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-   -   8/9: Saratoga; 60-6; Arlington P3 (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=24443)

Kasept 08-09-2008 08:30 AM

8/9: Saratoga; 60-6; Arlington P3
 
SARATOGA RACE COURSE (+60-P6)

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #5 Moore Miles 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Great Emperor 4-1 WON
Best Value: #4 SCR
Exotics Use: #6 Big Wig 3-1 3rd

$2 Exacta (7-5) Paid $28.40
$2 Trifecta (7-5-6) Paid $70.00



2nd: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4)

Most Likely: #1e Mott entry 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 In Speight of It 6-1 4th
Next Best: #7 SCR


3rd: CLM, 3+, 6.5f

Most Likely: #4 R Fast Favorite 3-1 WON
Best Value: #5 Lost Going Home 5-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Debating 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Touchdown Kid 10-1 5th


4th: The James Marvin, 3+, 6f

Most Likely: #3 Eternal Star 7-2 WON
Best Value: #5 Bold Start 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Noonmark 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Brilliant Son 10-1 3rd

$2 Exacta (3-5) Paid $39.60
$2 Trifecta (3-5-4) Paid $203.00



5th: The Solomon Northrup, NYB-3+, 9f (Super)

Most Likely: #1 Stud Muffin 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Tommasi 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Tergesti 9-2 7th
Super Add: #2 French Transition 12-1 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-4
3: 2-3-4
4: 3-5-7
5: 1-2-7-8

2x3x3x4 = $72


60 MIN. P6


A.) SAR 6th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 9f-T (60-P6, P6)

Most Likely: #4 Volponi Dragon 7-2 WON
Best Value: #10 Strategic Vision 10-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Ranger James 3-1 3rd
Super/Exotics: #2 Seeking No More 6-1 7th


B.) DEL 8th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #3 Jebster 6-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Warduty 6-1
Next Best: #9 Mass 5-2
Exotics Use: #7 Reveillon 7-2


C.) PHA 9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f

Most Likely: #4 Banque Royale 5-2
Best Value: #7 A Tenor Affair 10-1
Next Best: #9 Alapaar 6-1
Super/Exotics: #2 Wood Alley 12-1 WON


D.) MTH 8th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m

Most Likely: #9 SCR
Best Value: #11 Rich's Geri 15-1
Next Best: #7 Freuglit 5-1
Super/Exotics: #5 Brush the Rail 8-1


E.) SAR 7th: The Madame Jumel, 3yo-F, 1m-IT (G/S, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Zee Zee 9-2
Best Value: #8 Closeout 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Ariege 5-2 WON
Super Add: #6 Armonk 15-1


F.) MTH 9th: 84th Monmouth Oaks (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 8.5f

Most Likely: #4 Acoma 3-1
Best Value: #3 SCR
Next Best: #5 African Violet 5-2
Super/Exotics: #1 Whirlie Bertie 7-2


<$150 60-P6 Play:

A: 3-4-6-10
B: 3-6-9
C: 4
D: (9/SCR)
E: 4-5-8
F: 1-(3/SCR)-4-5

3x4x1x[X]x3x3 = $108



8th: MSW, 3+, 6f (P4)

Most Likely: #1e Mott entry (Either..) 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Darkside Holiday 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Wolgan Valley 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Nautical Storm 15-1 WON

$2 Exacta (9-1) Paid $36.60
$2 Trifecta (9-1-4) Paid $260.00



9th: OC/N1X, 3+, 7f (Super)

Most Likely: #1 Forest Command 7-5 WON
Best Value: #5 Mr. Universe 8-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Golden Age 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Smart Hit 6-1 6th


10th: Duke of Magenta, 3+, 9.5f

Most Likely: #6 Fairbanks 3-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Magna Graduate 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Saratoga Lullaby 8-1 7th


11th: MSW, 3+, 1m-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #6 Storm Harbor 5-2 4th
Best Value: #3 Grand Turk 6-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Rogue Victory 5-1 2nd
Super Add: Sub #5 Mr. Sidney 3-1 if #11 doesn't draw in.. WON


<$300 P6 Carryover Play:

6: 3-4-6-10
7: 4-5-8
8: 1-4
9: 1
10: 5-6
11: 2-3-6

4x3x2x1x2x3 = 144 x $2 = $288


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 1-4-6-7-8-9
9: 1
10: 5-6
11: 2-3-5-6-8-(11-AE)

6x1x2x6 = $72

$1 Pick 4 (9-1-6-5) 4 Correct Paid $219.00



ARLINGTON PARK


8th: 32nd Secretariat (Gr. I), 3yo, 10f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Secret Getaway 10-1 8th
Most Likely: #6 Tizdejavu 6/5 3rd
Next Best: #3 Plan 5-2 2nd
Super/Exotics: #2 Winchester 10-1 WON


9th: 19th Beverly D. (Gr. I), F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Precious Kitten 9-5 4th
Best Value: #1 Dreaming of Anna 7-2 5th
Next Best: # 4 Mauralakana 3-1 WON
Super/Exotics: #8 Communique 10-1 2nd


10th: 26th Arligton Million (Gr. I), 3+, 10f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Stream Cat 8-1 6th
Most Likely: #6 Einstein 7-2 5th
Next Best: #1 Archipenko 2-1 2nd
Super/Exotics: #7 Mount Nelson 5-2 3rd


All Stakes P3:

8: 3-6-9
9: 1-3-4
10: 1-2-6-7

3x3x4 = $36


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-5
8: 3-6-9
9: 1-3-4
10: 1-2-6-7


Good luck!
Steve

IrishofNDMan 08-09-2008 08:34 AM

Was planning on making the trip to Arlington today, but some other things came up forcing me to play the Spa and the Million from my home. Still looking forward to a great day of racing.

Good Luck today Steve and everyone else playing.

zippyneedsawin 08-09-2008 08:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
EXCEEDINGLY late on all fronts this a.m. after a very long evening at the Museum Ball... Will get Selections together as quickly as fingers can type. A glorious looking day at the Spa...


Don't jinx it!!!!!!

mclem0822 08-09-2008 11:22 AM

AP Pick 3.........
 
8th- 2-3-6-8-9
9th- 1-3-4-8
10th-1-6
$40
Good Luck All!

pointman 08-09-2008 12:46 PM

Steve, nice job using the Lucas in the 2nd, off the two troubled trips, that is a great price. If I didn't hate his horses so much I would have used this one.

mclem0822 08-09-2008 01:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman
Steve, nice job using the Lucas in the 2nd, off the two troubled trips, that is a great price. If I didn't hate his horses so much I would have used this one.

Hey Point, it looks like to me Steve missed the #2 Flying Private for Lucas and went 1-4 in the second? I didn't use him either, in my early p3. 7-1 geez!

Ronnie 08-09-2008 01:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman
Steve, nice job using the Lucas in the 2nd, off the two troubled trips, that is a great price. If I didn't hate his horses so much I would have used this one.

What horse was that?

mclem0822 08-09-2008 01:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ronnie
What horse was that?

I think he means the winner of the second at Toga, #2 Flying Private. But Steve didn't use that one, nor did I. 7-1 was a great price missed.

pointman 08-09-2008 01:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ronnie
What horse was that?

The 2, Flying Private in the Saratoga 2nd

Small pk3:

3- 4
4- 2,3,4,5
5- 1,2,3

Good Luck!

pointman 08-09-2008 01:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mclem0822
I think he means the winner of the second at Toga, #2 Flying Private. But Steve didn't use that one, nor did I. 7-1 was a great price missed.

Oops, read it wrong, you are right, Steve did not use. The price certainly was right and a case could have been made off those trips, but then again, it is Lukas.

mclem0822 08-09-2008 01:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman
Oops, read it wrong, you are right, Steve did not use. The price certainly was right and a case could have been made off those trips, but then again, it is Lukas.

I agree that was a missed opportunity, I'm kicking myself for going 4 deep and leaving out the fav, but not including that one.

pointman 08-09-2008 02:13 PM

Small pk3:

5- 1,2,3
6- 3,9
7- 3,5,8

pointman 08-09-2008 02:20 PM

Is Luzzi joking with this claim of foul?

trifecta124 08-09-2008 02:45 PM

Put together a pick 3 ticket at Saratoga starting in the 7th Race

7th: 2,4,5,6
8th: 1,4,8
9th: 1,7,8

Thinking one of my longshots might come in....Hoping not to get burned by the Godolphin horse in the 8th. Left him off my ticket.

Rudeboyelvis 08-09-2008 03:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by trifecta124
Put together a pick 3 ticket at Saratoga starting in the 7th Race

7th: 2,4,5,6
8th: 1,4,8
9th: 1,7,8

Thinking one of my longshots might come in....Hoping not to get burned by the Godolphin horse in the 8th. Left him off my ticket.


I'll bite... Don't normally single in a P3 but Forrest Command is mane and tails better here, plus it lets me go wide in an impossible first leg and babies in the second:
1,4,5,7,8,9//1,6,8,9//1 114.50 for 2 bucks

IrishofNDMan 08-09-2008 03:21 PM

Saratoga Race 7 pick 3

Race 7: 1,4,5,9
Race 8: 1,6,7
Race 8: 1,4

Rudeboyelvis 08-09-2008 03:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis
I'll bite... Don't normally single in a P3 but Forrest Command is mane and tails better here, plus it lets me go wide in an impossible first leg and babies in the second:
1,4,5,7,8,9//1,6,8,9//1

6 deep to catch the 2-1 :o :o

pointman 08-09-2008 03:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman
Small pk3:

5- 1,2,3
6- 3,9
7- 3,5,8

Sweet, played those three as a tri, can't believe I got $526.00 on that!


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