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-   -   How do you back up your pick 3 and pick 4 bets (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=22306)

AeWingnut 05-08-2008 06:27 PM

How do you back up your pick 3 and pick 4 bets
 
it's a little late to ask but
I actually have the first 2 legs of a pick 3,4
(at Hollywood)
and now that I look up and see all the short odds on horses I don't have
I was wondering how you guys back up your bets

maybe I'll learn some day

:o

AeWingnut 05-08-2008 06:29 PM

crap

1st, 1st, 3rd

I put a win bet on the 4

could you tell the way the 9 came back

geeker2 05-08-2008 06:33 PM

not one of Blanc's better rides.....

geeker2 05-08-2008 06:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cardus
You are referring to HOL race 7, right?

Honored Gold was up against it after two of the speeds scratched and Moujane set a soft half (much to my liking).


Yes..I bet him to win

geeker2 05-08-2008 06:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cardus
Curious about something: I didn't see a jockey change for either the 4. Brice rode him, or did Nakatani?

Nakatani...it was a bit surprising that Solis out rode him to the wire...but I am not sure Nakatani is 100% back from that injury...at least the way he is riding it doesn't appear that way...

hockey2315 05-08-2008 07:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by AeWingnut
it's a little late to ask but
I actually have the first 2 legs of a pick 3,4
(at Hollywood)
and now that I look up and see all the short odds on horses I don't have
I was wondering how you guys back up your bets

maybe I'll learn some day

:o

Not much you can do in the final leg of anything if the horses you're worried about are short prices. I think "Exotic Betting" has some good insight on hedging. . .

Bobby Fischer 05-08-2008 07:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by AeWingnut
it's a little late to ask but
I actually have the first 2 legs of a pick 3,4
(at Hollywood)
and now that I look up and see all the short odds on horses I don't have
I was wondering how you guys back up your bets

maybe I'll learn some day

:o

If you can buy tickets that lower your risk or better yet ensure a profit, that is called a hedge. Tough to do with longshots on your ticket and favorites uncovered.

Sometimes if I have a favorite to beat in an early or middle leg (or a single on a very light ticket), I will purposely buy the 2 or 3 favorites in the last leg. That way if I am correct and alive going into that last leg, I can hedge for a profit more easily. You miss out on the huge payouts occasionally but have less risk.

AeWingnut 05-08-2008 07:35 PM

ended up with 1st, 1st, 3rd, 3rd

tried putting weight ($2) on the horse I should've bet but he ran 2nd anyway. I looked back at the 7th race and wondered what PPs I was looking at when I wrote down my picks. :o

I thought the 3 in the 8th had a ton of horse but a bad trip.

yes, no?

o-well

I only spent $12 on the pick 4 and really hate going over that much
I am usually out the first leg.

still a decent day.

Good luck tomorrow


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