Belmont picks 5/28
 

1'st 1-on the margin & #6 Cockney Gambler
2'nd- #1 Brian's Car & #6 Seeking No More
3'rd- #1 Commentator
4'th- #5 Banque Royale & #6 RJ's
5'th - #4 Thunderestimate & #5 That'll do
6'th - #1Reverberate & #6 Pioneer
7'th - #4 Good going Darl &#11 My apology
8'th - #2 Ron & #4 Sun King & #6 Latent Heat
Good luck to all!

BEL picks
 

Race 2 (TURF): #6 Seeking No More (3-1) scratched as an AE Saturday; hot Hushion (17-5-3-1) adds blinks, draws Prado (replacing Arroyo) off nice 3d in turf debut vs Back To Mandalay (see race 5). Not alot to beat in this NYbred contest; use with #5 Saturday's Cat (7-2) who's had many chances but always competitive vs state-breds and #1(POE) Brian's Cat Can Do (15-1) who makes third start of current form cycle for Contessa coming in off two decent rallying finishes on weeds.

Race 5 (TURF): #7 Back To Mandalay (4-1) broke through with nice turf score in 3d try last out over BEL sod (but first effort vs state-breds), winning with something left; Zito charge coming to hand and could be a good one; Zito enjoying fast BEL start (11-4-2-1). Wide open underneath, I'll look to use #4 Thunderestimate (7-2) off good mdn score with Prado, #10 Spurred (8-1) also coming in off nice mdn sod score in '07 debut and getting Castellano 1st time for Donk and #6 False I.D. (9-2) yet another trying winners first time, trained by Tagg; will also throw in #5 That'll Do (12-1) and Bellbottom Johnny (15-1) as bombs who both try turf first time today but each with pedigrees that suggest an affinity for the green.

Race 6: (Main): #8 Nerve (8-1) is my 1st LONGSHOT PLAY; looked awesome breaking mdn by 9 at Calder on 4/25; shipped up to NY thereafter and now under care of Contessa with 5f bullet in holster; class test today vs older but appears capable of springing upset from nice outside post draw in field packed with speed.

Race 7: (TURF): #5 Doctor Freud (8-1) is my 2d LONGSHOT PLAY who sheds blinks and goes for always dangerous Pletcher-Johnny V duo; stretches and tries turf first time today vs pretty deep, competitive field, but has nice grass pedigree (sire Freud pops 14% with firsters on lawn); as well regarded as Todd is, he's an underrated master of the surface switch, especially first time. #8 Pays to Dream (9-2) is 2-2 on grass and is main danger under Castellano; #10 Dormeletto (5-1) with Prado and #11 My Apology (10-1), a Dutrow trainee, should also be included in any exotics wagers.

Race 8: MET MILE (Main): #4 Sun King (5-1) is my tepid selection in very intriguing feature but I will need value to play him. Was 2d in this race last year, losing by head to Silver Train; troubled '07 debut in G3 Westchester prep but that race, along with peppy 46.4 work on May 21, should set him up well for a top effort today; likely to sit behind the speed (and there's alot of it) and look to kick it in gear down the lane to swallow up what I hope will be tiring speed; worth noting he's the closest to knocking off World Champ Invasor, losing a nose bob last August in the Whitney at the Spa. The one to beat is Pletcher's #2 Lawyer Ron (5-2) who is fluorishing under Todd's care but likely to be overbet and still has yet to beat the caliber of horses he's facing today. Perhaps Pletcher gets him over the top today. Gotta use in any exotics under Prado. May also throw #9 Silent Name (JPN)(8-1) into the mix given he is a natural miler who comes in off smashing G2 score at KEE; question mark is fact that he tries dirt first time (20 starts); if his form translates, he could be a handful late under Corey Nakatani who flies in from Cali to ride.

Race 9: (TURF): #3 Perfect Bullet (5-2) moves into the Bobby Frankel barn after bang-up length and nose losses this spring at GP; freshened, with solid, steady work tab; looks ready to rumble today with Castellano in irons but BE WARY of short price. #2 Hyracotherium (9-2) is main foe from that Todd-JR tandem; made visually impressive 6wide move in mdn voyage going 5f on lawn vs good looking English Colony (Penna) on 3/28 at GP; freshened up for the stretch out; would be no surprise. Others rating an exotics look are #1POE Virginia Minstrel (6-1) from Barclay Tagg, firster #5 War Monger (8-1) from dangerous Bill Mott who can pop with a debuter and #7 Montauk (12-1) who shed blinks for turf debut for Jimmy Jerkens (6-24 1st turf).

***For any late Pick 4/Pick 3 considerations...in Race 10 I will use #4 Truth or Dare (3-1) and #11 Kal El (7-2).

nice job guys...good luck

changes
 

SCRATCHES
Race Program # Horse Time Notes
2

1A Papershoes Early
4 Senor Musician Early
12 Final Authority Early
13 Fighting Senor Early

5

1A Classic Impact Early
2 Jacks Express Early
11 Al Basha Early
12 Highly Spoken Early
14 City Dealer Early
15 Gold Pageantry Early

6

1A Indian War Dance Early
8 Nerve Early

7

7 Keen Lassie Early
11 My Apology Early
13 Couth Early
14 Lethal Missile Early
15 Optimistic Steve Early
16 Firemist Early

8

5 Accountforthegold Early

9

1A Pure Revenge Early
11 Spirit Warrior Early
13 Westward Go Early
14 Masterofthehouse Early
15 Validation Early

10

3 Mighty Thor Early
5 Secret Stocks Early


JOCKEY CHANGES
Race Program # Horse Changes
2

11 Big Daddy Rex P. Morales

7

12 Red Down South J. Rivera Jr



MISCELLANEOUS CHANGES
Race Program # Horse Changes
4 5 Banque Royale +4

5 9 Beneath the Crown GELDING

7 5 Doctor Freud BLINKERS OFF

8 9 Silent Name (JPN) +2

9 6 Advanced Signs +1

thanks Hooves. Always need it! And belated congrats on nailing the Jaipur with Ecclesiastic. Heckuva selection. A rarity to see anyone provide a $50 winner in any race, let alone a graded feature.

there are many here on this board that do..thats what makes this so great and you may join the ranks...go gettum..

Race 5
 

Holy crap is Race 5 giving me fits.

Don't forget the 13 - Speaking Out drawing in. Hit the board in 6 of 8 turf tries. Johnny V sees fit for a low profile barn. Three straight 8f works for his comebacker which was too short for his liking (6f).

Good luck Frank.
You spelled it out pretty well.
The only thing I'd add is that I talked with one of my partners, who works for Jim Jerkens. He likes all three of Jim Jerken's entries, Jack's Express, Corinthian (nice price), and Montauk.
Good racin' luck! And to Hooves too.

With Commentator a potential free square, I'm gonna try a pick 4 here....

R2: 5,6,7 - 2nd
R3: 1 1st
R4: 1,6,7,8 1 1st, 6 - 3rd, 7 - 2nd
R5: 4, 13 (Gets in off the AE. Back class on the grass?) 4 - 1st

Can't believe that "Coa off" horse got me at 60-1 in the 2nd. Hurts.

My pick 6 play:

R5
4 - Thunderestimate
10 - Beneath the Crown
13 - Speaking Out

R6
1 - City Attraction
5 - Organizer

R7
4 - Good Going Darl
6 - SS Crafty
8 - Pays to Dream

R8
1 - Silver Wagon/Mr. Umphrey
2 - Lawyer Ron

R9
3 - Perfect Bullet

R10
4 - Truth or Dare
11 - Kal El

3 x 2 x 3 x 2 x 1 x 2 = $72 x $2 = $144

GL to all today

Taking a crack at the late Pick 4 with a pricey ticket...

7- 4,5,8,9
8- 2,4,6
9- 2,3
10- 2,8,11

4x3x2x3x1= 72$ for a dollar...

Good Luck to those playing and have a safe, happy holiday. We will never forget those who have put their lives on the line for the betterment of our country. To those living and those who have given the ultimate sacrifice, THANK YOU!!!!

in the 5th i like the 6/7

lol..bad rides abound ..heres my pick 4

this would ba called a play

race 7 8/3/5/10

race 8 8/9

race 9 1/2/3/6

race 10 2/9 :D

Not listed in the Form, but Youbet says Doc Cheney got the "ultimate equipment change" for the 6th.

i like the late pick 4 at Belmont

Leg A - 2-3-4-5-6-8-9-10 hate when you go deep and get the fav.
Leg B - All (8) 9 horse wins - good performance by Corinthian
Leg C - 3 - the 1/2 fav coulndt get it done today. seemed like the horse was never comfy.
Leg D - 1-4-11

$192

I like the 4 Good Going Darl here in the 7th.

Nothing like getting jammed behind a wall of horses. YUCK