4/9: AQU ($52k C/O); KEE (P4)
 

Scratch-diminished Gulfstream card Monday was overshadowed by Joe Orseno whose 5th winner on the day, Mean Demand, upended the P4 try. Single Without a Doubt was caught at the wire by the $14.00 winner as even with tiny fields and chalky hits.. 6th ($4.20), 7th ($6.00) and 9th ($5.20).. the Quad came back more than the parlay at $325 for the $1 play. That's why you've got to love the '4'..

Premium quality action at Keeneland, despite the ridiculous main track, returns today, and a $50k+ carryover at Aqueduct, with turf (!), beckons..


AQUEDUCT


4th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 5.5f (P6P3)

Super-intriguing state-bred affair with hot-looking firsters (1a-3-4-9); a logical favorite (2) making 2nd career start for notorious win early trainer Ward, and an interesting longshot (8) that faced the ML choice two back.. Yet another race that's an example of why New York state is missing out and frustrating players by not allowing Superfectas throughout all eligible events..

Most Likely: #2 January Gent 5-2 WON
Best Value: #8 Halation 20-1 4th
Next Best: #1 POE Contessa entry 7-2 8th
Exotics Add: #3 Doc Can Do 5-1 9th


5th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f (P3, G/S)

Best Value: #7 Love That Song 5th
Most Likely: #8 Vikrant 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Explosive Count 5-2 7th
Exotics Add: #2 Shrewd Stipulation 8-1 WON


6th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 7.5f (P4, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Brookhaven's Money 2-1 WON
Best Value: #9 C. T. Kaz 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 SCR
Exotics Add: #5 Wanna Winna 20-1 6th


7th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 8.5f-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Gulch Fever 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 One Starry Nite 5-1 6th
Next Best: #8 All in No Outs 9-2 4th
Exotics Add: #2 Millenium Jet 4-1 2nd


8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 9f (DD)

Don't believe phony fig from last for 9-5 fave No Reply...

Most Likely: #5 Angelic Aura 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Mucho Margaritas 4-1 4th
Exotics Add: #1e Contessa entry 3-1 5th


9th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #4 Nuclear Meltdown 7-2 5th
Next Best: #9 Stormy Relations 5-2 WON
Best Value: #2 Miss Western Charm 10-1 3rd
Exotics Add: #3 Justinline 4-1 2nd


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 1-2-3-8
5: 7
6: 3-5-9
7: 5-9
8: 2-5
9: 4-9

4x1x3x2x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 3-5-9
7: 2-5-8-9
8: 2-5
9: 4-9

3x4x2x2 = $48



KEENELAND


6th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #2 SCR
Best Value: #7 Please Include Me 12-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Green Secret 5-1 4th
Exotics Add: #9 Tenkiller Lake 7-2 2nd


7th: OC/N$Y, 4+, 6f (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Indian Chant 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #5 Success Success 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Forest Blue 6-1 4th


8th: 7th Vinery Madison (Gr. II), F&M-4+, 7f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Wild Gams 9-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Windyindy 15-1 7th
Next Best: #11 Zada Belle 7-2 9th
Exotics Add: #10 Change Up 12-1 5th


9th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (Super; Super High 5)

Most Likely: #11 SCR
Best Value: #4 Clouds in the Sky 10-1 7th
Next Best: #1 SCR
Exotics Add: #9 Love Buzz 15-1 8th
High 5 Play: #8 Summer Courtship 15-1 WON


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-4-6-7-9-11
7: 2-5
8: 2-4-7-9-10-11
9: 4

6x2x6x1 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

steve i think in the 6th at kee jazz hall is the#2

Tony..

Indeed.. Thx! (the "5" came from the odds..)

We will let you go $9 over the $75 budget when you include the 11 in the first leg of your Keeneland P4.....

Unjust? Was hard to leave out.. Left out Hometown Boy too. Trying to catch the prices in legs A/C. Not sure how I'm going to play ticket myself.... Maybe we'll get some scratch help.

I was going to play a P3 starting in that race with just 9,11. Especially with Unjust, who has shown some number power on the tires (4th, 5th race back) and the horse just ran his top off an almost year layoff, plus McGee has been crazy on fire last lately. Both the 9 Tenkiller Lake and Unjust's styles fit the track also.

Now, I just talked myself into playing him :)

KEENELAND: Scratches & Changes

Wednesday, April 09, 2008



Race Description

1 #3-Holiday Justice--SCRATCH
#4--Tuesday Silence--SCRATCH
#10--Chief Wildcat-- +1
#11--Executive Chief-- +2

2 #1--Mine All Mine--SCRATCH

3 NO CHANGES

4 #3--Colin's Princess--SCRATCH

5 #9--Greeley's Castle--Jockey is Jamie Theriot. Corrected weight is 120 pounds.

6 #2--Jazz Hall--SCRATCH

7 NO CHANGES

8 #5--Street Sounds--(LA) Lasix Adjunct

9 As of 10:50 a.m.:
#11--Alwajeeha--SCRATCH

Previously announced:
#1--Back for More--SCRATCH

They off the turf? the two scratchs in the last would make me think that

Note: Says Firm on keeneland's site but others have said weather is questionable

Big A - Fast and Good.

AQUEDUCT -- SCRATCHES AND PROGRAM CHANGES FOR WEDNESDAY, 4/9/2008

TRACK CONDITIONS

Weather: MOSTLY CLOUDY 56
Track: FAST
Turf: GOOD
Turf Races: 7, 9

P6 Carryover: $52,307.01 Takeout - 25.00 %

SCRATCHES

1
1 Lady Arundel Early NO TRIFECTA
4 Dance for Fashion Early
7 Pizza Early
8 House Quest Early


3
8 Final Story Early


4
1A Gold Close to Home Early
9 Barnfox Early
11 Navajo Spirit Early


5
4 One Day Soon Early


6
1 Doc N Roll Early
2 Pay the Judge Early


7
11 Red Hot Dawn Early


9
7 Dynamic Kip Early
13 J. C.'s Classic Early
14 Sage Chapel Early
15 Western Slang Early
16 Bo Waters Early

Going to try late pk4 at AQU. Feels like spring is official with return of Grass Races.

R6 - 3,4,5,9,11
R7 - 4,9
R8 - 2,5
R9 - 4,9
$40

R6 - 3
R7 - 4,9
R8 - 2,5
R9 - 4,9
$8

R6 - 3
R7 - 4,9
R8 - 1,3
R9 - 4,9
$8

R6 - 3
R7 - 4,9
R8 - 2,5
R9 - 10
$4

Total $60.

Good Luck!