Derby Trail Forums - 8/13: Saratoga (Day 18)

Another solid day of handicapping winners with modest exotic success.. The happy stunner of the day was Wish Me Success (4-1 ML) being allowed to go off at an insane 12-1. But that is the benefit of Sundays with 40,000 people in the building who are not really horseplayers... $400.00 $1 P4 was available with the $16 (2x2x2x2) play. Hope you did well.

First half of the meet ends Monday with an excellent card...

SARATOGA

Selections Key:
1. "Best 'top' horse at best value"
2. "Most likely winner"
A. "Possible winner and exotics include"
B. "Exotics candidate"

1st: CLM, 3yo, 6.5f (DD)

1. #1 Southernconference 5-2 7th
2. #2 (POE) Sami's Dancer 9-5 3rd
A. #7 Need the Write Off 4-1 4th
B. #3 Cash Rich 10-1 6th

2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3)

1. #3 Prarie Melody 12-1 6th
2. #6 Press Leak 5-2 2nd
A. #5 Saratoga Summer 3-1 3rd
B. #7 Fauzeta 10-1 8th

3rd: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3)

1. #4 City Attraction 2-1 WON
2. #5 Noonmark 9-5 2nd
3. #3 Leonardo 3-1 4th

LONGSHOT: #6 Blue Bullet 8-1: Note that the Chief uses exersize rider here instead of Corny... Looking to get Carter a paycheck? 3rd

$1 EX $9.60
$1 TRI $54.75

4th: CLM, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3)

1. #5 Il Posto's Bambina 8-1 3rd
2. #3 Cori's Star 3-1 2nd
A. #8 Sister Desiree 5-2 5th
B. #4 Ashima 15-1 WON

$1 EX $150.50
$1 TRI $638.00

5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 7f (P6, P3)

1. #7 Kevazinga 7-2 10th
2. #6 Vilify 3-1 WON
A. #3 Show Me How 4-1 8th
B. #8 One in a Romp 6-1 2nd

<$50 P4 Play:

2: 3-5-6-7
3: 3-4-5
4: 3-5
5: 6-7

4x3x2x2 = $48

6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9.75f-T (P3, DD, GS, Super)

1. #9 Prince Rahy 9-2 2nd
2. #1 Niagara Causeway 3-1 6th
A. #2 Dancing Forever 4-1 4th
B. #5 Maroon 6-1 7th

7th: MSW, 3+, 7f (P4)

1. #2 Bb's Livermore 4-1 WON
2. #10 Joppa Flat's 3-1 2nd
A. #4 Cherokee Flare 6-1 8th
B. #3 Intuition Magic 12-1 6th

INTERESTING PRICE: #6 Jed Greeley 20-1: Away since fall of 2yo year, homebred Mr. Greeley colt now with Lou Albertrani gets Lasix for return and soph debut.. Will be huge price and may not be the most crazy stab or exotics toss-in... 10th

8th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 9f (P3, Super)

Fascinating event with a really solid group of Empire-breds.. 5-2 ML fave Pay Attention is a play-against here.. Race will be focus of my "Keyword: Saratoga" TV show on Capital OTB TV-12 this morning with co-host Seth Merrow and Thoro-Graph's Julian Weinberg..

1. #6 Questioning 20-1 3rd
2. #7 Drizzly 8-1 4th
A. #9 Log Jam 5-1 6th
B. #5 Indian Hawke 5-2 2nd

9th: 4th Troy, 4+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Despite short field, a fabulous feature race.. Intriguing that Eddie Plesa (#6 Mr. Silver), as good a horseman as you'll find, passed on $60K Monmouth stake Saturday for this tough spot.. Also, Councuil Member could scratch in favor of even tougher sprint Wednesday..

1. #5 T. D. VANCE 6-1 WON
2. #1e Godolphin entry 6-5 5th
3. #6 Mr. Silver 8-1 2nd

$1 EX $26.00

10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-IT (Super)

1. #6 Russian Affair 6-1 7th
2. #8 Delta Park 5-2 2nd
A. #1 (POE) Any Minute Now 4-1 3rd
B. #5 Classic Impact 8-1 4th

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #2 Loushe 8-1 10th

<$50 P4 Play:

7: 2-10
8: 1-3-5-6-7-9
9: 1e-5
10: 6-8

2x6x2x2 = $48

Good luck!
Steve