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-   -   7/27: Saratoga (Jim Dandy; C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=24192)

Kasept 07-27-2008 07:29 AM

7/27: Saratoga (Jim Dandy; C/O)
 
Yesterday was a very weird day in terms of capping versus wagering. I had no shortage of winners within the selections but personally didn't string them together properly. Were plenty of opportunities for those that spread to score including on both P4's, but 'Super Adds' Acai and Forever Together were both left off the P4's that brought back $1200 and $400 respectively. A frustrating day to be honest... Hope you did OK.

Carryovers at Spa and DMR with Left Coast pot at $1.5MM and certain to approach $4,000,000...!


SARATOGA RACE COURSE

PRE-SCRATCHES...

1st: CLM, 3yo, 7f (P#, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Dutrows entry 8-5 3rd/8th
Best Value: #2 SCR
Next Best: #6 Personal Good 30-1 4th


2nd: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Hernandez entry 5-1 8th
Best Value: #4 Natty Meboy 10-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Tall Poppi 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Footnote This 7-2 6th


3rd: NYB/ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 City Roar 6-5 7th... at 3-5
Best Value: #6 Palmetto Bluffs 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Critical Cathy 4-1 WON
Super Add: #2 Kevazinga 12-1 5th


4th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Mister Nobody 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Acclimate 5-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Bill Place 5-1 WON
Super Add: #9 Mithaal 6-1 6th


5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Keltish Lass 10-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Spirited Seacat 15-1 3rd
Next Best: Off the turfers-13-14 (2nd)-15 (SCR)


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-4-6-7
3: 8
4: 3-5-6-8-9
5: 2-8-15

5x1x5x3 = $75


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Pearl of Valor 5-2 6th
Best Value: #9 Pumpkin Shell 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Ride With the Herd 7-2 5th
Super Add: #6 Northern Harbor 12-1 9th


7th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Bella Attrice 3-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Kitty Nip 15-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Dose of Reality 4-1 6th
Super Add: #3 SCR


8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Pretty Carina 3-1 WON
Best Value: #2 Disperse 8-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Nurture 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #6 Constance 5-1 8th


9th: The Henry Walton, 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Amped 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Cosmic 6-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Tizbig 8-1 5th


10th: 45th Jim Dandy (Gr. II), 3yo, 9f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Mint Lane 5-2 6th
Best Value: #7 Macho Again 10-1 WON
Next Best: #1 Tiz Now Tiz Then 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Tale of Ekati 10-1 4th


11th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 5.5f-T (Super)

Absolutely wild nightcap... Demand price(s)...

Most Likely: #3 Inside Info 20-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Minister's Appeal 20-1 6th
Next Best: #6 The Zipster 10-1 8th
Super Add: #9 Mondo Diverso 20-1 9th


<$200 P6 Play:

Very difficult sextet... Double carryover distinct possibility.. Will likely sit this out myself and concentrate on big P4 play...

6: 5
7: 6-7
8: 2-9
9: 2-3-4-6
10: 1-3-7
11: 2-3

1x2x2x4x3x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


@$100 P4 Play:

8: 2-6-9
9: 2-3-4
10: 1-3-7
11: 2-3-6-9

3x3x3x4 = $108


Good luck!
Steve

fpsoxfan 07-27-2008 07:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Yesterday was a very weird day in terms of capping versus wagering. I had no shortage of winners within the selections but personally didn't string them together properly. Were plenty of opportunities for those that spread to score including on both P4's, but 'Super Adds' Acai and Forever Together were both left off the P4's that brought back $1200 and $400 respectively. A frustrating day to be honest... Hope you did OK.

Ditto for me. Except I went the opposite way. The three horses I keyed in race 3 for the pick-3 finished 1-2-3 for a 333.50 Tri. But did I play the Tri??
Nope.................... One of many dumb plays on the day.

pmacdaddy 07-27-2008 08:03 AM

Steve - Like your value plays in R1 and R2. Hoping for a BIG DD.

Good Luck!

MISTERGEE 07-27-2008 08:09 AM

Steve, glad to see you have my brothers horse Spirited Seacat picked as your sleeper in race 5. Lets hope we all score on that one. She will be trying.

jaripeo 07-27-2008 10:25 AM

Steve, I just wonder: There is two good horses for races 6 and 8 that you didnt concern. I think they had some chances.
Race 6.- War Echo 3/4 sister to MGSW Pyro.
Race 8.- Wicked Beauty, from a family of Cahmpions as a Dayjur, Pleasent Home, Tale of Ekati, and been working sharply for her second star.
I will included with part of your selections
.:)
Thank You.

Bigsmc 07-27-2008 12:30 PM

Greetings from the Big's Family road trip somewhere in the vicinity of Santee, SC northbound on I-95. Mrs. Bigs is at the wheel, the internet signal is slow and the video is sketchy, but it beats driving. :D

Early P4:

2 - 1,2,6,7
3 - 8
4 - 1,3,6,8
5 - 1A,13,14

GL

XIIPointStables 07-27-2008 12:38 PM

Nice to see the 1st winner out of one of my favorites, Read the Footnotes. Much the best, winner by 14 lengths.

mclem0822 07-27-2008 12:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by XIIPointStables
Nice to see the 1st winner out of one of my favorites, Read the Footnotes. Much the best, winner by 14 lengths.

Impressive run, nearly a track record.

Bigsmc 07-27-2008 01:16 PM

I am clueless. I go deep in the second and the chalk rolls. I single the chalk in the third and she forgets to get out of the gate and is no factor.

Blah.

Race 4

1/3,5,6,8 Exacta and reverse.

Pedro says, "South of the Border 32 miles".....

DogsUp 07-27-2008 01:20 PM

Here is my pick 6 ticket for saratoga and del mar. I have to head to work so this will be quick.

saratoga
4-5-8-9/1-5-7-11/8/5/1-3-4/4-5-6-7 - $384

del mar
2-3-4-7-8-13/2/7-9-13/5/1-2-4-7/5 - $144

mclem0822 07-27-2008 01:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc
I am clueless. I go deep in the second and the chalk rolls. I single the chalk in the third and she forgets to get out of the gate and is no factor.

Blah.

Race 4

1/3,5,6,8 Exacta and reverse.

Pedro says, "South of the Border 32 miles".....

I had the 8 singled in the p4 as well, so your not alone. I did catch half the triple though, but outta the p4.

declansharbor 07-27-2008 01:34 PM

I bet Heretic (#7 to place in R4) and did a tri with 6 over the 3,5,7,8.

Best of luck to those playing today!!

Bigsmc 07-27-2008 01:49 PM

Greetings from steamy North Carolina as the trek continues north....

Race 5

1A - Boss Tiffany win/place

GL

IrishofNDMan 07-27-2008 02:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc
Greetings from steamy North Carolina as the trek continues north....

Race 5

1A - Boss Tiffany win/place

GL

I am forced to use dial up internet or nothing right now, so I know how you feel with the slow signal and sketchy video lol.

Race 5
$20 win on the 8

pointman 07-27-2008 02:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc
Greetings from steamy North Carolina as the trek continues north....

Race 5

1A - Boss Tiffany win/place

GL

Nice job, Bigs!

Bigsmc 07-27-2008 02:33 PM

North of Fayetteville now. Kids asking "how much longer" for the 5,000th time (first request was 40 minutes after we left the driveway).

Pick 3

6 - 3,4,5,7,8
7 - 1,7,11
8 - 5,9

GL

Bigsmc 07-27-2008 02:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman
Nice job, Bigs!

Didn't break the bank, but I will take it p-man.....:)

declansharbor 07-27-2008 02:42 PM

Just got it in, next to last action of the day besides Jin Dandy and poker at The Taj tonight..
P3...R6...4,5,8,9 with 7,8 with 2,5,6,8..GL

declansharbor 07-27-2008 02:49 PM

Should have played Miss Ocean City straight up for namesake only...If it was Mr. OC, then yeah...

GL Bigs the rest of the way!!

mclem0822 07-27-2008 02:57 PM

Late Pick 4.........
 
2-5-6-8-9-10
5
3-4
1-2-4-5-7-9

$72
Good Luck All!


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