Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   The Paddock (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=2)
-   -   the sharpness of ny summer bettors (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=24297)

hoovesupsideyourhead 08-01-2008 09:01 PM

the sharpness of ny summer bettors
 
i tell ya its hard to get any prices at saratoga,the bettors and the whole nation is tuned in to it..some angles that were just easy money in the past have bene negated to a chalk..the age of information had really hit hard as of late..i mean guys in the early 90s should have been fng wheelbarrowing the cash in on stuff they did on thier own/ figs and trainer patterns..now its old hat and easily done.. i think the ny summer crowd is a tough capping adventure..hell mrs grabowski can out capp half the people i know...

pointgivenpap 08-01-2008 10:28 PM

Saratoga Tilt
 
Well Said, everyone is chasing that same "now horse". When you find the 4 and 5 to 1's, take it and run with it...............

docicu3 08-01-2008 10:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
i tell ya its hard to get any prices at saratoga,the bettors and the whole nation is tuned in to it..some angles that were just easy money in the past have bene negated to a chalk..the age of information had really hit hard as of late..i mean guys in the early 90s should have been fng wheelbarrowing the cash in on stuff they did on thier own/ figs and trainer patterns..now its old hat and easily done.. i think the ny summer crowd is a tough capping adventure..hell mrs grabowski can out capp half the people i know...


Alot of this is the devaluing of prices by the Sheets and TGH. About a month ago at Belmont I had a nice sheet exacta that was something like 7-1/9/2. It paid 50 bucks for 2 bucks. Both horses were TGH plays and just got pounded in combinations. It's really difficult to get prices in New York.

hockey2315 08-01-2008 10:35 PM

I've been getting killed at the Spa this summer, but I disagree with pretty much everything said in this thread so far.

asudevil 08-01-2008 10:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
i tell ya its hard to get any prices at saratoga,the bettors and the whole nation is tuned in to it..some angles that were just easy money in the past have bene negated to a chalk..the age of information had really hit hard as of late..i mean guys in the early 90s should have been fng wheelbarrowing the cash in on stuff they did on thier own/ figs and trainer patterns..now its old hat and easily done.. i think the ny summer crowd is a tough capping adventure..hell mrs grabowski can out capp half the people i know...

Couldn't agree more....just too sophisticated. There is tons of "unsophisticated" money plowed into the pools at Del Mar. Folks are just happy to smell that sea air, look at the scenery, and blow their money at the track while pounding Coronas or Cuervo. The guaranteed pick 4's on the weekend provide lots of big money opps!

AeWingnut 08-01-2008 11:11 PM

is it the bettors or level of competition. They have carry overs in California constantly. You don't mean to say it's because the New York bettor only likes ny tracks and doesn't like cal :$:

What's the average payoff in NY? $5 :wf

asudevil 08-01-2008 11:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by AeWingnut
is it the bettors or level of competition. They have carry overs in California constantly. You don't mean to say it's because the New York bettor only likes ny tracks and doesn't like cal :$:

What's the average payoff in NY? $5 :wf

It's both. As mentioned in other threads, there is no doubt which circuit is more competitive. I am fortunate enough to spend time at both places. The Northeast crowd, in my opinion, approaches the wagering with far more due dilligence and overall knowledge. I'm not detracting from the group of west coast players that take the same workman like approach. It's just apparent to this observer that it's much more abundant at The Spa. A large percentage of the attendees at Del Mar spend their morning on the beach, not in front of the screen looking at Formulator. These folks have lots of :$: Many of them, again my opinion, are just happy to be there and anxious to be in action. On the NY bettor question, I think logistics come into play. Del Mar starts at 5pm Eastern and 7pm on Friday's. Not that folks can't play with their NYRA accounts, but one would assume the Saratoga players regroup, go out, handicap for the next day, etc.

Rudeboyelvis 08-02-2008 12:28 AM

First time Lion Hearts are money... Other than that good luck

hoovesupsideyourhead 08-02-2008 01:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
I've been getting killed at the Spa this summer, but I disagree with pretty much everything said in this thread so far.

mrs grabowski is damn good ask byk...

hoovesupsideyourhead 08-02-2008 01:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by asudevil
It's both. As mentioned in other threads, there is no doubt which circuit is more competitive. I am fortunate enough to spend time at both places. The Northeast crowd, in my opinion, approaches the wagering with far more due dilligence and overall knowledge. I'm not detracting from the group of west coast players that take the same workman like approach. It's just apparent to this observer that it's much more abundant at The Spa. A large percentage of the attendees at Del Mar spend their morning on the beach, not in front of the screen looking at Formulator. These folks have lots of :$: Many of them, again my opinion, are just happy to be there and anxious to be in action. On the NY bettor question, I think logistics come into play. Del Mar starts at 5pm Eastern and 7pm on Friday's. Not that folks can't play with their NYRA accounts, but one would assume the Saratoga players regroup, go out, handicap for the next day, etc.

yes but that may be nothing nothing new.. in a nice way..

ateamstupid 08-02-2008 01:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
i tell ya its hard to get any prices at saratoga,the bettors and the whole nation is tuned in to it..some angles that were just easy money in the past have bene negated to a chalk..the age of information had really hit hard as of late..i mean guys in the early 90s should have been fng wheelbarrowing the cash in on stuff they did on thier own/ figs and trainer patterns..now its old hat and easily done.. i think the ny summer crowd is a tough capping adventure..hell mrs grabowski can out capp half the people i know...

Half?! She's a machine.. I'd take her over 90% of the 'cappers I know.

ArlJim78 08-02-2008 07:05 AM

Saratoga, 80 races, 13.79 ave win mutuel, ave field size 8.21
Belmont, 535 races, 11.60 ave win mutuel

DelMar, 113 races, 14.29 ave win mutuel, ave field size 8.48
Holly, 522 race, 13.21 ave win mutuel

hoovesupsideyourhead 08-02-2008 07:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
Saratoga, 80 races, 13.79 ave win mutuel, ave field size 8.21
Belmont, 535 races, 11.60 ave win mutuel

DelMar, 113 races, 14.29 ave win mutuel, ave field size 8.48
Holly, 522 race, 13.21 ave win mutuel

thanks a j can you break down the pick /3/4s

Danzig 08-02-2008 07:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
Saratoga, 80 races, 13.79 ave win mutuel, ave field size 8.21
Belmont, 535 races, 11.60 ave win mutuel

DelMar, 113 races, 14.29 ave win mutuel, ave field size 8.48
Holly, 522 race, 13.21 ave win mutuel

just read last night that del mar may have to reduce purses. fields sizes and handle both down.

also, what's the avg for the above at arl park?

AeWingnut 08-02-2008 08:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
Saratoga, 80 races, 13.79 ave win mutuel, ave field size 8.21
Belmont, 535 races, 11.60 ave win mutuel

DelMar, 113 races, 14.29 ave win mutuel, ave field size 8.48
Holly, 522 race, 13.21 ave win mutuel

that's interesting. Can you do the average pick 6

ArlJim78 08-02-2008 08:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
just read last night that del mar may have to reduce purses. fields sizes and handle both down.

also, what's the avg for the above at arl park?

I think you're going to find handle down everywhere, due to the economy. I know saratoga is down already, although some of that might be due to weather.

Arlington
585 races, ave win mutuel $12.99, ave field size 8.36

AeWingnut 08-02-2008 08:44 AM

5+5+5+5+5+5+5+5+5+80 = $12.50 average payout:p

ArlJim78 08-02-2008 08:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
thanks a j can you break down the pick /3/4s

no, i don't have the exotic data.

philcski 08-02-2008 09:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
Saratoga, 80 races, 13.79 ave win mutuel, ave field size 8.21
Belmont, 535 races, 11.60 ave win mutuel

DelMar, 113 races, 14.29 ave win mutuel, ave field size 8.48
Holly, 522 race, 13.21 ave win mutuel

Great stuff, can you run the median on these? I think that might be an enlightening statistic.

ArlJim78 08-02-2008 09:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
Great stuff, can you run the median on these? I think that might be an enlightening statistic.

median win mutuel

Saratoga $8.95
DelMar $9.60


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 12:03 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.