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-   -   6/11: Belmont ($1.1MM C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=23194)

Kasept 06-11-2008 05:20 AM

6/11: Belmont ($1.1MM C/O)
 
Enjoyed a strong first half of the Belmont Day card Saturday with 6 straight winners from the Most Likely or Best Value selections before Ventura slowed me up in the Just a Game. The highlight was the $1,180.00 early Pick 4 hit suggested with an $81 play that came in juicy thanks to Best Value runners $43.00 Endless Circle (5th) and $10.80 Piazza Di Spagna (3rd).

Sciacca's Piazza also keyed the $25.75 exacta, $59.25 tri and $697 super, and the exacta of Galluscio's 'Circle' and Exotics Add Dr. W returned $134.00. Rolling P3's using the tabs brought back $52.75 (1st-3rd); $61.50 (2nd-4th); $310.50 (3rd-5th) and $88.50 (4th-6th). Zaftig, J Be K and Megapixel rounded out the rest of the afternoon as top picks on what I hope was a very good day for you!

Remnants of Saturday, besides explanations of Brown's bad day, remain in the form of a $1,180,000 Pick Six carryover on a very tricky card. It is the largest single-day carry in NYRA P6 history. My approach to the fun but murderously difficult sextet below...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES...


4th: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (P6, P3)

Most Likely: #1 Love Co 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #2 My Dinah 3-1 WON
Best Value: #4 City in the Clouds 5-1 8th
Exotics Add: #8 La Mure 12-1 5th


5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f-IT (G/S, P3, Super)

#9 Nikkinikkinikki (10-1) and #12 Classic Impact (20-1) deserve some consideration on deep P6 back-up plays...

Most Likely: #2 All in No Outs 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #6 Hot Table 3-1 10th
Best Value: #7 Youbethecan 6-1 WON
Exotics Add: #8 Allaboutmack 12-1 6th


6th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Terrific starter allowance with many here eligible to jump up and steal it including Brown's #4 Romp (6-1)..

Most Likely: #8 Dancing Tin Man 3-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Stormy Mirage 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Personal Good 5-1 8th
Exotics Add: #1 Sumphin 4-1 2nd


7th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P3)

Most Likely: #1a (POE) SCR
Next Best: #9 Myakka 3-1 WON
Best Value: #8 Zip By You 6-1 4th
Exotics Add: #5 Flying Sappho 15-1 5th


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Pennington 5-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Raynicks Fan 6-1 2ND
Next Best: #9 Forest of Dreams 3-1 3RD
Exotics Add: #8 Papa Bear 6-1 4TH

$2 Exacta (5-7) Paid $48.80
$2 Trifecta (5-7-9) Paid $233.50



9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #10 Ten Forty 3-1 WON
Best Value: #6 E Z Dollar 15-1
Next Best: #9 SCR
Exotics Add: #12 SCR


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 1-2
5: 2-6
6: 2-8
7: 8-9
8: 5-7-9
9: 6-10

2x2x2x2x3x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2-8
7: 8-9
8: 5-6-7-8-9-10
9: 2-6-10

2x2x6x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Bogey 06-11-2008 06:53 AM

Belmont Park

R4

#1 Love Co
#6 Guts Game
#2 My Dinah
#4 City in the Clouds

R5

#7 Youbethecan
#5 Kick Up Your Heels
#6 Hot Table
#2 All in No Outs

R6

#4 Romp (Arg)
#8 Dancing Tin Man
#2 Stormy Mirage

R7

#1 La Ransom
#4 Justinline
#9 Myakka

R8

#1 Betelo
#6 Big Wig
#4 Cloud Nine
#9 Pluracity

R9

#10 Ten Forty - Singleton
#2 Mackinaw
#8 Estimator
#1 Bomber D Back

Three different tickets depending on your funds.

PK6 - 1 2 4 6 / 2 5 6 7 / 2 4 8 / 1 4 9 / 1 4 6 9 / 10 = $1152

PK6 - 1 2 6 / 5 6 7 / 4 8 / 1 4 9 / 1 6 / 10 = $216

PK6 - 1 2 / 5 7 / 4 8 / 1 / 1 / 10 = $16


Good Racing Luck

Rudeboyelvis 06-11-2008 08:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bogey
Belmont Park



R5

#7 Youbethecan
#5 Kick Up Your Heels
#6 Hot Table
#2 All in No Outs
#13 Star for Tina - Needs to draw in.
#14 Flash of Victory - Nees to draw in.

Gus,

Flash to Victory will be a scratch - won at Philly Park in the 9th race on Monday

Bogey 06-11-2008 08:46 AM

Thanks, Elvis

Kasept 06-11-2008 10:23 AM

4

5 Seventeen Love Early
9 Reyana's Jet Early


5

13 Star for Tina Early
14 Flash of Victory Early


6

5 Brushed Prince Early
10 Baystreet Bully Early


7

1A Mine Or Who's Early
2B Union Center Early
2X Kitty Nip Early
13 Karakorum Playmate Early


8

2 Jed Greeley Early


9

3 Never Stop Dreamin Early
9 Golden Amulet Early
12 Honor Evening Early
13 Five Demon Bag Early
14 Unbridled Wish Early

oilertige 06-11-2008 03:56 PM

That's a Cold ONE!
 
Steve giving it out cold! Nice!

8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Pennington 5-1
Best Value: #7 Raynicks Fan 6-1
Next Best: #9 Forest of Dreams 3-1
Exotics Add: #8 Papa Bear 6-1

atolunch 06-11-2008 07:54 PM

Steve, thanks again for yet another excellent day of handicapping with a brutal card!

Your time and efforts are very much appreciated, and I don't think you receive nearly enough thanks!! :tro: :tro:


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