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-   -   Nat'l PK4 SAT - early look (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=11881)

Bogey 04-11-2007 10:17 PM

Nat'l PK4 SAT - early look
 
Rain is in the forecast for both Keeneland and Oaklawn on SAT. The NTRA National PK4 has been a success since its inception with it's large pools and payoffs. Personally, I have had some nice scores and always look forward to it. Let's take an early look.

Leg 1 - Keeneland - G2 Commonwealth BC

#6 Ryan's for Real - Razor sharp form, must translate it to the poly from LRL.
#7 Midnight Lute - Packing bullets and won G3 Perryville last fall at KEE.
#8 Silent Name (Jpn) - Has been keeping G1 company on the lawn.
#10 Gin and Sin - 7yr Gelding could light up the tote board.
#12 High Finance - Career best came at same distance & similar layoff. PP?
#3 Straight Line - Due to run a big one. Training steadily at KEE.

Leg 2 - Keeneland - G1 Blue Grass

#4 Street Sense - Could regress and still win. Looks to take the rubber match.
#7 Great Hunter - G1 winner at KEE will benefit from a hot pace.

Leg 3 - Oaklawn - Instant Racing BC

#6 Wellofaprize - Training super for '07 bow for new trainer. This barn usually sends them ready (understatement of the year).
#8 Angel Smoke - Grey filly has improved with every start.
#5 Nice Inheritance - Looks to rebound off wide dull effort in the Win Star Oaks for Asmussen.
#10 Chatham - Overbrook homebred should have no problems going around two turns for Stewart.

Leg 4 - Oaklawn - G2 Arkansas Derby

#2 Curlin - With the defection of Ketchikan, he should make short work of this field. Showed he's a quick learner in dominating the Rebel off the pace.

Nat'l PK4 - 3 6 7 8 10 12 with 4 7 with 5 6 8 10 with 2 = $48

Good Racing Luck

lemoncrush 04-12-2007 01:32 PM

Haven't taken a really long look at the national pick 4 yet, but would not leave Ramsgate out of the mix in the Commonwealth.
Absolutley loves the synthetic stuff.

POINTGIVEN1985 04-12-2007 02:03 PM

i love the ntra pick 4, i even created a thread about them a while back, i think they need to do more of these, possibly once a month, it could help bring intrest to the sport.

ateamstupid 04-12-2007 02:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lemoncrush
Haven't taken a really long look at the national pick 4 yet, but would not leave Ramsgate out of the mix in the Commonwealth.
Absolutley loves the synthetic stuff.

Agreed, nor would I leave out River City Rebel. Horse came home in :11 3/5 at AQU in his return, NOT something that happens often, and is something that bodes well for polytrack success. I hate High Finance in that spot. Midnight Lute looks like the one to beat, but is anyone else weirded out that Espinoza isn't in for the ride? That's a $24,000 check if he wins..

POINTGIVEN1985 04-12-2007 02:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Agreed, nor would I leave out River City Rebel. Horse came home in :11 3/5 at AQU in his return, NOT something that happens often, and is something that bodes well for polytrack success. I hate High Finance in that spot. Midnight Lute looks like the one to beat, but is anyone else weirded out that Espinoza isn't in for the ride? That's a $24,000 check if he wins..

i noticed that earlier and im thinking about not even using midnight lute because of that, i also agree with you on high finance i dislike him very much in here, i like.....Silent Name,Ramsgate,Steel Light, and River City Rebel, i will be using them in the National pick 4.

lemoncrush 04-12-2007 09:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Agreed, nor would I leave out River City Rebel. Horse came home in :11 3/5 at AQU in his return, NOT something that happens often, and is something that bodes well for polytrack success. I hate High Finance in that spot. Midnight Lute looks like the one to beat, but is anyone else weirded out that Espinoza isn't in for the ride? That's a $24,000 check if he wins..

Maybe it's me, but it seems everytime Victor travels to a non-california track, he does poorly. I remember last year with Balance, then this year with Stormello and last week with Cobalt Blue.
And I'm not just saying the feature race, but it seems he doesn't do well the rest of the card either.
But I agree, as for this Saturday, there's nothing at Santa Anita that would really have made him think twice about going to Keenland, if asked.

Bogey 04-12-2007 10:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lemoncrush
Haven't taken a really long look at the national pick 4 yet, but would not leave Ramsgate out of the mix in the Commonwealth.
Absolutley loves the synthetic stuff.

Lemon, Upon further review I will add Ramsgate to the mix. She loves the distance as well and Frankel's girl has a real nice post position.

lemoncrush 04-13-2007 03:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bogey
Lemon, Upon further review I will add Ramsgate to the mix. She loves the distance as well and Frankel's girl has a real nice post position.

Absolutley, although "she" is a he.

:p

Bogey 04-13-2007 05:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lemoncrush
Absolutley, although "she" is a he.

:p

I thought he had a sex change. J/K

bellsbendboy 04-13-2007 07:59 PM

I agree Gus, there is blood in the water for tomorrows national 4 and have also scored, this pool, years past. A very, very strong case can be made that neither Street Sense or Curlin will win; at some 6-5 and 9-5 respectively. Yet the former is almost certainly the Derby winner, if not more, and the latter is an exciting prospect by any measure. BBB


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