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-   -   Scud's bet of the year. (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=1714)

SCUDSBROTHER 07-08-2006 10:21 PM

Scud's bet of the year.
 
Betting $500 on this tonite.I had no idea it was this high(trust me,they have atleast a 50% chance of winning this division.)They shut out the Dodgers,Mariners,A's...and are leading the A's 6-0 tonite.I am not gunna miss out on this.I really don't know how they have peen playing so poorly.They are well managed by a 3 time World Champion.Their middle relief is a problem this year,but I think the starters are getting confidence from the run support.Last 8 games ...starters 1.51 era

Would put a k on them if Donnelley,and the other middle guy(Spear,or whatever )was doing better.This is a weakness.


LA Angels 8/1 to win the American League West

SCUDSBROTHER 07-08-2006 10:40 PM

As soon as I got my money in, they took the bet down.They will put it back up at 3/1.I had my chance.Too f'n slow.Was that a coincidence,or do they have software that allows them to raise money when they need to(by offering particularly good odds on something,and then taking the bet of that customer's wagering menu(after the customer puts money in their account.)

pgardn 07-08-2006 11:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
As soon as I got my money in, they took the bet down.They will put it back up at 3/1.I had my chance.Too f'n slow.Was that a coincidence,or do they have software that allows them to raise money when they need to(by offering particularly good odds on something,and then taking the bet of that customer's wagering menu(after the customer puts money in their account.)

Since I dont bet on line Scuds how did that come down? You were ready to make the bet and it showed 3-1 instead of 8-1 so you backed out?

In other words, you made the bet, the program said OK you have 500 dollars at 3-1 and you then said CANCEL transaction cause it was at 8-1?

timmgirvan 07-09-2006 12:18 AM

Scuds: was that Pinnacle? that sucks!

SCUDSBROTHER 07-09-2006 12:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by timmgirvan
Scuds: was that Pinnacle? that sucks!

No,I sent you the name in a private m.I have never had any trouble with them(doesn't mean they aren't above trying to raise some money(even if they have to give it back in a week or 2.)Even the worst book I have ever used have paid me.The question has always been when(not if.)They can drag it out pretty good(tell ya it is a National Holiday in their country ETC. ETC...LOL.)

SCUDSBROTHER 07-09-2006 07:06 AM

They put it back up at 6/1(I took it.)After I took it at 6/1,it went to 11/2.I love the way they get to start the 2nd half in Tampa,and the A's have to go to baseball hell(Boston.)Then I love all the games against K.C.,TEXAS,AND OAKLAND TO END THE SEASON.Getting rid of Senior brother Weaver=worth 5 wins.Having junior brother Weaver for a full 2nd h=priceless.Lackey is on fire.Fat Colon warming up.Santana and Escobar aren't leaders,but will pile on if the other 3 pitch well.I am worried about the middlle relief(my biggest concern...had to bring K Rod in to get out of the 8th last night..f'n Donnelley should be laying tile.)

Thu. 14 at Texas 8:05 PM FoxW Ameriquest Field Tickets
Fri. 15 at Texas 8:35 PM FoxW Ameriquest Field Tickets
Sat. 16 at Texas 8:05 PM KCOP Ameriquest Field Tickets
Sun. 17 at Texas 2:05 PM Ameriquest Field Tickets
Tue. 19 at Kansas City 8:10 PM FoxW Kauffman Stadium Tickets
Wed. 20 at Kansas City 8:10 PM FoxW Kauffman Stadium Tickets
Fri. 22 at Oakland 10:05 PM KCOP McAfee Coliseum Tickets
Sat. 23 at Oakland 4:05 PM KCOP McAfee Coliseum Tickets
Sun. 24 at Oakland 4:05 PM KCOP McAfee Coliseum Tickets
Mon. 25 Texas 10:05 PM FoxW Angel Stadium Tickets
Tue. 26 Texas 10:05 PM FoxW Angel Stadium Tickets
Wed. 27 Texas 10:05 PM FoxW Angel Stadium Tickets
Thu. 28 Oakland 10:05 PM FoxW Angel Stadium Tickets
Fri. 29 Oakland 10:05 PM FoxW Angel Stadium Tickets
Sat. 30 Oakland 10:05 PM KCOP Angel Stadium Tickets
Oct. '06 OPPONENT TIME (ET) TV LOCATION LAA PITCHER OPP. PITCHER TICKETS
Sun. 1 Oakland 3:35 PM KCOP Angel Stadium Tickets

SCUDSBROTHER 07-09-2006 06:13 PM

AL WEST
---------------
Oakland 45- 43
Texas 45- 43
LA Angels 43- 45 - 2
Seattle 43- 46 - 2.5


8/1 YESTERDAY...6/1 LAST NIGHT....5/1 THIS MORNING...and will be 3/1 or less to win the division tomorrow morning.Even the inconsistent Santana is in gear with a nasty slider,and Shields struck out the guy who hurt him on Thursday.The Demons haunting the pitching staff are gone(except for Donnelley,and they should ship that cancer off to somebody else.)

SCUDSBROTHER 07-09-2006 07:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pgardn
Since I dont bet on line Scuds how did that come down? You were ready to make the bet and it showed 3-1 instead of 8-1 so you backed out?

In other words, you made the bet, the program said OK you have 500 dollars at 3-1 and you then said CANCEL transaction cause it was at 8-1?


NO,PAT, what happened is I didn't have money in the book(whenever I win,I usually drain it,because I think myself and most people have much better judgement when they have to deposit funds each time they bet.Similiar to people are better off paying with a check card for stuff instead of using a credit card that they can avoid paying the full amount of.)So, I put $500 into my balance.O.K.,then I went to the betting menu,and there was no longer a bet called "winner of the American League West." I just think too much money came in,and they had to take that wager down.They later adjusted to 6/1(which I took.)It then went to 11/2.Then 5/1,and now(with another huge pitching performance by 3 different pitchers)it is again not offered for betting.It will probably be offered tomorrow at 3/1.Halo pitchers have come out of their haze,and remember that they are Western Division Champions for 1 reason...PITCHING!!..Barring injuries(which is the concern always,)I will collect on this bet.They have mastered the A'S weak hitters,and get to close the season at home against them.Just that simple.My biggest nightmare would be K ROD,OR LACKEY getting hurt.I believe that Escobar is a complete follower type,and if the team is winning he will win(he could take up the slack if one of those went down.)He has a ton of talent,but is an underperformer(like I said, a follower.)It doesn't take much to create acrimony on a team.I think the early part of this season was partially ruined by one,Jeff Weaver(who has been released,or who knows what they did with the slob.)He pitched(more like threw)for the Dodgers last year.I don't think the guy is a glass half full type of guy,and I think the pitchers,and hitters kind of divided up into two camps(because of influences like this guy.)His kid brother is pitching up a storm for the same Angel team.If he was pitching poorly,I also think he would be a cancer on the team(but since he is pitching well,it is not an issue right now.)Just weird personality genes with that Weaver family. Depression possibly..don't know.

SCUDSBROTHER 07-10-2006 11:14 AM

I have never seen such a dumb line as this one.I don't see how either Oak,or Texas can be favored over the Halos.I know the Angels are in the A's heads real badly(and they have to play the Halos to finish the season.)Halos buried them easily in the closing weeks last year.Halo pitchers have those batters figured out.Now,after the Halos had the A's pitching coach thrown out for screaming at the home plate umpire(about balls n' strikes,)the A's only get 3 days off.They have to go to Boston.Good luck with that.I guess Texas makes a little more sense(as far as winning the division,)but MARK MY WORDS.Halos will be blood feasting on Oakland in September.


OAK Athletics 4/5


TEX Rangers 13/5


LA Angels 9/2


SEA Mariners 6/1

Scav 07-10-2006 02:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
I have never seen such a dumb line as this one.I don't see how either Oak,or Texas can be favored over the Halos.I know the Angels are in the A's heads real badly(and they have to play the Halos to finish the season.)Halos buried them easily in the closing weeks last year.Halo pitchers have those batters figured out.Now,after the Halos had the A's pitching coach thrown out for screaming at the home plate umpire(about balls n' strikes,)the A's only get 3 days off.They have to go to Boston.Good luck with that.I guess Texas makes a little more sense(as far as winning the division,)but MARK MY WORDS.Halos will be blood feasting on Oakland in September.


OAK Athletics 4/5


TEX Rangers 13/5


LA Angels 9/2


SEA Mariners 6/1

Scuds, this was a great wager...I was going to play them at 18/1 to win the American League(go to World Series) but ran out of loot.....I watched every one of their games and played them in all three, them winning the last three kept me going for the weekend.....

Gander 07-10-2006 02:44 PM

I feel very strongly that the A's will win this division but 4/5 is ridiculous as far as betting goes.

Buffymommy 07-10-2006 02:49 PM

Think I am leaning towards the Angels. Better odds.

Gander 07-10-2006 04:44 PM

jerret weaver is the ace of the future

LOL! I needed a good laugh.

Gander 07-10-2006 05:04 PM

Hilarious. His brother is a real stud too.

SCUDSBROTHER 07-10-2006 05:22 PM

Angels lost 9 games when the opposition scored 3 runs or less.I do not think that will occur in the 2nd half.Jeff Weaver will not lose 10 games for the Angels in the 2nd half(he is no longer on the team.)They've won 8 of 9.In that one loss,Shields got beat in the bottom of the 9th by a 2 run home run by Frank Thomas.Yesterday's game was very important for this team,because Shields came in and made all 3 of the Oakland hitters look like fools(including striking out Frank Thomas.)What else is gunna be different in the 2nd half of the season? Well,Colon just threw a 4 hit shut out over Seattle.That was his 1st win since last September.If Colon keeps pitching that way,look out.Even if he doesn't,they have some pitching here:

Jered Weaver 1.12 e.r.a.

Scot Shields 2.47

John Lackey 2.88

Francisco Rodriguez 2.89

Hector Carrasco 3.81

Kelvim Escobar 3.88

Ervin Santana 3.96 (youngster pitched 7 strong yesterday,and was throwing his slider better in the 7th inning than in the rest of the game.)

So,there is my justification for them taking the division.Now,on the downside they are not a strong offensive club.I think they are coming around(I especially think it is important for Figgins to keep the confidence he is showing right now at the plate.) They have not been playing good defense this year.Pitchers Donnelly,and Romero are pretty much crap.Hopefully Shields will continue to pitch like he did Sunday.These other 2 will continue to be deficits on this team.

Gander 07-10-2006 07:56 PM

What team has Jeff Weaver cursed the most? Tigers, Yankees, Dodgers, Angels or now the Cardinals? Gosh this guy is like A Rod except for the talent. Hot head too, likes to start stuff with other players and I cant for the life of me understand why? Imagine what a guy like Jason Varitek would do to him?

SCUDSBROTHER 07-10-2006 08:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gander
What team has Jeff Weaver cursed the most? Tigers, Yankees, Dodgers, Angels or now the Cardinals? Gosh this guy is like A Rod except for the talent. Hot head too, likes to start stuff with other players and I cant for the life of me understand why? Imagine what a guy like Jason Varitek would do to him?


You know he does have his good pitching moments.I just can't see the guy pitching with success if he has to pitch 6/7 innings every 5 days.I think he may be useful with the nasty sidearm stuff in certain spot situations.


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