Derby Trail Forums - 12/12: Aqueduct (4th-9th)

Fun and challenging Wednesday card at Aqueduct features 5 juvenile events and $200k+ carryover.. Anticipating a fast inner track with early a.m. showers expected but clearing by afternoon..

AQUEDUCT

4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3)

Very good late season heat of 2yo gals.. Tough start to P6 if you don't embrace Pletcher-Padua princess as early single..

Best Value: #8 Lion's Maddy 6-1: Eligible off last pair; May get lost on board.. WON
Most Likely: #4 Constance 5-2: Found Irish Smoke/Indian Blessing at Spa; Missed time.. 9th
Next Best: #3 American Queen 7-2: Forced to respect Asmussen in these spots.. 6th
Exotics Add: #6 Kindasorta 5-1: KMc prepped; $510k for a Yankee Gentleman OH-bred? 7th

5th: CLM, 3+, 1m-70y (P3, G/S)

2nd leg features one of NY's toughest divisions as 10 $35k hard knockers (8 betting interests) line up.. Six look possible..

Best Value: #2 (POE) Ricardo A 9-2: 8yo 7/2-2-2 this oval; Reunites with Ramon.. WON
Most Likely: #6 Taking the Redeye 6-1: Dangerous on pace under Herbie.. 6th
Next Best: #3 Don't Park Now 3-1: Levine red would love it wet.. 4th
Exotics Add: #1e Arroyo entry 7-2: SCR 1a He's a Pioneer; Doc Cheney drops to lowest level.. 3rd

6th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (P4, DD)

Best Value: #4 Overheated 5-1: Violette giving away bay? Exits deep water MSW's.. 2nd
Most Likely: #3 Lexibout 7-2: A. Dutrow on fire; Red faced next out minor stake winner.. 5th
Next Best: #1e SCR (for wagering purposes)
Exotics Add: #7 Bomber D Back 3-1: Barbara gelding placed twice in rain.. WON

7th: S/ALW, 2yo, 6f (P3)

Interesting Starter ALW that features some that may have talent..

Best Value: #5 Wild Cat Mesa 8-1: Respect Gorham's choices; Won debut at 7f.. 4th
Most Likely: #2 Dr. W 5-2: Parra purchase nipped at CD by next out ace Possibi.. WON
Next Best: #1e Dutrow Brothers entry 2-1: 1a Double or Nothing preferred.. 2nd/8th
Exotics Add: #6 Smooth Call 8-1: Fawkes bay signaled readiness with 11/29 bullet.. 6th

8th: The Capote, 2yo, 6f (DD)

Terrific overnight event of 7 well-matched C&G's.. None would surprise..

Best Value: #7 Cobra Strike 6-1: Tactical Seewald grey has faced good ones.. 6th
Most Likely: #5 RED REEF 9-2: 2 for 2; Drilled 5f thrice since last; Gets pace target.. 3rd
Next Best: #2 Grand Minstrel 3-1: 4/1-1-2 Evans' homebred bulleted 1/89 for this.. WON
Exotics Add: #6 Go Go Shoot 8-1: Bobby Hurley grey from Ryerson got time since big bow.. 4th

9th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 1m-70y (Super)

Best Value: #3 Post Exchange 5-1: KMc opts for bug girl, adds blinks..
Most Likely: #7 Wishful Tomcat 2-1: Contessa rig has found tough NYB babies.. WON
Next Best: #2 Ode to Revolution 9-2: Hills' gelding finally draws well..
Exotics Add: #4 Beyond Challenge 12-1: Reinacher red a threat with clean start..

P6 Play:

4: 4-8
5: 2-6
6: (1/SCR)-3-4
7: 1-2-5
8: 5
9: 3-7

2x2x3x3x1x2 = 72 x $2 = $144

<$50 P4 Play:

6: (1/SCR)-3-4
7: 1-2-5-6
8: 5-7
9: 3-7

3x4x2x2 = $48

Good luck!
Steve