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-   -   Derby setting up perfect storm for smart bettors (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=21408)

Scav 04-05-2008 05:04 PM

Derby setting up perfect storm for smart bettors
 
Bob's Blackjack - Going
War Pass - Going
Recapturetheglory - going
Big Brown - going

MORE SPEED, they are going to go 22/45/108

CHUCK THEM ALL OUT!!!

jcs11204 04-05-2008 05:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Bob's Blackjack - Going
War Pass - Going
Recapturetheglory - going
Big Brown - going

MORE SPEED, they are going to go 22/45/108

CHUCK THEM ALL OUT!!!

ambitious..... 22.4-46-109.4 sounds good to me

wac 04-05-2008 05:24 PM

Your right it looks like if it doesn't rain the track will prob be pretty fast could be a speedfest. Will be interesting.

Hickory Hill Hoff 04-05-2008 06:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Bob's Blackjack - Going
War Pass - Going
Recapturetheglory - going
Big Brown - going

MORE SPEED, they are going to go 22/45/108

CHUCK THEM ALL OUT!!!

You got it Scav! :D perfect storm for a big longshot closer

wac 04-05-2008 06:35 PM

The million dollar ???? is who is that closer??? I have no friggin idea this year has been unlike any that i have seen in the short time that i have been following racing.

jcs11204 04-05-2008 08:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wac
The million dollar ???? is who is that closer??? I have no friggin idea this year has been unlike any that i have seen in the short time that i have been following racing.


TOMCITO...

_ed_ 04-05-2008 09:05 PM

Pyro would have to be the most likely closer, wouldn't he?

pgardn 04-05-2008 09:11 PM

Giacomo type of year.
We have got to have a full year in the gate.
Every horse with the ability to rate
will think they have a shot with a good trip.

Looks very chaotic right now.

Riot 04-05-2008 09:12 PM

You guys do realize that the racing gods may want a laugh, and out of this year is going to come a Triple Crown winner (who will start out by winning the Derby in 2:05)

SniperSB23 04-05-2008 09:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pgardn
Giacomo type of year.
We have got to have a full year in the gate.
Every horse with the ability to rate
will think they have a shot with a good trip.

Looks very chaotic right now.

Wouldn't Giacomo be the 4th or 5th choice in this year's Derby?

pgardn 04-05-2008 09:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
Wouldn't Giacomo be the 4th or 5th choice in this year's Derby?

You got a point there.
Giacomo would not go off at 52-1 or whatever it was, this year.

wac 04-05-2008 09:26 PM

OMG mumtaz i almost threw up all over my computer when i read that but your right, how funny would it be if that would happen. All spring we are all bitching about this horse sux that horse sux and then wham o triple crown winner. Man that would be about right the way the spring has been going.

SniperSB23 04-05-2008 09:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wac
OMG mumtaz i almost threw up all over my computer when i read that but your right, how funny would it be if that would happen. All spring we are all bitching about this horse sux that horse sux and then wham o triple crown winner. Man that would be about right the way the spring has been going.

Well the terrible crop does make it more likely we will see a Triple Crown winner. If Big Brown is that good and can survive the Derby clusterf*ck there shouldn't be much standing in his way.

jcs11204 04-05-2008 09:44 PM

does giant moon have a shot to get in ? i think he'd be deadly from just off the pace. AND YES THIS IS SERIOUS. he improved tons today and i did not like the ride at all.

SniperSB23 04-05-2008 09:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jcs11204
does giant moon have a shot to get in ? i think he'd be deadly from just off the pace. AND YES THIS IS SERIOUS. he improved tons today and i did not like the ride at all.

Aside from the fact that he'd be 3,000-1 if he actually got in the Derby he also only has $37,500 in graded earnings so would need 20 or less to enter to be able to get in.

hockey2315 04-05-2008 10:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jcs11204
does giant moon have a shot to get in ? i think he'd be deadly from just off the pace. AND YES THIS IS SERIOUS. he improved tons today and i did not like the ride at all.

Prussian/Giant Moon exacta box?

jcs11204 04-05-2008 10:23 PM

lol im on the dennis of cork-cowboy cal exacta

Thunder Gulch 04-06-2008 11:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pgardn
Giacomo type of year.
We have got to have a full year in the gate.
Every horse with the ability to rate
will think they have a shot with a good trip.

Looks very chaotic right now.

Been saying the same thing...there is a ton of speed- as always, but there aren't many stalking types that look overly impressive. Then you get to the obvious choices of Pyro and Colonel John, who will have a lot to navigate to get through traffic. It can be done, but if one doesn't fire and the other has trouble, bombs away on the exotics.

Danzig 04-06-2008 12:06 PM

pyro was closer to the pace in his last, i can see him getting a stalking trip and pouncing at the right moment.
seriously out of all the horses out there, he's the one who has been doing it all right. war pass-questionable at the distance, big brown-distance and seasoning, colonel john-surface switch, cool coal man-hasn't run since the foy, where he looked good...needs to show something in the bluegrass for sure.

if the derby was run today, i'd be backing pyro.

skippy3481 04-06-2008 01:35 PM

If john takes to the chruchhill dirt... hes going to very tough to beat. War pass simply will not be able to wire the field. I also agree danzig, pyro may have a very very nice trip.


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