Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   The Paddock (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=2)
-   -   W/E Beyers (Via Dan Ilman's FormBlog) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=18416)

Kasept 11-27-2007 07:36 PM

W/E Beyers (Via Dan Ilman's FormBlog)
 
*Hill 'N' Dale Cigar Mile (Aqu): Daaher (K. McLaughlin/M. Luzzi) - 114
*Frank J. De Francis Memorial Dash (Lrl): Benny the Bull (R. Dutrow Jr./E. Prado) - 111

*Clark (CD): A. P. Arrow (T. Pletcher/R. Dominguez) - 103
*Sophomore Sprint Championship (Mnr): Ravalo (D. Barr/D. Whitney) - 103
*River City (CD): Thorn Song (D. Romans/K. Desormeaux) - 103
*Matriarch (Hol): Precious Kitten (R. Frankel/R. Bejarano) - 102
*Citation (Hol): Lang Field (A. Sherman/J. Court) - 101

*Hollywood Derby (Hol): Daytona (D. Hendricks/M. Smith) - 99
*Radar Love (Crc): Finallymadeit (J. Negrete/E. Nunez) - 99
*Thanksgiving (FG): Stormin Baghdad (S. Asmussen/M. Mena) - 99
*Fall Highweight (Aqu): Grand Champion (J. Jerkens/E. Coa) - 98
*Discovery (Aqu): Now a Victor (M. Trombetta/J. Velazquez) - 96

*Laurel Futurity (Lrl): Cowboy Cal (T. Pletcher/E. Prado) - 95
*Sausalito (GG): Tribesman (R. Hansen/C. Schvaneveldt) - 95
*Hollywood Turf Express (Hol): Unusual Suspect (B. Abrams/T. Baze) - 95
*Dream Supreme (CD): Pretty Jenny (C. Janks/S. Bridgmohan) - 93
*Generous (Hol): The Leopard (T. Pletcher/G. Gomez) - 91

*Falls City (CD): Kettleoneup (M. Tomlinson/C. Borel) - 90
*Connie Ann (Crc): Running Lass (A. Salinas/E. Nunez) - 90
*Petro D. Jay (TuP): Bobadieu (D. Oliver/S. Stevens) - 89
*Bessarabian (WO): My List (N. Gonzalez/E. Da Silva) - 89
*Laurel Futurity (Lrl): Bsharpsonata (T. Salzman/E. Camacho) - 87
*Zia Park Express (Zia): Ducky Drake (B. Hone/M. Villa) - 87
*Pass the Line (Crc): Finance Minister (J. Arias/J. Chavez) - 87
*Hollywood Prevue (Hol): Massive Drama (B. Baffert/K. Desormeaux) - 87
*Miesque (Hol): Sea Chanter (T. Pletcher/M. Smith) - 87
*Kentucky Jockey Club (CD): Anak Nakal (N. Zito/J. Leparoux) - 86
*Grand Canyon (CD): Old Man Buck (K. McPeek/K. Desormeaux) - 86

*Excess Energy (TuP): Blumin Beauty (D. Oliver/N. Sisco) - 85
*Chavez County (Zia): Buddha Lady (C. Hartman/C. Lambert) - 85
*Pago Hop (FG): Autobahn Girl (M. Pierce/J. Patin Jr.) - 84
*Maryland Million Starter (Lrl): Fire Hero (A. Dutrow/R. Dominguez) - 84
*Top Flight (Aqu): Mini Sermon (T. Pletcher/E. Coa) - 84
*Demoiselle (Aqu): Mushka (W. Mott/J. Velazquez) - 84
*Lil Abner (CT): Donald's Pride (P. Burns/M. Mawing) - 83
*Golden Rod (CD): Pure Clan (R. Holthus/J. Leparoux) - 83
*Pennsylvania Nursery (Pha): Notgivinmyloveaway (R. Baker/J. Duarte Jr.) - 81

*Caressing (CD): Absolutely Cindy (K. Kinmon/L. Melancon) - 77
*Remsen (Aqu): Court Vision (W. Mott/E. Coa) - 76

*Columbia River (PM): Dixieland Easy (R. Baze/K. Radke) - 74
*Knoll Lake (TuP): Beacon Falls (K. Lewis/S. Gann) - 73
*Montauk (Aqu): Ice Cool Kitty (R. Dutrow Jr./E. Prado) - 73
*Eddy County (Zia): Poni Colada (S. Asmussen/A. Juarez Jr.) - 71

*Bountiful Harvest (Hou): Deputy Dance (S. Asmussen/J. Figueroa) - 67

*Display (WO): Discreet Commander (A. Silvera/C. Montpellier) - 62
*Magic City Classic (TP): Ack Magical (W. Hicks/R. Prescott) - 56

*Indiana Stallion (Hoo): Our Lucky Sox (G. Foley/L. Goncalves) - 55

*Indiana Stallion (Hoo): Classic Ramona (D. Paulus/M. Adam) -

ArlJim78 11-27-2007 07:45 PM

yikes! Demoiselle 84, Remsen 76

Kasept 11-27-2007 07:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
yikes! Demoiselle 84, Remsen 76

No one seems to be reading too much into the low Remsen number.. Oddly run race with the winner bottled up.

blackthroatedwind 11-27-2007 08:02 PM

I don't know. To me a slow race is a slow race. The winner was somewhat visually impressive, as was the second horse, but the others are very weak and I will be against them all down the road.

The 2YOs are a weak group so far. Maybe some of the recent West Coast winners can change that. I hope so.

The Bid 11-27-2007 08:12 PM

Love Absolutely Cindy

hockey2315 11-27-2007 08:38 PM

I'm suprised Mushka's fig wasn't a little higher. . . I would've expected more improvement from her first two when she got 82s. . .

hockey2315 11-27-2007 09:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cardus
It's not always true that a horse will improve in this situation, is it?

No but she went from beating maidens to beating stakes level horses and was stretching out. . .

Kasept 11-27-2007 09:22 PM

Mushka has now made three straight wide moves compiling her 3/2-0-1 record.. BSF's do not account for ground loss, so her speed figures may be misleading. From a visual standpoint, she was mighty impressive Saturday, and her :24-ish burst to reach and pass the leaders is a great sign for the future. She should only get better.

From a company standpoint, she has finished behind only Backseat Rhythm and Country Star, which came in her debut going 8.5f on the Belmont lawn from the hedge. The former was third, albeit a distant third, in the BC Juvy Gals, and the latter won the (Gr. I) Alcibiades in her 2nd start..

As a point of comparison, Ashado received an 84 BSF when she won this event in 2003 as did Boca Grande last year. One of those got significantly faster at three... One didn't... As a daughter of Empire Maker out of a Seeking the Gold mare, it's no a surprise that Mushka was so effective getting the Demoiselle's 9f, and it stands to reason she is going to be even more formidable going 9f or more with the anticipated development curve of her sire's get.

Monarchos1 11-27-2007 10:11 PM

Can all of that info from the DRF be reproduced here without a link? I thought we couldn't do that.

philcski 11-27-2007 10:15 PM

I had been looking for the number on the Eddy County. Good stuff!!


Seriously... a slow race is a slow race. I liked Court Vision coming in, and yes he won, but I don't think any of these will make a major impact down the road.

On the flipside, The Cigar seemed better than the 114 published.

blackthroatedwind 11-27-2007 10:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Mushka has now made three straight wide moves compiling her 3/2-0-1 record.. BSF's do not account for ground loss, so her speed figures may be misleading. From a visual standpoint, she was mighty impressive Saturday, and her :24-ish burst to reach and pass the leaders is a great sign for the future. She should only get better.

From a company standpoint, she has finished behind only Backseat Rhythm and Country Star, which came in her debut going 8.5f on the Belmont lawn from the hedge. The former was third, albeit a distant third, in the BC Juvy Gals, and the latter won the (Gr. I) Alcibiades in her 2nd start...


Don't you think it's more important to mention that she was the only horse out of seven that didn't gun for the lead and was the beneficiary of a huge relative pace?

One the second paragraph....you're not actually comparing her turf race to her dirt efforts....are you?

10 pnt move up 11-27-2007 11:22 PM

Mushika had a dream trip, she may be a nice filly but that setup was ideal.

How did daytona equal the stakes record of a race thats been won by alot of nice horses yet only get a 99? He had to have run faster then he did at santa anita.

The Indomitable DrugS 11-27-2007 11:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Don't you think it's more important to mention that she was the only horse out of seven that didn't gun for the lead and was the beneficiary of a huge relative pace?

I agree that the highly favorable pace setup more than made up for any ground she lost on the far turn.

Also, as I recall, the second place finisher was hung up about just as wide around the first turn as the winner was around the 2nd turn.

I don't think the winner did much more from a ground loss standpoint than the 2nd place horse - and I'd much rather be wide catapulting around tiring horses on the far turn ... than caught wide with a speed horse while up near a very strong pace in the first turn.

Also agree that the Remsen field - going 9fs with that kind of pace - were setup to look bad - and the winner had a bad trip to boot - but the winner sort of has a look of a dog biscuit to me...and the ones behind him have no look at best.

Pedigree Ann 11-28-2007 03:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Also agree that the Remsen field - going 9fs with that kind of pace - were setup to look bad - and the winner had a bad trip to boot - but the winner sort of has a look of a dog biscuit to me...and the ones behind him have no look at best.

This opinion, not an unreasonable position, of course insures that these horses will become stars next year. [attempted irony]. Just think of the Remsen winners about whom much was made (Rockport Harbor, Saarland) who turned out to be less than stellar; surely the opposite will work.

freddymo 11-28-2007 08:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pedigree Ann
This opinion, not an unreasonable position, of course insures that these horses will become stars next year. [attempted irony]. Just think of the Remsen winners about whom much was made (Rockport Harbor, Saarland) who turned out to be less than stellar; surely the opposite will work.

Rocky was pretty good and Saarland was just ordinary..

The Saarlands sold pretty dam good for a 10k plodding stallion

philcski 11-28-2007 08:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pedigree Ann
This opinion, not an unreasonable position, of course insures that these horses will become stars next year. [attempted irony]. Just think of the Remsen winners about whom much was made (Rockport Harbor, Saarland) who turned out to be less than stellar; surely the opposite will work.

Well, to debuke this idea, Nobiz was lauded last year and he turned out to be a useful horse on both dirt and turf, and the same went for Bluegrass Cat in '05. I find it a difficult prep to evaluate as 9F for 2YO's may just be too far.

ArlJim78 11-28-2007 10:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Don't you think it's more important to mention that she was the only horse out of seven that didn't gun for the lead and was the beneficiary of a huge relative pace?

One the second paragraph....you're not actually comparing her turf race to her dirt efforts....are you?

you look at races like I do, I had the same observation right as the race was running. the effort was flattered imo because of Mushka lagging back from the lead pack, and in turn running on the proper pace for the distance. I am a bit sceptical that she is as good as she looked.

Kasept 11-28-2007 10:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pedigree Ann
This opinion, not an unreasonable position, of course insures that these horses will become stars next year. [attempted irony]. Just think of the Remsen winners about whom much was made (Rockport Harbor, Saarland) who turned out to be less than stellar; surely the opposite will work.

Where this insight leaves Thunder Gulch, Pine Bluff, Coronado's Quest, Read the Footnotes, Bluegrass Cat and the aforementioned Nobiz Like Shobiz is anyone's guess.. (Not to mention Remsen also-rans Empire Maker, Flashy Bull, Zanjero, Skip Away and Alydar...)


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 09:12 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.