BC: Spr; FMS; D-Mile (PP's/Odds)
 

Dirt Mile

10th (5:35) Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile S.

1 Mile 70 Yards | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $1,000,000

1 1 Discreet Cat Gomez G K bin Suroor Saeed 126 L 2-1
2 2 Lewis Michael Talamo J Catalano Wayne M 126 LA 6-1
3 3 Wanderin Boy Castellano J J Zito Nicholas P 126 L 8-1
4 4 Forefathers Hill C Mott William I 122 LA 20-1
5 5 High Finance Velazquez J R Violette, Jr. R A 126 LA 5-1
6 6 Gottcha Gold Lopez C C Plesa Edward Jr 126 L 8-1
7 7 Park Avenue Ball Bravo J Ryerson James T 126 LA 15-1
8 8 Corinthian Desormeaux K J Jerkens James A 126 L 7-2
9 9 Xchanger Dominguez R A Shuman Mark 122 LA 6-1

Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta Special Daily Double (Race 3) Dirt Mile / Turf Mile



Filly & Mare Sprint

8th (4:25) Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Sprint S.

6 Furlongs | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $1,000,000

1 1 Miss Macy Sue Razo E Jr Von Hemel Kelly 123 LA 6-1
2 2 Miraculous Miss Rose J Klesaris Steve 123 LA 15-1
3 3 Dream Rush Coa E M Violette, Jr. R A 120 LA 2-1
4 4 Maryfield Trujillo E O'Neill Doug 123 LA 15-1
5 5 Jazzy (ARG) Flores D R Hennig Mark 123 LA 20-1
6 6 Oprah Winney Gomez G K Dutrow, Jr. R E 123 L 6-1
7 7 La Traviata Leparoux J R Parisel Francois 120 L 5-2
8 8 Wild Gams Dominguez R A Perkins Ben W Jr 123 LA 10-1
9 9 Shaggy Mane Velasquez C Chatlos Donald Jr 123 L 12-1
10 10 Baroness Thatcher Desormeaux K J Parisel Francois 120 L 12-1


Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10) Special Daily Double (Race 1) FM Sprint / Sprint



Sprint

7th (2:35) TVG Breeders' Cup Sprint (G1)

6 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $2,000,000

1 1 Smokey Stover Gryder A T Gilchrist Greg 126 L 7-2
2 2 Midnight Lute Gomez G K Baffert Bob 126 LA 2-1
X X Attila's Storm SCR
4 4 Talent Search Fogelsonger R Shuman Mark 126 LA 15-1
5 5 Kelly's Landing Dettori L Kenneally Eddie 126 LA 20-1
6 6 Commentator Bravo J Zito Nicholas P 126 L 12-1
7 7 Idiot Proof Flores D R Sise Clifford Jr 123 L 10-1
8 8 Benny the Bull Guidry M Dutrow, Jr. R E 126 L 6-1
9 9 Bordonaro Migliore R Spawr Bill 126 LA 15-1
10 10 Greg's Gold Espinoza V Hofmans David 126 LA 9-2
11 11 Forefathers Desormeaux K J Mott William I 123 LA 20-1


Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9)

No Surf Cat in the Dirt Mile.. or anywhere else.

La Traviata takes Saturday SPR as 1st call..
 

La Traviata has cross-entered in the SPR and F&M SPR with the Saturday event as first preference...

stunning..

Headley only prefers surfaces his horses don't like....apparently.

He's done enough.

I think Surf Cat has run 3 races already this year. That is about his max.

Smokey Stover in the sprint.

whoever gets Corey Nakatani

I think I just saw the largest TG number ever. Midnight Lute with a -7 in his last race, what a monsterous performance

i guess he is a bounce candidate then?

I don't know, Byk was mentioning something today how he is a huge horse and they have problems over the track. That last race impressed me the day I watched it, there is something about cali sprinters that drive me nuts. But yeah, he should be a bounce candiate because that is such a huge improvement.

How long until we see a -10? The scale is out of hand...

He scaled back all numbers last year I think so that 7 would have been a 10 if he didn't scale it back. Horses are getting faster though.

So your saying that a huge effort doesn't effect horses?

not that much...

Personally, I like his numbers, ALOT. They have made me a better handicapper, just not recently. I do think that some numbers, especially the ones with 4w4w built in can be a little high but I go with them. If anything, they help me eliminate a horse like Tiago, which without TG's is a horse I would 'toss' in but because of TG's I am able to confidently eliminate him, he beats me, he beats me but I doubt it.

I agree that the bounce is overused. Maybe I should use regression instead because no one uses it. But regression is a VERY REAL thing when its comes to patterns, and figuring them out can help you play against a 4/5 horse that looks like he can't lose or toss a 'hot' horse because of his last couple.