playing just this race if you're convinced she'd win. she would be a very logical single in a multi race bet.

I singled her in the pick 4 altough there is no value today in that either.

The only play in this race to me is to bridgejump on Music Note. Free 5%

why take the risk? They're animals.

For money

no show

that solves that.

just think if all of us thought that about every race, we would be talking football right now.

no show wagering now

Country Star flipped out

What a damn mess.

A 5 horse field in a Grade 1 and they got a guy messing with Country Star - Music Note breaks through - and than Country Star gets pissed and rears.

what do you think, $2.20 for the trifecta?

Music Note broke through the gate? Sheesh, I wonder how I missed that. Country Star was pissy the whole time - she needed a lot of help to even get in the gate.

As a huge MN fan, I'm of course very happy. She did exactly what she was supposed to do to this field and I'm glad she got another Grade 1 win. I think Music Note was almost cantering at the end - she wasn't being asked and she ended up on her wrong lead, lol.


I wonder if she will run against older mares prior to the BC.............

Might as well been a walkover. Music Note looked like she was jogging as she approached the wire.

With Country Star a late scratch, there had to be a huge amount of show and exotics handle refunded.

Music Note beat three claimers in that race.

She broke open the front of the gate before the start - which delayed the start enough for the Frankel horse to launch Johnny V.