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-   -   Especially To The Critics Of Big Brown (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=23143)

RollerDoc 06-08-2008 09:04 PM

Especially To The Critics Of Big Brown
 
More disappointed I could not be with yesterday's outcome. For me a fan of mostly TCs and BC, I realize I probably don't belong here starting several threads like I have over the past few weeks. But I do enjoy the pageantry of it all. Big Brown gave me a fun few months since I first noticed him in the FLA Derby and after that win, made him my favorite for the KD and forward.

I will not accept that this was the same horse I saw yesterday as in the other races, regardless of all the reasons many of you detail quite articulately why he lost. I never said he was in the class of a Secretariat, Seattle Slew, or Affirmed.

So here are my two questions, and of course they are hypothetical.

1. If (big if) Big Brown enters the Travers and wins, combined with a Win, Place, or Show in the BCC, is he vindicated for yesterday? I say vindicated because I have seen too many "Big Bum" references which are highly unfair.

2. If yesterday was Big Brown's last race, will he still win Top 3 year old award for 2008? Or can any late entry for the rest of this year over take that title?

jcs11204 06-08-2008 09:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollerDoc
More disappointed I could not be with yesterday's outcome. For me a fan of mostly TCs and BC, I realize I probably don't belong here starting several threads like I have over the past few weeks. But I do enjoy the pageantry of it all. Big Brown gave me a fun few months since I first noticed him in the FLA Derby and after that win, made him my favorite for the KD and forward.

I will not accept that this was the same horse I saw yesterday as in the other races, regardless of all the reasons many of you detail quite articulately why he lost. I never said he was in the class of a Secretariat, Seattle Slew, or Affirmed.

So here are my two questions, and of course they are hypothetical.

1. If (big if) Big Brown enters the Travers and wins, combined with a Win, Place, or Show in the BCC, is he vindicated for yesterday? I say vindicated because I have seen too many "Big Bum" references which are highly unfair.

2. If yesterday was Big Brown's last race, will he still win Top 3 year old award for 2008? Or can any late entry for the rest of this year over take that title?

i will go to your second question.... if a 3 yr old strings together a couple graded stakes wins, like jim dandy-travers-breeders cup classic... they could be 3 yr old champ... but at this point who has a shot to do that, assuming heatseeker and curlin run in the classic.

hockey2315 06-08-2008 09:18 PM

1. If (big if) Big Brown enters the Travers and wins, combined with a Win, Place, or Show in the BCC, is he vindicated for yesterday? I say vindicated because I have seen too many "Big Bum" references which are highly unfair.

Obviously if he returns to his old self he's vindicated for yesterday's clunker . . . but I don't think anyone is arguing that he was exposed for what he really is yesterday - it's obvious that he didn't fire. It is possible, however, that he could win the Travers and even BCC and still be looked at as an ok horse in a terrible crop.


2. If yesterday was Big Brown's last race, will he still win Top 3 year old award for 2008? Or can any late entry for the rest of this year over take that title?


He's still obviously the favorite for the eclipse award at this point - but someone could definitely step up and take it.

jcs11204 06-08-2008 09:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
1. If (big if) Big Brown enters the Travers and wins, combined with a Win, Place, or Show in the BCC, is he vindicated for yesterday? I say vindicated because I have seen too many "Big Bum" references which are highly unfair.

Obviously if he returns to his old self he's vindicated for yesterday's clunker . . . but I don't think anyone is arguing that he was exposed for what he really is yesterday - it's obvious that he didn't fire. It is possible, however, that he could win the Travers and even BCC and still be looked at as an ok horse in a terrible crop.


2. If yesterday was Big Brown's last race, will he still win Top 3 year old award for 2008? Or can any late entry for the rest of this year over take that title?


He's still obviously the favorite for the eclipse award at this point - but someone could definitely step up and take it.

i doubt he could win the bcc, not even mentioning curlin, but i think heatseeker and tiago could beat him in cali

hockey2315 06-08-2008 09:25 PM

I agree - I don't think he can win. . . I'd like to see him go back to turf but that'll never happen.

RollerDoc 06-08-2008 09:29 PM

Obviously if he returns to his old self he's vindicated for yesterday's clunker . . . but I don't think anyone is arguing that he was exposed for what he really is yesterday - it's obvious that he didn't fire.


I have a hard time with your quote "exposed for what he really is." I think we saw a lot of what he really is in the Preakness, Belmont, and FL Derby. Something wasn't right yesterday. Da' Tara lost to Big Brown by 20 something lengths in FL. No other horse raced as much as he did in the past five weeks, and no other horse in the history of the Triple Crown races went against as many horses as Big Brown did (based on a stat ABC showed prior to the race).

The thing I agree with the most that somebody said on another thread is that if Big Brown was a real TC winner, he would have beaten the adversity and won the race. I just feel it was unfortunate that we didn't see the real Big Brown yesterday.

ateamstupid 06-08-2008 09:30 PM

1. Big Brown doesn't need to be vindicated. He's a very good colt who had a lousy day. Anybody writing off Big Brown because of yesterday is never going to give the horse his due anyway.

2. Depends on whether or not any three-year-olds can sweep some summer/fall races. A Travers/BCC double would definitely get it done, and probably a Travers/BCC placing with a JCGC win in between would as well.

hockey2315 06-08-2008 09:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollerDoc
Obviously if he returns to his old self he's vindicated for yesterday's clunker . . . but I don't think anyone is arguing that he was exposed for what he really is yesterday- it's obvious that he didn't fire.


I have a hard time with your quote "exposed for what he really is." I think we saw a lot of what he really is in the Preakness, Belmont, and FL Derby. Something wasn't right yesterday. Da' Tara lost to Big Brown by 20 something lengths in FL. No other horse raced as much as he did in the past five weeks, and no other horse in the history of the Triple Crown races went against as many horses as Big Brown did (based on a stat ABC showed prior to the race).

The thing I agree with the most that somebody said on another thread is that if Big Brown was a real TC winner, he would have beaten the adversity and won the race. I just feel it was unfortunate that we didn't see the real Big Brown yesterday.

You misread what I said - I agree with you that he's obviously a better horse than he showed yesterday. . . No rational person would disagree with that.

CSC 06-08-2008 09:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollerDoc
More disappointed I could not be with yesterday's outcome. For me a fan of mostly TCs and BC, I realize I probably don't belong here starting several threads like I have over the past few weeks. But I do enjoy the pageantry of it all. Big Brown gave me a fun few months since I first noticed him in the FLA Derby and after that win, made him my favorite for the KD and forward.

I will not accept that this was the same horse I saw yesterday as in the other races, regardless of all the reasons many of you detail quite articulately why he lost. I never said he was in the class of a Secretariat, Seattle Slew, or Affirmed.

So here are my two questions, and of course they are hypothetical.

1. If (big if) Big Brown enters the Travers and wins, combined with a Win, Place, or Show in the BCC, is he vindicated for yesterday? I say vindicated because I have seen too many "Big Bum" references which are highly unfair.

2. If yesterday was Big Brown's last race, will he still win Top 3 year old award for 2008? Or can any late entry for the rest of this year over take that title?

With his well publicized 1/4 crack problems are we sure we are going to see him pointed for The Travers? Or do we see him pointed for a turf campaign? Retiring is the other option obcourse.

RollerDoc 06-08-2008 09:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
1. Big Brown doesn't need to be vindicated. He's a very good colt who had a lousy day. Anybody writing off Big Brown because of yesterday is never going to give the horse his due anyway.

2. Depends on whether or not any three-year-olds can sweep some summer/fall races. A Travers/BCC double would definitely get it done, and probably a Travers/BCC placing with a JCGC win in between would as well.

Totally like your take on #1

What is JCGC and do you or anybody see a 3 yr old out there that could get on a streak like that?

hockey2315 06-08-2008 09:36 PM

There are several 3 year olds out there right now that are capable of winning big races - but most of their future's are up in the air right now.

RollerDoc 06-08-2008 09:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
You misread what I said - I agree with you that he's obviously a better horse than he showed yesterday. . . No rational person would disagree with that.

Oh, sorry for the misunderstanding on my part.

ateamstupid 06-08-2008 09:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollerDoc
Totally like your take on #1

What is JCGC and do you or anybody see a 3 yr old out there that could get on a streak like that?

Jockey Club Gold Cup. It's a Grade I, $1,000,000 race that has lost a lot of its luster (it used to be the equivalent to the Breeders' Cup Classic), but still counts for something. Curlin beat Lawyer Ron in the '07 JCGC.

Right now, there's no three-year-old that looks good enough to run the table this fall, but before the Florida Derby, I wouldn't have banked on a horse blowing the doors off the competition in the first two legs of the Triple Crown, either.

RollerDoc 06-08-2008 09:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Jockey Club Gold Cup. It's a Grade I, $1,000,000 race that has lost a lot of its luster (it used to be the equivalent to the Breeders' Cup Classic), but still counts for something. Curlin beat Lawyer Ron in the '07 JCGC.

Right now, there's no three-year-old that looks good enough to run the table this fall, but before the Florida Derby, I wouldn't have banked on a horse blowing the doors off the competition in the first two legs of the Triple Crown, either.

Got it...thanks. BTW, my dad grew up in Brooklyn, E 12th and Ave T then played basketball at Abraham Lincoln then scholarship to Duquesne University. No NBA though :) (I saw you are in Brooklyn)

Danzig 06-08-2008 10:01 PM

i don't think i've seen anyone say that big brown was exposed, or the 'real' big brown showed up yesterday. i'd say it's a given that at this point big brown is the cream of the crop. but then, that's not saying a whole hell of a lot this year.
as for the classic, i'll be shocked if he is still around for it-curlin as well. i don't see big brown staying in training, and i don't see curlin going on AWT. now, if big brown and curlin both go (and we see pigs flying at the same time) i would actually think big brown could give curlin a run for his money. it'd be late in the year, big brown would be presumably bigger, stronger, more mature-but the plus for him is his ability on turf, which often translates to ability on AWT. that combined with assmans woeful poly abilities, and curlin having had all his starts on dirt--i'd say it's a crap shoot wether curlin could run on the stuff at the same level as on dirt.

ateamstupid 06-08-2008 10:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RollerDoc
Got it...thanks. BTW, my dad grew up in Brooklyn, E 12th and Ave T then played basketball at Abraham Lincoln then scholarship to Duquesne University. No NBA though :) (I saw you are in Brooklyn)

Yeah, I live just outside of Park Slope, although I work on Nostrand Avenue between Avenue S and Avenue T, not too far from where your dad grew up. I cover high school basketball in the city, so I'm really familiar with Lincoln as well.

jwkniska 06-08-2008 10:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
1. Big Brown doesn't need to be vindicated. He's a very good colt who had a lousy day. Anybody writing off Big Brown because of yesterday is never going to give the horse his due anyway.

I agree. He's not the first horse to bounce.... and sure won't be the last. He's proven in a number of big races and hope he comes back to form in the next one.

DogsUp 06-08-2008 11:27 PM

Here is my two cents.

1) There has only been a hand full of horses that went undefeated in their career. These great atheletes are not machines and they can run a bad race from time to time. One loss does not mean that a horse doesnt deserve to be considered extremely good. What irritated me yesterday was people saying that BB had to how a showing like that of Secretariate. I think that it crap. Since when isnt winning enough? I think BB will be champion three year old.

2) Two horses come to mind that cna sweep the Jim Dandy, Travers, and BCC and those two are Dennis of Cork and Harlem Rocker. This is assuming that Curlin does race in the BCC.

ateamstupid 06-08-2008 11:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DogsUp
Here is my two cents.

1) There has only been a hand full of horses that went undefeated in their career. These great atheletes are not machines and they can run a bad race from time to time. One loss does not mean that a horse doesnt deserve to be considered extremely good. What irritated me yesterday was people saying that BB had to how a showing like that of Secretariate. I think that it crap. Since when isnt winning enough? I think BB will be champion three year old.

2) Two horses come to mind that cna sweep the Jim Dandy, Travers, and BCC and those two are Dennis of Cork and Harlem Rocker. This is assuming that Curlin does race in the BCC.

Denis of Cork? Really?

DogsUp 06-08-2008 11:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Denis of Cork? Really?

Why not? He isn't anything special but neither is anyone else at this point (assuming BB doesn't race again). He finished 3rd in the Derby and 2nd in the Belmont. Why not him? Heck, anyone can clunk up and become a star from this bunch of 3 year olds. He has a good of shot as any.


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