9/11: Belmont ($202k Carryover)
 

Wednesday's Belmont carryover sextet proved as elusive as advertised and a fat $200k+ awaits intrepid players today on a more approachable series. Came away from wagering annoyed and frustrated yesterday with 4 right in the P6, but wiorse, with three nicely priced winners among my interests, I could not find a way to cash them well. Valid Threat (4th, $13.60), Kettle Two (5th, $19.80) and War Echo (9th, a ridiculous $18.40) were all tickets to profitability, and I could only manage one healthy Daily Double play of $132.00 ($2) on the 4th-5th winners. Bad job... Hope you did better.


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 6f--IT (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Coronation Day 2-1
Best Value: #8 Pazzesco 20-1
Next Best: #1a (POE) Saratoga Steve 5-2
Exotics Use: #9 Gargantua 15-1


5th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Can She Dance 5-2
Best Value: #4 Sweet Slam 12-1
Next Best: #3 Cordilleran Ice 7-2
Exotics Use: #9 Small Potatoes 30-1


6th: MSW, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) White Tie 5-2
Best Value: #5 Perfect Precision 9-2
Next Best: #2 Grand Turk 4-1
Exotics Use: #7 Blazing Taurus 10-1


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Jerkens' (#2) Cool Tales flopped miserably in lone prior turf try, and it's hard to feel great about him in grass route at low tote versus some established and moderately decent lawn lopers.. Protecting in multis but inclined to play against otherwise..

Best Value: #7 Millenium Jet 10-1
Most Likely: #4 Monsooned Malabar 6-1
Next Best: #2 Cool Tales 5-2
.10 Super Adds: #6 Classic Impact 15-1; #9 Munition 15-1


8th: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Oniyome 5-2
Next Best: #6 Casey's Tribe 3-1
Best Value: #10 Blue Devil Bel 5-1
Exotics Use: #8 Mighty Eros 7-2


9th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #4 Better Than Swiss 3-1
Best Value: #9 SCR
Next Best: #7 Sweet Bama Breeze 5-2
Exotics Use: #3 Intoxiicating Beauty 5-1


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 1-7-8
5: 2
6: 1-5
7: 2-4-7
8: 2-6-8-10
9: 4

3x1x2x3x4x1 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-5
7: 2-4-7
8: 2-6-8-10
9: 4-7

3x3x4x2 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Steve, any early reports on the turf condition?

I would look to Andy for that.. He'll get the earliest report(s)...

(If I had to guess though, I'd say by now it should be "firm".. with a little give to it.)

Thanks:tro:

"Lawn Lopers"

I laughed

Are you off work or something? What is with the increased handicapping effort at 7am in the morning?

Yeah...off yesterday and today. Gotta dentist appt at 3:15 today, so I may go make a couple plays early.

You took the whole day off for a 3:15 dentist appointment?? Classic

You know how we do it:)

TRACK CONDITIONS Track: FAST Turf: GOOD Turf Races: 4, 5, 7, 9 Inner: Set at 18 Ft Widener: Set at 18 Ft P6 Carryover: $202,044.00 Takeout - 25.00 %

Steve...

In the 7th, you are leaving out the Chad Brown? On sheer percentages alone (43% 1st blinkers, 40% blinkers ON, 44% Coa), he has to be included, no? Is there something I should know?

IMHO, the race is awful, as are the animals running in it. I'm having trouble picking anyone out, and if I had to add another it would be Classic Impact who finished right behind Kettle Two 2 back, and he's 1-24...

Scratches
 

SCRATCHES
Race
1 1A Yes Master, 8 The Vin Man
2 1 (poe) Block Island, 9 Mr. Wenzel
3 2 Rodeo Drive
4 2 The Plot Thickens
5 10 Debbie's Fast Girl, 12 Who Is Lady, 13 John's Jean, 14 Daring Dreamer, 15 Mesa Girl, 16 Spinnaker Run
7 11 Yankee Chief
8 1 Tiffany's Rodeo, 5 Sunset Cocktail
9 2 Linda's Kisses, 9 Afleet Aya, 12 Punt's Kitty