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-   -   8/21: Saratoga (Ballston Spa) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=24636)

Kasept 08-21-2008 06:07 AM

8/21: Saratoga (Ballston Spa)
 
Wednesday's Travers Week opener turned out to be less explosive than anticipated, and even when I caught nice winners like the the 2nd's Relatively Ready ($14.40) or the 7th's Tomlinson Hill ($12.40), I couldn't put the right horses with them inter or intra race... Abandoned the early P4 when McPeek runner Sneak Peak scratched from the 2nd and only hit on 3 chalky P3's on the whole day. Bleech.. Hope you did OK. Maiden laden card Thursday that opens with the hoppers...


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: Michael G. Walsh Novice, 4+, 19f-Nat'l Fences (P3, DD, Super)

#2 Bee Certain a likely SCR..

Most Likely: #8 Dynaski 4-1
Best Value: #9 Seer 6-1
Next Best: #4 The Price of Love 7-2
Super Add: #5 SCR


2nd: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Brooker D 4-1
Best Value: #1 Schifty's Prospect 9-2
Next Best: #2 My Cousin Matt 2-1
Super Add: #5 Lethal Missle 15-1


3rd: NYB-MSW, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Success Fee 1-1
Best Value: #6 Notorious Ness 8-1
Next Best: #5 New York Style 8-1
Super Add: #3 Above All Odds 5-1


4th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Prominent 5-2
Next Best: #6 Key Trip 3-1
Best Value: #4 Mickeless 12-1
Super Add: #2 Live Life Outloud 4-1


5th: MDN CLM, 3+, 9f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 WESTWARD GO 3-1
Best Value: #10 All Verses 5-1
Next Best: #5 Chauvinist 4-1
Super Add: #8 Western Dynamo 9-2


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-5-8
3: 1-3-5-6
4: 2-5-6
5: 7

4x4x3x1 = $48


6th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Big Train 2-1
Next Best: #12 SCR
Best Value: #3 Chief Operator 5-1
Super Add: #4 Clemens 4-1


7th: The Old Red, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Trouble Maker 4-1 WON
Best Value: #4 Lady Carlock 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Them There Eyes 15-1
Super Add: #10 Taletobetold 15-1


8th: Ballston Spa H. (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Wait a While 8-5
Best Value: #3 Sharp Susan 3-1
Next Best: #4 Rutherienne 2-1


9th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #4 Dr. Jess Jr. 8-1
Best Value: #5 Debbie's Fast Girl 15-1
Next Best: #6 Fast n' Sassy 3-1
Super Add: #2 Sonic Sound 8-1


<$100 P4 Play:

6: 3-7
7: 4-8-9-10-11
8: 1-3
9: 2-4-5-6-9

2x5x2x5 = $100


Good luck!
Steve

pointman 08-21-2008 02:49 PM

Late pk4:

6- 3,4,7
7- 2,3,4,8,9,11
8- 1
9- 1,2,4,6,10

Good Luck!

pointman 08-21-2008 03:23 PM

Think the 11 is a nice price here in the 7th, play to win and tri, 3,11/2,3,9,11/2,3,9,11. Good betting race.

pointman 08-21-2008 04:08 PM

Wow, this hurts. The 6 in the 6th was my last throwout on the pk4. I cannot believe what these willpays are considering that Wait a While won. Even the pk 3's, which I have to the 1,2,4,6,10 are pretty nice pays considering.

declansharbor 08-21-2008 10:19 PM

Anyone else think the trifecta kickback was alittle short for race 5?? The tote revealed some interest in the 3, but come on, the exacta was kinda light and the tri was super-light IMO. A co-worker and I arrived at the Turf Club at the very end of this race, and some guy was walking around like a big shot saying to all with ears " ChristopheR Clemente Baby!! I'm the best phucking turf handicapper in this place, yadda yadda yadda". we come to find out he only had the exacta for a buck and he bets every horse over 10-1 to win for 2 bucks and does a few dollar ex. box's.(so this hit essentialy falls in his lap)..We felt like breaking his balls and saying something about getting the trainers name right and how light his hit seemed to come back, but we let the old man waltz right past us on his way to the window. Thank you Phonebet!

fpsoxfan 08-23-2008 07:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by declansharbor
Anyone else think the trifecta kickback was alittle short for race 5?? The tote revealed some interest in the 3, but come on, the exacta was kinda light and the tri was super-light IMO. A co-worker and I arrived at the Turf Club at the very end of this race, and some guy was walking around like a big shot saying to all with ears " ChristopheR Clemente Baby!! I'm the best phucking turf handicapper in this place, yadda yadda yadda". we come to find out he only had the exacta for a buck and he bets every horse over 10-1 to win for 2 bucks and does a few dollar ex. box's.(so this hit essentialy falls in his lap)..We felt like breaking his balls and saying something about getting the trainers name right and how light his hit seemed to come back, but we let the old man waltz right past us on his way to the window. Thank you Phonebet!

That's funny. We've got a guy at our OTB that pronounces many names wrong. Our favorite is his version of Gary Contessa. "Costanza"
We always say that if you need a good laugh, just hang out in our OTB for the day. It's good comedy.


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