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-   -   4/30: Hollywood (C/O); Churchill (P4) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=22033)

Kasept 04-30-2008 05:37 AM

4/30: Hollywood (C/O); Churchill (P4)
 
Nice opener to Derby Week Tuesday at Churchill despite leaving 3rd choice Ling Ling Qi off the chalky result ($170) P4 play. (Nightcap winner turned out to have been single-worthy after all.) Sweep of exotics in the feature including $134.40 tri ($1) and $378.80 super. Hope you did well.

Heavy duty Wednesday on tap with rose run post position draw, Belmont opener, $555,000 Hollywood carryover and Day 2 of Derby Week at Churchill...


CHURCHILL


7th: ALW/N2L, F&M-3+, 9f-T

Most Likely: #1 Crystal Minuet 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Goat Cheese 12-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Jade Dreamer 5-1 WON
Exotics Add: #7 SCR


8th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 6.5f

Most Likely: #2 Meredith Bee 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 Tequilas Dayjur 5-1 WON
Next Best: #4 Awsugahnow 9-5 4th


9th: OC/NSY, 3+, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #3 Jazz Quest 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Wise River 12-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Terrific Storm 7-2 6th
Exotics Add: #1 A. P. Xcellent 4-1 3rd


10th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f

Most Likely: #2 Unleash the Power 5-1 WON
Best Value: #11 Cityboy or Cowboy 12-1 9th
Next Best: #7 Utah Tyson 7-2 2nd
Exotics Add: #10 Sir Romeo 10-1 12th
High 5 Play:#6 Incredible Play 20-1 4th

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-9
8: 1-2-4
9: 3-8
10: 2-6-7-10-11-12

2x3x2x6 = $72



HOLLYWOOD


3rd: MSW, 2yo-F, 4.5f

Most Likely: #1e Harrington entry 3-1 WON
Best Value: #2 SCR
Next Best: #6 Listisimo 5-1 4th


4th: MSW, 3+, 9f

Most Likely: #3 Matty's G Force 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 Tote's Humdinger 4-1 4th
Exotics Add: #7 Cambridge Blue 3-1 5th


5th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 6f-T

Most Likely: #8 Mini Do 5-2 WON
Best Value: #1 Love Happens 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Wickednwackyingrid 9-2 2nd


6th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6.5f

Most Likely: #1 Ann's Plan 9-2 WON
Best Value: #2 Irish Express 15-1 9th
Next Best: #13 Beyla 7-2 10th
Exotics Add: #3 Perfect Rhyme 15-1 5th


7th: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f

Most Likely: #6 Coast Guard 9-5 4th
Best Value: #4 Tangled Tango 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Madeo 7-2 WON


8th: CLM, 3yo-F, 1m-T

Most Likely: #3 Snow Delicious 3-1 WON
Best Value: #2 Amybelle 6-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Rapid Goose 5-2 3rd

$1 Pick 4 $232.10



<$200 P6 Play:

3: 1-(2/SCR)-3-6
4: 3-4
5: 1-8
6: 1
7: 4-6
8: 2-3-8

3x2x2x1x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144


Good luck!~
Steve

Bigsmc 04-30-2008 08:38 AM

Very bold move singling in the 6th Steve. I think that race is the key to the P6. It looks incredibly wide open to me.

If I can't narrow that race down, I won't be putting in a play. I had 7 (A,B,C) horses in there for my contest play.

Good luck.

VOL JACK 04-30-2008 09:34 AM

Steve, why the exculsion of Frost Giant?

asudevil 04-30-2008 12:55 PM

Hollywood 4th
 
LOVE Cambridge Blue....Love!!!!!!!!

SCUDSBROTHER 04-30-2008 05:21 PM

Hey,I was watching the odds,and saw them pound Exuma down fromm 11-1 to 6-1. Took him to all in the 5th,and then to Beyla in the 6th(p3.)Need the 7 horse in race 5 (to finish out a pick 3.)That's the fresh LA CROIX HORSE who was once a lil stakes filly.Pays almost 3k.I won't get it,but I think I got a shot with Beyla in the 6th.Her kind of track.Come late, woman.

SCUDSBROTHER 04-30-2008 05:46 PM

P3 going to Beyla is like $200.It's almost as low as the one to Ann's Plan..Who cares...F'n Tyler can sure fck up a party.

Bigsmc 04-30-2008 06:08 PM

Race 6 single.

Well played Sir.

Kasept 04-30-2008 09:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc
Race 6 single.

Well played Sir.

Thx Bigs. That one and nightcap winner stood out to me. Saw it OK today but didn't get to play. From here on it will be a total blur.

Hope all did well!


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