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-   -   12/6: Hollywood (5th-8th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=18591)

Kasept 12-06-2007 07:20 AM

12/6: Hollywood (5th-8th)
 
Wednesday's Carryover P6 at Inglewood reached $1,000,000, but proved out more straightforward than it looked on paper. Favorites Brian the Bold ($5.40, 3rd); Life at Ten ($3.80, 5th) and Familiar Stranger ($4.60. 8th) combined with 4th choice Shore Patrol ($17.80, 4th); co-3rd choice Grey Black N White ($16.00, 6th) and 3rd choice Sohgol ($9.40, Hermosa Beach) to bring back $13k+ to winners.

$45 3x5x3x1 play caught the $314.70 late P4 to break what has been a rough patch of play on my part. Hope you did well. Anticipating possible 2 day carryover provided look at Thursday Hollywood quad below...


HOLLYWOOD


5th: MSW, 3+, 6f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #12 Royal Vision 6-1: Knocking on door awhile; Back to lawn here.. 2nd
Most Likely: #6 MIND THE MINISTER 4-1: Missed thrice before layup; Drilling well.. WON
Next Best: #3 Spankey Come Home 7-2: Troublemaker in famed 1/07 Tiago maiden win.. 3rd
Super Add: #9 Speedy Jones 6-1: Sizzled in 12/3 spin; 2nd off break.. 5th

$1 Exacta (6-12) Paid $15.70
$1 Trifecta (6-12-3) Paid $70.00



6th: ALW/N2X, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Air Commander 3-1: Baffert hitting 42% (!) 2nd over 180 days.. 4th
Most Likely: #8 SEMINOLE NATIVE 5-2: 3rd rallying late in Cal Cup; Moves to GoGo.. WON
Next Best: #3 Stormy Grant 3-1: Canani Cal-bred rarely misfires.. DNF
Super Add: #2 Add Heat 5-1: Steady Abrams 4yo followed 'Native' last.. 2nd

$1 Exacta (8-2) Paid $17.20


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 CHARMVICTOR 8-1: Repeat of comebacker wins this.. 9th
Most Likely: #3 Mast Track 5-2: Returnee Frankel bred, trained, owned; Sharp works.. 5th
Next Best: #6 Doppio 5-1: Respect Gaines off layoff; Spring form fits.. 4th
Super Add: #9 Ever a Friend 3-1: Gomes choses Clement gelding over #8 Haraldo.. 3rd


8th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 7f (Super)

Best Value: #9 Come Back Girl 8-1: Cenicola runners showing better lately.. 4th
Most Likely: #4 HARMONY CREATOR 7-2: Bay exits strong MSW that featured Life at Ten.. 9th
Next Best: #5 Perfect Cast 6-1: Puype red showed early lick 2nd start.. 2nd
Super Add: #11 Forgive and Forget 12-1: Hofmans turned corner off long cold streak.. 11th


<$50 P4 Play: (Italics = core of play)

5: 3-6-9-12
6: 3-8-9
7: 3-5-6-9
8: 4

4x3x4x1 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

declansharbor 12-06-2007 02:16 PM

I'm liking Air Commander today to get first photo taken since March.
I'm also liking PM to hit the board as well.

SCUDSBROTHER 12-06-2007 04:56 PM

Brad Penny horse(E Temptations) ran huge in comebacker.Be very tough if can overcome dogshit 1 hole(Probably won't.)

letswastemoney 12-06-2007 05:14 PM

I would be aware of Canteen in the 7th race. I believe he's an overlay at ML 20-1. He has the best BRIS speed figures for the surface and distance.

SCUDSBROTHER 12-06-2007 05:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by letswastemoney
I would be aware of Canteen in the 7th race. I believe he's an overlay at ML 20-1. He has the best BRIS speed figures for the surface and distance.

Headcase type,but not out of the question.

GPK 12-06-2007 05:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by letswastemoney
I would be aware of Canteen in the 7th race. I believe he's an overlay at ML 20-1. He has the best BRIS speed figures for the surface and distance.


Great freaking call...hope you hammered him. 26-1

SCUDSBROTHER 12-06-2007 05:41 PM

M BAZE blew ride....How did I know he would do that.Just knew he would fk that ride up.

MinnSkinny 12-06-2007 05:45 PM

Thank you LWM
 
Thank you, thank you, thank you for a great tip. WOW

declansharbor 12-06-2007 05:55 PM

Euf Madone....Great call LWM. Of all times to have an empty account.

letswastemoney 12-06-2007 06:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
Great freaking call...hope you hammered him. 26-1

Sadly I didn't....I was thinking about it when I was browsing through the free BRIS PPs for fun and he caught my attention...but it's final exam time at my college so I figured I should stay at school and work on some essays instead.

I need to get with the times and get one of those internet accounts like Xpress Bet or something. Oh well. :)

SCUDSBROTHER 12-06-2007 07:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by letswastemoney
Sadly I didn't....I was thinking about it when I was browsing through the free BRIS PPs for fun and he caught my attention...but it's final exam time at my college so I figured I should stay at school and work on some essays instead.

I need to get with the times and get one of those internet accounts like Xpress Bet or something. Oh well. :)

Somehow they know when you bet them though.The Science about this phenomenon is in it's infancy.


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