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-   -   9/3: Saratoga (Day 36-C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=16481)

Kasept 09-03-2007 05:21 AM

9/3: Saratoga (Day 36-C/O)
 
A valuable lesson about Saratoga, and horseplaying in general, came Sunday... On the penultimate day of the meet, after largely mediocre results for 34 days, discovering Mission Approved ($70.00; $173.00 Exacta; $1,448.00 Tri) in the Saranac guarantees a profitable meet. If things are not going as well as you would like, you simply have to keep plugging. Continue doing what you always do, as the horses will 'run your way' and get you whole if you remain confident about your approach.

Hope you did well yesterday, and did well during Saratoga. It's been a great 6 weeks... $100,000+ carryover that MUST be distributed today...


SARATOGA -- Day 36 (Meet Closing Card)


1st: CLM/N3L (DD)

1. #1e Odinitz entry 6-1 WON
2. #9 ROYAL ELECTRICIAN 9-2 4th
A. #2 Raw Cat 4-1 6th
B. #8 SCR


2nd: NYB-MSW (P3, P4)

1. #4 Golden Vista 10-1 6th
2. #3 WINNING PUNCH 3-1 3rd
A. #5 Jovanna 5-1 WON
B. #8 Reversible Error 10-1 2nd

$1 EX $48.75
$1 TRI $135.00



3rd: NYB-MSW (P3)

1. #8 Legal Tender 7-2 6th
2. #4 Aly's Tough 5-2 3rd
A. #9 Our Wonder Cat 8-1 8th
B. #1e Candlin entry 20-1 9th


4th: ALW/N2L (P3)

1. #1e Zito entry 5-1 3rd/7th
2. #4 Greater Fool 7-2 6th
A. #8 Bb Livermore 6-1 8th
B. #3 Steve's Double 10-1 WON


5th: MSW (P3, P6)

1. #6 Wotan 6-1 3rd
2. #10 TRUST N DUSTAN 8-1 6th
A. #4 Hidden Glance 3-1 4th
B. #2 Globalization 7-2 7th


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 3-4
3: 4-8-9
4: 1-3-4-8
5: 6-10

2x3x4x2 = $48


6th: CLM (P3, GS, DD)

1. #10 Luke's Flash 20-1 5th
2. #3 GRAND 7-2 4th
A. #2e Flying Zee entry 4-1 2nd/6th
B. #9 Military Major 5-1 7th

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #5 The Shaughruan 20-1 8th


7th: The Weekend Madness (P4, Super)

1. #10 Sans Reward 20-1 4th
2. #5 Classic Neel 3-1 WON
A. #6 Lady Digby 12-1 2nd
B. #4 Unspoken Word 10-1 3rd

$1 EX $53.75
$1 TRI $368.00
$1 SUPER $4,799.00



8th: 12th Glens Falls-Gr. III (P3, Super)

1. #8 SCR
2. #3 MAKDERAH 5-2 7th
A. #6 Safari Queen 7-2 5th
B. #7 Mauralakana 12-1 2nd


9th: 103rd Hopeful-Gr. I (DD)

1. #4 READY'S IMAGE 4-5 2nd
2. #2 Maimonides 7-5 3rd


10th: ALW/N1X (Super)

1. #1 Biggerbadderbetter 5-1 2nd
2. #5 Storm Treasure 5-2 5th
A. #6 Warn 4-1 9th
B. #8 Kettle Hill 6-1 WON

SUPER ADD: #10 Seastate 10-1 7th


<$100 P6 Play:

5: 6-10
6: 2-3-10
7: 5-10
8: 3
9: 2-4
10: 1-5

2x3x2x1x2x2 = 48 x $2 = $96


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 4-5-6-9-10-12
8: 3-(8 SCR)
9: 4
10: 1-5-6-8

6x1x1x4 = $24


Good luck.. and thanks!
Steve

Spiggle24 09-03-2007 07:15 AM

Steve,
Just curious as to why on your pick 6 play you singled the 3 in the 8th yet in the pick 4 play you chose to go 2 deep & single the 9th?:confused:

northeastbound123 09-03-2007 07:17 AM

any thoughts on the PA derby?

Martin 09-03-2007 07:37 AM

Incredible P-3
 
Steve,

Thanks for the Mission Aproved pick. I singled Irish Smoke and Crusader to hit a 1,262.00 P-3. A P-3 with 2 favorites and it pays this only Bykster can cap these payouts. Great work Steve

pointman 09-03-2007 12:13 PM

Early pk 4:

2: 3-4-5
3: 9
4: 1-3-4-8
5: 3

Good luck to everyone today!

Scav 09-03-2007 12:49 PM

Alright **** it. Race 5, the first leg of the pick six has a very interesting horse. The #1 Big Brown has a very VERY solid work 3 back, 59.3 on the TURF. It really looks like that was the work to see what he had and then these last two were maintenance works. Prado was aboard for Reynolds until yesterday. Probably helped the value a little bit. I won't be able to play him straight but I will be playing him in the pick six. Proceed in tossing the horse now :)

hoovesupsideyourhead 09-03-2007 12:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Alright **** it. Race 5, the first leg of the pick six has a very interesting horse. The #1 Big Brown has a very VERY solid work 3 back, 59.3 on the TURF. It really looks like that was the work to see what he had and then these last two were maintenance works. Prado was aboard for Reynolds until yesterday. Probably helped the value a little bit. I won't be able to play him straight but I will be playing him in the pick six. Proceed in tossing the horse now :)

has every chance scav..not sure rose is as good as before..the 3 looks dangerous.........

peetsa 09-03-2007 01:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Alright **** it. Race 5, the first leg of the pick six has a very interesting horse. The #1 Big Brown has a very VERY solid work 3 back, 59.3 on the TURF. It really looks like that was the work to see what he had and then these last two were maintenance works. Prado was aboard for Reynolds until yesterday. Probably helped the value a little bit. I won't be able to play him straight but I will be playing him in the pick six. Proceed in tossing the horse now :)

"won't be able to play him straight but I will be playing him in the pick six."
Why can't you play him straight? Seems to me you have a better shot at making money on a horse you think has a good chance than on hitting SIX horses in a row!! Sorry, but that is stupid logic IMO.

Scav 09-03-2007 01:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by peetsa
"won't be able to play him straight but I will be playing him in the pick six."
Why can't you play him straight? Seems to me you have a better shot at making money on a horse you think has a good chance than on hitting SIX horses in a row!! Sorry, but that is stupid logic IMO.

it is stupid logic but I want to play the pick six and i have limited funds. The $108 I do have to spend with two solid singles and 100k in the kitty. The $108 I have to win on him gets me back 750 or 800. Not enough

kenny p 09-03-2007 02:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Alright **** it. Race 5, the first leg of the pick six has a very interesting horse. The #1 Big Brown has a very VERY solid work 3 back, 59.3 on the TURF. It really looks like that was the work to see what he had and then these last two were maintenance works. Prado was aboard for Reynolds until yesterday. Probably helped the value a little bit. I won't be able to play him straight but I will be playing him in the pick six. Proceed in tossing the horse now :)

Nice call!

Bigsmc 09-03-2007 02:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Alright **** it. Race 5, the first leg of the pick six has a very interesting horse. The #1 Big Brown has a very VERY solid work 3 back, 59.3 on the TURF. It really looks like that was the work to see what he had and then these last two were maintenance works. Prado was aboard for Reynolds until yesterday. Probably helped the value a little bit. I won't be able to play him straight but I will be playing him in the pick six. Proceed in tossing the horse now :)

ALRIGHT SCAVS.

Slump buster.

Scav 09-03-2007 02:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc
ALRIGHT SCAVS.

Slump buster.

OH YEAH...Start of the pick six and every one of my dad's friends had this horse. BOOM BABY. POOL TAKER!!!

pointman 09-03-2007 02:26 PM

nice call Scav, should have heeded your advice here.

Coach Pants 09-03-2007 02:27 PM

Nice analysis, Scav. Hope you take the six down.

Rudeboyelvis 09-03-2007 02:27 PM

Nicely played Scavs gl rest of the way

hoovesupsideyourhead 09-03-2007 02:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
OH YEAH...Start of the pick six and every one of my dad's friends had this horse. BOOM BABY. POOL TAKER!!!

not really...i know of 8 peeps who had em in.. but it was a good call //by you and joe..

Scav 09-03-2007 02:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
not really...i know of 8 peeps who had em in.. but it was a good call //by you and joe..

Why can't you just lie to me and tell me I am the greatest? I NEED THAT right now. HOPE my friend, HOPE

hoovesupsideyourhead 09-03-2007 02:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Why can't you just lie to me and tell me I am the greatest? I NEED THAT right now. HOPE my friend, HOPE

you are the greatest..no lie.........congrats

Scav 09-03-2007 02:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
you are the greatest..no lie.........congrats

TY :)

I actually learned that angle from you while at Toga, looking at the works and trying to figure out exactly what they are thinking.

So i should be thanking you for sharing it

GPK 09-03-2007 02:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Alright **** it. Race 5, the first leg of the pick six has a very interesting horse. The #1 Big Brown has a very VERY solid work 3 back, 59.3 on the TURF. It really looks like that was the work to see what he had and then these last two were maintenance works. Prado was aboard for Reynolds until yesterday. Probably helped the value a little bit. I won't be able to play him straight but I will be playing him in the pick six. Proceed in tossing the horse now :)


pure f*cking luck...


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