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-   -   7/8: Belmont ($78k Carry) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=14905)

Kasept 07-08-2007 05:51 AM

7/8: Belmont ($78k Carry)
 
Mixed bag of results Saturday with few standout opinions coming to fruition.. Some mediocre triples kept the day afloat, but the multi-race tries were all lousy. The beat in the Churchill nightcap, which would have been helped the afternoon's kitty, was especially agonizing when Kiss With a Twist looked like a winner before Nunnery fought back.. Nice carryover at Belmont with an OK card to attack.. Hope everyone did well Saturday!

BELMONT PARK (4th-9th)

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, Super)

1. #6 Blaise's Brother 4-1: Stoklosa winless on annum, but gelding fits here..
2. #1 Fiddlers Warrior 3-1: May actually have found a field he can beat..
A. #5 SCR (SUB #8 Spiritual Call 6-1)
B. #9 Ferdi's Prince 5-2: ML fave adds blinks for Violette; Keeps Coa..


5th: The Inside the Beltway, 3yo, 6f-T (Grand Slam, P3)

1. #4 English Colony 10-1: Overlay $ on 'Gibraltar' bay that blew away GP maidens..
2. #7 Quietly Mine 2-1: Logical Clement gelding just topped ordinary set last..
A. #3 Pay Wright 5-2: Weaver miss gave game effort v. Super Freaky..
B. #8 Out of Gwedda 4-1: '06 Tremont winner returned Badgett to circle..


6th: NYB-ALW/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, DD, Super)

Great wagering contest and very tricky allowance with at least 8 of 12 in range for laurels..

1. #9 Admiral Bird 9-2: Dogwood gelding from Clement/Gomez owns class edge..
2. #7 Good Going Darl 8-1: Highly useful rig is 3rd/break; Goes to JV from Jara..
A. #8 Joaquin Memphis 12-1: Purdy-bred by Chester House may jump up on sod..
B. #3 Spurred 7-2: Late-running C. Martin bay yet to miss a check in 4 tries..

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #2 Ready Enough 15-1: Will get lost on board and is circling to effort..


7th: 43rd Lexington, 3yo, 9f-T (P3)

1. #3 Distorted Reality 6-5: DiHumor red showed merit v. Marcavelly in Gr. III Hill Prince..
2. #1 Perusal 2-1: Shug-Janney D'former flattered by Sensational Humor..
A. #2 SCR
B. #4 Mission Approved 8-1: Contessa bay isn't facing state-breds here..


8th: 30th First Flight (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 7f (DD)

1. #3 SWEET FERVOR 2-1: Mott on stakes roll, and this is a real racehorse..
2. #1 Ginger Punch 4-5: Sugar Swirl SCR'd..
3. #5 Silmaril 5-1: Midlantic tigress more of a kitten in previous NY visits..


9th: 9th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 9f-T (Super)

1. #10 CUTE COGNAC 1-1: Post only hurdle for Tagg-Partinglass bay..
2. #4 New York Dixie 7-2: DixBand daughter DQ'd in NoLa; Obvious alternative to choice..
A. #1 La Gioia Ditutti 15-1: Sciacca bargain bay gets better and better..
B. #6 Cherna 10-1: Dickinson homebred yet to prove she's hopeless: Positive feature with these..

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #7 Delightful One 30-1: Gets Samyn after showing ability in move to lawn..


<$100 P6 Play:

4: 1-6
5: 3-4-7
6: 7-9
7: 1-3
8: 1-3
9: 10

2x3x2x2x2x1 = 48 x $2 = $96


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-7-8-9-12
7: 1-3-4-6
8: 1-3
9: 10

6x4x2x1 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

Downthestretch55 07-08-2007 11:33 AM

Steve,
Thanks for the picks.
I'm no expert, so I'll ask, in race 8, don't you think Swap Flipparoo should be included?

Kasept 07-08-2007 12:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Downthestretch55
Steve,
Thanks for the picks.
I'm no expert, so I'll ask, in race 8, don't you think Swap Flipparoo should be included?

W,

The way The Chief is going, nothing would surprise me from him.. It depends on what you're playing. In the multis, I think the 1a and 3 get you through. If you're going after exotics, she could hit board and boost the tote...

Good luck!!

onebadbeast 07-08-2007 12:54 PM

Hey Steve, What, No Last Day Churchill Picks?????

Kasept 07-08-2007 12:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by onebadbeast
Hey Steve, What, No Last Day Churchill Picks?????

Uh... no. :D

unassailable08 07-08-2007 02:46 PM

dang that sucks steve
 
u finished 2 3 4 in the 6th race

Kasept 07-08-2007 03:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by unassailable08
u finished 2 3 4 in the 6th race

No.. 3-4-5 at best. I found it an utterly impossible race. I dismissed the winner early on in the capping too. That blows up the day pretty much. Nice box results in the 4th-5th, but I liked the P4 ticket going into this..

unassailable08 07-08-2007 03:14 PM

Its no worries Steve
 
yesterday was a disaster yesterday.

I was three for four at LSP late Pick 4 and had 3 out of 9 options to win.

I finished 4 7 8.

At Hollywood I played the Big Pick 4

and was one for one then it blew up.

Quite the disaster.


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