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-   -   6/7: Belmont (4th-9th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=13968)

Kasept 06-07-2007 07:47 AM

6/7: Belmont (4th-9th)
 
OK afternoon Wedneday with late P3 and nightcap Superfecta score, but passing on Big Jerome cost the handsome $400 late '4'.. Hope you did well.

Action continues to heat up towards Saturday with another solid card..


BELMONT PARK

PRE-SCRATCHES..

4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P6, P3)

1. #3 Dragon Fi 2-1 WON
2. #5 Black Jack Blues 5-2 2nd
A. #2 City Diplomat 4-1 3rd
B. #7 Secret Stocks 5-1 4th


5th: ALW/S, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Grand Slam, P3)

1. #8 Miss Buddhaful 2-1 4th
2. #3 Miss Vanity 6-1 6th
A. #1 Try to Remember 9-2 3rd
B. #6 Il Posto's Bambina 8-1 2nd


6th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P4, DD, Super)

1. #8 Nedjma 9-2 2nd
2. #1 Dance Til Morn 12-1 6th
A. #3 Rosie's Attitude 4-1 8th
B. #10 Inca is Calling 8-1 WON


7th: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3)

Struggling with #2 Graeme Central here.. Leaving out, but you may not want to..

1. #3 Cataleisha 4-1 2nd
2. #7 Precise Lady 6-1 5th
A. #4 Zippy Missy 5-2 WON
B. #1 Earhart 5-1 3rd


8th: OC/N3X, 4+, 9f-T (DD, Super)

1. #7 Mystic Ruler 8-1 DNF
2. #4 Cosmic Kris 12-1 5th
A. #6 Dave 3-1 7th
B. #3 Nergal 5-1 4th


9th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super)

1. #4 Cute Cognac 2-1 2nd
2. #9 Jocassee 9-5 WON
A. #5 SCR
B. #10 We Love Our Kids 4-1 5th


<$50/$25 P4/P3 Plays:

VERY tough P4.. Offer the usual <$50 play, but wider tries might be adviseable..

6: 3-8
7: 3-4-7
8: 3-4-6-7
9: 4-9

2x3x4x2 = P4-$48/P3-$24


Good luck!
Steve

GPK 06-07-2007 08:02 AM

Race 3

Although not part of your sequence Steve, I love Double Dinghy Day for Alexander today.

7/2 ML and will be happy for 3-1 or higher. I think she is worth a strong play in here today.

blackthroatedwind 06-07-2007 08:46 AM

A couple of thoughts.....


In the 5th race you might want to at least entertain the possibility that Lady Raj is a better horse than these.

In the 6th, If you think Rosie's Attitude can win, which she absolutely can, how can you dismiss Uptothechallenge, who has had major excuses in her last two, gets a major rider change, and will be a very square price? I can't. She's another part of a very tricky race.

GPK 06-07-2007 08:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
A couple of thoughts.....


In the 5th race you might want to at least entertain the possibility that Lady Raj is a better horse than these.

In the 6th, If you think Rosie's Attitude can win, which she absolutely can, how can you dismiss Uptothechallenge, who has had major excuses in her last two, gets a major rider change, and will be a very square price? I can't. She's another part of a very tricky race.


Very easy to go deep in this leg. Seem to be a few in here with a legit chance to score at a nice price.

I like Second Marriage. Contessa having a great meet. This one is trying 2 turns for the first time, but I like it coming 2nd off a layoff after showing some early speed in her turf sprint last out.

blackthroatedwind 06-07-2007 09:00 AM

Good luck with Second Marriage. They will be scraping me off the floor if she wins.

I think there is a huge disparity in talent between the 6F turf race she exits and this one. In general, the 6F turf sprints are weak fields.....especially in this condition.

Kasept 06-07-2007 09:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
A couple of thoughts.....


In the 5th race you might want to at least entertain the possibility that Lady Raj is a better horse than these.

In the 6th, If you think Rosie's Attitude can win, which she absolutely can, how can you dismiss Uptothechallenge, who has had major excuses in her last two, gets a major rider change, and will be a very square price? I can't. She's another part of a very tricky race.

BT,

Absolutely agree on Lady Raj and 'Challenge'.. Had same problem deciding on Lady Raj (5th) and Graeme Central (6th), and 7th (with Uptochallenge) is a total crapshoot..

Very tricky series. Should be a fun afternoon, and am bummed you can't get out there. Perfect day at this hour...

GPK 06-07-2007 09:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Good luck with Second Marriage. They will be scraping me off the floor if she wins.

I think there is a huge disparity in talent between the 6F turf race she exits and this one. In general, the 6F turf sprints are weak fields.....especially in this condition.


*note to self....get shovel ready just in case...*

blackthroatedwind 06-07-2007 09:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept

Very tricky series. Should be a fun afternoon, and am bummed you can't get out there. Perfect day at this hour...


There's a slight chance I may be able to head out after I'm done doing the show. I'll let you know if I do.

obie1 06-07-2007 10:07 AM

pure white
 
gpk I thought you liked pure white in the 5th at belmont?

Rudeboyelvis 06-07-2007 10:31 AM

6/7 BEL Race 9
 
Might want to carefully consider Parisella's entry here - We Love Our Kids, off a freshening...So far Wheelaway's look like they can take to turf, and this horse is certainly primed for a breakout.

cassie 06-07-2007 12:11 PM

cmf picked the firast stone cold good picking:)

docicu3 06-07-2007 01:35 PM

Nice tri Steveo....

Mortimer 06-07-2007 01:41 PM

I'm going huge on 6 in the 8th.

HUGE.





A little on the 6/2.

Mortimer 06-07-2007 03:59 PM

Fix!!!

GPK 06-07-2007 04:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by obie1
gpk I thought you liked pure white in the 5th at belmont?


I did....was scratched. Second Marraige was in the 6th.

PSH 06-07-2007 04:30 PM

So much for the Johnnie V slump
 
Late Double for Johnnie V.
Seems like the slump might be over....

GPK 06-07-2007 04:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PSH
Late Double for Johnnie V.
Seems like the slump might be over....


I thought Ramon was on Sunriver?


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