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-   -   11/4: SA (Closing Day-C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=17941)

Kasept 11-04-2007 06:29 AM

11/4: SA (Closing Day-C/O)
 
Multiple heartbreaking beats as part of the Churchill P4 Saturday as 79-1 Somethingintheway and 7-2 Whitefish get nosed and headed by flying 7-1 Silent Street at the wire to dash a monster exacta box and/or the Quad.. Got quality effort from 'Best Value' High Heels (7-1) in the Chilukki, 2nd by a diminishing half to overlaid Rolling Sea (4-1) for $31.40.. Hope you did well..

Santa Anita carried into closing day with impossible $110.00 Gentle Charmer starting sequence. Arcadia 'must pay' so we 'must play'...


SANTA ANITA


5th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f-DHT (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Shem Tov 6-1 3rd
Most Likely: #8 Indian Sun 2-1 WON
Exotics Use: #2 Vital Force 5-1
Super Add: #5 Cultured 15-1


6th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 Red State 6-1
Most Likely: #7 Wild Nekia 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 French Souvenir 3-1 WON
Super Add: #1 Jitterbug Ball 5-2


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Purple Royale 20-1
Most Likely: #3 Redundantredundant 7-2
Exotics Use: #4 Characteristic 6-1 WON
Super Add: #5 Via Rodeo 15-1


8th: 38th Las Palmas (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #13 Strong Faith 15-1
Most Likely: #7 BLACK MAMBA 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Naissance Royale 9-2 WON
Super Add: #3 SCR


9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Fine Flyer 8-1 3rd
Most Likely: #7 Sixcess 4-1 WON
Exotics Use: #8 Hurry Up Austin 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #5 American Officer 12-1


10th: S/ALW. 3+, 1m-T (Super)

Best Value: #2 LIVE FREE 15-1
Most Likely: #11 Arroyo Trabuco 7-2
Exotics Use: #10 Glimmering Pete 8-1
Super Add: #14 Wellnessfast 10-1


<$150 P6 Play:

Main ticket (Bold = "A's"):

5: 7-8
6: 1-3-7
7: 3
8: 7
9: 5-6-7-8
10: 2-11

2x3x1x1x4x2 = 48 x $2 = $96


Back-up tickets:

A: 2-5-10-11-12/7/3/7/7/2 (5x1x1x1x1x1 = 5 x $2 = $10)
B: 8/6-8/3/7/7/2 (1x2x1x1x1x1 = 2 x $2 = $4)
C: 8/7/4-6-7-9/7/7/2 (1x1x4x1x1x1 = 4 x $2 = $8)
D: 8/7/3/4-8-9-13/7/2 (1x1x1x4x1x1 = 4 x $2 = $8)
E: 8/7/3/7/1-2-3-9/2 (1x1x1x1x4x1 = 4 x $2 = $8)
F: 8/7/3/7/7/1-3-6-7-9-10 (1x1x1x1x1x6 = 6 x $2 = $12)

$96+$50 = $146


@$50 P4 Play:

7: 2-3-4
8: 7
9: 6-7-8
10: 1-2-3-6-7-9

3x1x3x6 = $54


Good luck! And thanks to Hammerle and The Oak Tree Assoc. for a great meet!

Steve

pmacdaddy 11-04-2007 07:15 AM

Thanks Steve!

Here is my stab. Manditory payout very attractive, but still not willing to invest too much. Basically need to nail the opening pick3, then I have some sort of shot...

R5 - 2,8
R6 - 1
R7 - 3
R8 - 4,7
R9 - 2,5,6,7,8
R10 - 2,7,11
$120

Good Luck to all on this one!

dylbert 11-04-2007 11:08 AM

Mandatory Pays make for Fun Days!
 
MAIN: 7,8,13 // 1,3,5,8 // 3 // 4 // 1,3,7,8 // 7,9,11 = $288

BACKUPS:
8 // 1,3 // 2,4,7,9 // 4 // 1,3,7,8 // 7,9,11 = $192

8 // 1,3 // 3 // 7,8,9,11 // 1,3,7,8 // 7,9,11 = $192

8 // 1,3 // 3 // 4 // 1,3,7,8 // 2,4,10 = $48

TOTAL $720

Good Luck to All Today... someone is going home with the money, why not one of us?

PeteMugg 11-04-2007 12:15 PM

My ticket
 
8
1,7
3
7
7,8
7,10

2x2x2x$2= $16

Good luck gang

SundaySilence 11-04-2007 01:20 PM

Steve, you're not using most likely #11 on PK4 play ?

ArlJim78 11-04-2007 01:30 PM

one wide mythical ticket, i'll be playing only the pick4 part of the sequence.

5) 2 8 10 11
6) 1 3 8 9
7) 3 4 9
8) 4 7
9) 8 9
10) 7 9 11 14

$1,536

estreetposse 11-04-2007 03:46 PM

Throwing a small one out...

5) 2,8
6) 1,8
7) 3
8) 4,7,8
9) 7
10) 10,11

$48

Good Luck All!!!

Kasept 11-04-2007 04:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SundaySilence
Steve, you're not using most likely #11 on PK4 play ?

Personally I am.. Original play went 9 wide in last leg and I adjusted it to take the 3 widest posted out and add the 2 in the first leg. Note that the horse I like best in the nightcap is the CAPITALIZED Live Free...

Kasept 11-04-2007 04:28 PM

Everybody alive after professional effort by Hendricks-Peacock 2nd timer..

As a sidebar, Hendricks seems to be 'circling back' with some stock after the post-Brother Derek lull..

pmacdaddy 11-04-2007 06:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dylbert
MAIN: 7,8,13 // 1,3,5,8 // 3 // 4 // 1,3,7,8 // 7,9,11 = $288

BACKUPS:
8 // 1,3 // 2,4,7,9 // 4 // 1,3,7,8 // 7,9,11 = $192

8 // 1,3 // 3 // 7,8,9,11 // 1,3,7,8 // 7,9,11 = $192

8 // 1,3 // 3 // 4 // 1,3,7,8 // 2,4,10 = $48

TOTAL $720

Good Luck to All Today... someone is going home with the money, why not one of us?

Nice work so far, one away... Punch these or entertainment only?

dylbert 11-04-2007 06:58 PM

Entertainment only... and missed on last leg. Had fun, thanks.

pmacdaddy 11-04-2007 07:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dylbert
Entertainment only... and missed on last leg. Had fun, thanks.

Good run at 5/6.

Ronnie 11-04-2007 09:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pmacdaddy
Good run at 5/6.

I'm not seeing 5/6 but who gives a ****.

dylbert 11-04-2007 10:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ronnie
I'm not seeing 5/6 but who gives a ****.

I can't hear you over cowbell... LOL. I mismarked 7th as "4" is was "7" -- new trifocals are a biotch...


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