8/15: Saratoga (Day 19-Carryover)
 

First half of meet closed out Monday with good enough day featuring large exotics hit in the 4th. Find my own bankroll down $200.00 after 3 weeks necessitating a post-halftime rally. Carryover of $60,000 to start Week Four.


SARATOGA


Selections Key:

1. "Best value win candidate"
2. "Most likely winner"
A. "Possible winner/Exotics include"
B. "Exotics include"


1st: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

1. #6 Queen Amira 8-1: Runback to 5/25 stake hit would score for Kent D.-Mott..
2. #3 Zaynab 5-2: Clement-Gomez bay tactical, always around money..
A. #2 Astronomia 10-1 WON
B. #7 Flankers Lady 15-1


2nd: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, P4)

1. #1 Happening 6-1: Bromans have been making hay with Hook and Ladder babies..
2. #5 Dana Dew 3-1: $280k Sugar Maple FuPeg has advantage of bow under belt..
A. #2 Winning Punch 4-1
B. #7 Desaloot 15-1


3rd: OC/C, 4+, 6f (P3)

1. #2 Fleet Valid 4-1: "Pork Chop" off last three; Appears the controlling speed..
2. #1 Will He Shine 3-1: Reacted to huge True North (Gr. II) win; Rebound likely..
A. #6 Roman Candles 15-1
B. #7 Council Member 5-2 WON


4th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, P6)

1. #6 Macho Again 10-1: West Point baby half to Rojo Toro; has even drills for bow..
2. #3 INNER LIGHT 5-2: Mott-Desormeaux no secret; firster cost $650k..
A. #7 Devereux 5-1
B. #8 Paint 3-1 WON


5th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, GS)

VERY contentious Empire-bred grass mile..

1. #4 Stormy Success 8-1:
2. #5 Tobruk 4-1: Caught in gate at break last; Sciacca live here, 9th..
A. #6 I'll Make It Up 5-1: Schettino 9/0-0-0 meet; red draws better; 3rd lifetime stat eye-opening..
B. #3 Typhoon Tycoon 2-1: Looks underlaid from trainer who 'doesn't win'..

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS USE: #9 A Rose Like Us 10-1: Last OK v. these; gets plus jock switch..


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-5-7-8
3: 1-2
4: 3
5: 3-4-5-6-9

5x2x1x5 = $50


6th: OC/N3X, 4+, 8.5f-T (P4, DD, Super)

1. #5 Palace Episode 8-1: bin Suroor a stunning 9 for 18 these layoffs.. WON
2. #3 Electric Light 5-2: Win shy 5yo from Reynolds well-spotted; Chased Shakespeare..
A. #1 Stream of Gold 8-1: Lightly-raced KMc acquiree attracts Edgar..
B. #8 Yate's Black Cat 3-1: ML 2nd choice loses ground, won't get target; underlay..

SUPER ADD: #9 Salinja 6-1


7th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3)

If Cliff Meadows flops, this becomes impossible heat to decipher..

1. #10 Sultry Approval 4-1: Live Oak homebred from Clement gets lawn, drops..
2. #3 Cliff Meadows 2-1: $300k Melnyk War Chant being given away.. WON
A. #8 Out of Aces 15-1
B. #1e Serpe entry 12-1

LONGSHOT: #5 Tu Sandy 20-1: Bulleted 'round 'dogs' prepping first under Barbara; intriguing..


8th: The Adirondack (Gr. II), 2yo-F, 6.5f (DD, Super)

1. #4 Sky Mom 5-1: Three poly runs but best try by far came on dirt..
2. #6 MORE HAPPY 2-1: A female Maimonides? Baffert; Vindication; Bejarano; Sikura-Gentry-Gaines..
A. #7 Yonagucci 15-1: Grab tab on Azpurua bay being showcased for sale..
B. #8 Phantom Income 4-1: Klaravich-Violette ran off in debut..


9th: CLM, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (Super)

1. #2 Josefina's Pride 8-1: Schosberg red popular tagger; threat on best under Prado..
2. #3 Ohbeegeewhyn 6-1: Sciacca tabs Kent D.; solid 6yo mare 2nd/break, saves ground..
A. #8 Broken Treaty 5-1
B. #7 Madam Manguy 7-2

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #6 Irish Ballerina 15-1


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-5
7: 3-5-8-10
8: 4-6
9: 2-3-8

3x4x2x3 = $72


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 3-6
5: 4-5-6
6: 3-5
7: 3-8-10
8: 4-6
9: 3

2x3x2x3x2x1 = 72 x $2 = $144


Good luck!
Steve

In the Adirondack, look out for Passion ....

Agree
 

Love Passion here. Won for fun first time out and was under wraps the last 1/16 of a mile. Her figure was just as fast as anyone else here and expect her to move forward off that effort. 6-1 ML is too enticing not to play her here. Baffert's Filly More Happy was all out to win at Del Mar and ships here off a quicker turnaround.

PSH

Thanks Steve!

Just playing one race today (7th). I will be betting Cliff Meadows is damaged goods. This is some spot for a $310K purchase who put up an 83 Beyer last time off long layoff. By posting this, he is sure to romp...

Like Sultry Approval a lot. Gets Turf and class drop after getting washed off / slop run in debut. Potential for big triple if Cliff doesn't fire.

R7 - Triple
10 / 1,3,5,7,8,9 / 1,3,5,7,8,9

Good Luck Today!!!

Agree... was at Del Mar for More Happy's debut and was not that impressed. She could move way up on the dirt, but at 2-1 I'd stand against.

Fair enough.

Guess that is always a concern with MSW/Mcl. To me Sultry Approval's drop looks well intentioned after washed off debut. Cliff Meadows' drop looks panicky.

If they were looking to steal one with Cliff, why not run him with a tag right off the bench. Have to think claiming risk would have been less with 4YO dropping in off year and a half layoff. Now that supposed cat is out of the bag with 83 Beyer in last, they drop in for tag?

As I said, could be wrong based on trainer numbers. Right or wrong, I will make hime beat me.

steve, if u are only down $200. U are having a hell of a meet, congrats.

Was just about to say that, I dream of only being down $200 the last two months :)

Are you kidding? I dream of only being down $200 for Sumwon's last race. :eek: