4/7: 'First Saturday in April'
 

AQUEDUCT (6th-11th)


6th: Pleasant Colony, 4+, 14f (P6, P3)

1. #1e Contessa entry 6-5: Both ends of entry eligible WON/3rd
2. #6 SCRATCH
A. #7 Monopoly Pricing 2-1: Ignore incident last; Violette says he's A-OK 2nd
B. #1 Delta Sea 6-1: Places in marathons

EX: $2.75


7th: 47th Bay Shore (Gr. III), 3yo, 7f ($400k P4, DD)

1. #1 Les Grands Trois 1-1: Bobby unloads serious Live Oak runner 3rd
2. #5 Bill Place 3-1: A. Dutrow stakes winner rested, bulleting WON
3. #4 Hobbitontherocks 6-1: Respect Preciado; is lone winner at trip 2nd

EX: $28.75
TRI: $52.50


8th: 83rd Wood Memorial (Gr. I), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

1. #1a Any Given Saturday 8-5: Courageous TB Derby runner-up should make the most of this opportunity; classy animal 3rd
2. #5 Summer Doldrums 5-1: Best Violette-Klarman Derby candidate since Read the Footnotes sitting on a plus effort 4th
A. #2 Nobiz Like Shobiz 7-5: Have maintained talented Tagg runner was problematic since Holy Bull; must prove otherwise WON
B. #6 Reptilian Smarts 15-1: Snake in the grass from Ritvo progressing like a nice horse; should love added ground


9th: 107th Carter Handicap (Gr. I), 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

1. #4 Silver Wagon 5-2: Multiple stakes winner runs well fresh; owns AQU win WON
2. #5 Diabolical 6-1: Square number on Klesaris who's good 2nd off break 2nd
A. #3 Ah Day 8-1: Leatherbury gelding sharp 6 months; hasn't missed EXA in 3 tries 7f 3rd
B. #6 Latent Heat 9-5: Frankel Gr. I winner will be overbet; likes trip 4th

EX: $16.10
TRI: $67.00


10th: 95th Excelsior BCH (Gr. III), 3+, 9f (DD)

1. #4 Magna Graduate 2-1: Return to anything near Queens Cty win earns honors WON
2. #3 Naughty New Yorker 12-1: One of our faves pointed here by Kelly; flies late 2nd
3. #1 Corinthian 8-5: 3rd/layoff for J. Jerkens; got diploma this strip but needs best yet

EX: $46.50


11th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (Superfecta)

1. #6 It's All Good 7-2: Dutrow Wheelaway red adds Talamo
2. #1 Timirene 3-1: Contessa miss bumped early, came running in debut
A. #2 Golden Manna 5-1: Barker babe keeps earning checks while falling short
B. #8 Automatic Appeal 5-2: Nicely bred Tullock gal keep CC, moves outside for 2nd start WON

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #3 Never Settle 20-1: Away since 6/06 and now with 'betting barn'

2nd
<$50 Guaranteed ($400k) P4 Play:

7: 1-5
8: 1a-2
9: 3-4-5-6
10: 1-3-4

2x2x4x3 = $48

P4 pays $88.25


<$100 P6 Play:

6: 1e-6-scr
7: 1e-5
8: 1a-2
9: 4-5
10: 1-4
11: 3-6-8

1x2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x $2 = $96 (after scratch of #6 in 6th)

P6 pays $852.00..
Consos $21.40 (x6 = $128.40)


HAWTHORNE


7th: 50th Illinois Derby (Gr. II), 3yo, 9f (.10 Super)

1. #5 Cobalt Blue 9-5: Classy O'Neill colt seeks elusive Rose Run for Griffin
2. #7 Catman Running 8-1: Openly rooting for Reed to land Derby slot 5th
A. #4 Cowtown Cat 5-2: Pletcher 3rd stringer lands here; Gotham was odd race WON
B. #1 Sacrifice Bunt 12-1: Mott Lunsford colt saves ground; improving 4th

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #3 Reporting for Duty 15-1: May be right price inclusion here; race behind Ketchikan an eyecatcher 2nd

EX: $58.60


OAKLAWN


8th: 42nd Apple Blossom (Gr. I), F&M-4+, 8.5f (.10 Super, P4)

Taking stand against Round Pond (gives weight, loses ground) in selections but probably need to cover her in multi race wagers given her love of the oval..

1. #5 Take D'Tour 9-2: Fawkes doesn't make trip if she's not ready 2nd
2. #4 Ermine 5-2: Werner Gr. II winner underlaid but likes OP/trip WON
A. #3 India 9-2: Pletcher Hennessy red on stakes roll; prepped here
B. #2 Rahy's Appeal 10-1: Price inviting on Bush mare firing bullets

EX: $20.10


10th: 61st Oaklawn Handicap (Gr. II), 4+, 9f (DD)

1. #5 Lawyer Ron 6-5: "Most likely winner"; perfect at Hot Springs; Edgar WON
2. #4 Papi Chullo 12-1: Sitting on a big effort; great value
A. #6 McCann's Mohave 4-1: On a nice run for likeable connections
B. #2 Jonesboro 6-1: Bounce back to Essex win takes them a long way


P4 Play:

8: 2-3-4-5-7
9: 5-6
10: 4-5
11: 5-6-7

5x2x2x3 = $60


SANTA ANITA


5th: 25th Portero Grande (Gr. II), 4+, 6.5f (DD, P3)

A great race spoiled by Bill Spawr's gutless scratching of Bordonero..

1. #4 Smokey Stover 1-1: Hard to go against new Gilchrist-Aleo star WON
2. #6 Sailor's Sunset 4-1: Polanco-Everest Gr. III winner capable on best
3. #3 Greg's Gold 8-5: '05 Crosby winner came back well from 18 mo. layoff 2nd

EX: $3.50


6th: 70th Santa Anity Derby (Gr. I), 3yo, 9f (DD, P3, .10 Super)

1. #5 LIQUIDITY 5-2: O'Neill bay best this strip; simply faster than any here 4th
2. #3 Bwana Bull 8-1: Hard to know what Hollendorfer has; forward moving though
A. #2 Sam P. 4-1: Blinker add curious; Ramon in to ride; has kept nice company 3rd
B. #9 Tiago 20-1: 'Team Giacomo' believes they've figured this PTap colt out WON

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #4 Boutrous 12-1: Pace scenario, Desormeaux and blinks give Dollase closer a shot: son of Forty Niner mare should love the added ground


7th: 27th: Providencia (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 1m-T (DD, P3, .10 Super)

1. #3 Super Freaky 8-1: Take all the 8-1 you can on Smart Strike miss from 'Team Thor's Echo' WON
2. #4 Princess Iris 10-1: Great tab on import whose 1st N.A. was better than appears
A. #5 Silver Swallow 7-2: Underlaid but fast and a threat in grass bow
B. #10 Valbenny 5-2: Gr. III winner closes well; not killed by post

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #8 Macadamia 20-1: 'Nuts' for this one from slick Lobo


9th: 48th Arcadia (Gr. II), 4+, 1m-T (DD, P3, .10 Super)

1. #2 El Roblar 6-1: Respect Mandella and Mig big on cards like these 2nd
2. #7 Icy Atlantic 9-2: May slip on board and can adjust to cutback WON
A. #10 Willow O Wisp 4-1: Cohen will have to use early to get to turn 3rd
B. #9 Milk It Mick 7-2: Hasn't been same since '06 Kilroe win; 2nd off long break though

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #4 Hello Sunday 8-1: Expect improvement from Frankel import in 2nd North American try

EX: $50.20
TRI: $357.80


KEENELAND LATE P4


8th: 70th Lafayette, 3yo, 7f (P3, .10 Super)

1. #3 Izzie's Halo 3-1: Draws tough 7f post; saves ground but needs trip
2. #10 Prom Shoes 10-1: Fires going well and Raphy sees fit to ride
A. #7 Call Me Clash 8-1: Rose had choice of 2 Lake runners in this
B. #8 Out of Gwedda 5-2: Typical Pletcher entrant; can't use/can't toss

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ALERT: #11 Barkley Sound 15-1: Scott very good and looks ready for big effort


9th: 70th Ashland (Gr. I), 3yo-F, 8.5f (.10 Super)

1. #2 Mistical Plan 7-2: [i]O'Neill bay rarely runs a bad one; adjusts to pace[i]
2. #5 Octave 2-1: Best of rest behind top pick last time at New Orleans
A. #9 Silver Knockers 5-1: Zito filly a threat with return to one 2 back
B. #7 SCRATCH

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #1 Elitist 20-1: McGee bay can invade gimmicks with move forward


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 4
8: 1-6-7-8-10-11
9: 1-2-5-7
10: 4-5

1x6x4x2 = $48


Good luck! Enjoy the day..
Steve

Aqueduct, full card
 

Steve, hope you don't mind me posting under you... tough choice but I decided to focus on Aqueduct, Gulstream is running "Calder" card today, I'll leave Tampa and Keeneland to others...

Race 1: #6 Neon Magic is intriguing, 1st time Dutrow, getting weight with Talamo, off freshening. Needs to run back to one of his good ones last year, if the price is right! #2 Forgotten Cat gets the rail, running well right now, should also be a nice price... #4 River Mountain Rd, likely favorite, fast but comes back on 2 weeks rest..#10 Lieutenant Danz, has semi 0-2-x pattern, can improve, although far outside post doesn't help.

Race 2: On the turf? off the turf? will handicap for on, (if it comes off, use the #11, #8 and #3) #5 Serpe's Hangingbyathread ran well with trouble 1st out at GP, can improve here..#4 Vim & Vigor, improving with every start, gets the rail...neither of the Pletcher entry would be a surprise.

Race 3: #3, Violette's Jimmy G, nice ML price, comes off a stretchout bounce, shortens up here with better timing...#4 Hedge Fund, very solid in 1st 2 starts, ships in.. #6 Truman's Gold, exceptionally fast, nice rest, strange pattern read, could easily run off with this.

Race 4: #10 Market Psychology, comes in off big effort, will be likely favorite, outside post, certainly can win, but might want to take a shot against...with that said, using #5 Cockney Gambler, #7 Love Abroad, and #8 Sly Diamond Jim.

Race 5: #7 Talking Treasure, has potentially Xplosive TG pattern, should run well...#10 Love Cove, #2 American Dreama, and #6 Court and Spark, all look solid.. #4 Posey Park, comes back quickly, but has competitive #'s, could hit the board.

Race 6: the 1 and 3/4 mile Pleasant Colony Stakes, unusual distance... the Contessa entry looks great, #1a Successful Affair is most proven at longer distances...don't have any idea why #7 Monopoly Pricing would be in this race, never gone this far, and coming off a pulled up/vanned off? longshot for 2nd could be the slowish, but lightly race #3 My Man Lars..

Race 7: very contentious Bay Shore, taking a shot with #4 Hobbitontherocks, comes in with fastest TG fig in last at Philly, has nice spacing since that one, could be a square price...whichever Frankel horse runs will be dangerous, as are #'s 5 and 6, Bill Place and Wollaston Bay (like Bill Place a bit more).

Race 8: The Wood Memorial.. obviously this comes down to NoBiz or not NoBiz:) I'm choosing NoBiz!! has run 3 TG 2.5's in a row, today should be the breakthru performance... Any Given Saturday broke through with TG zero in last, ships in from Tampa with just 3 weeks rest, may react..#5 Summer Doldrums is solid, and #3 Sightseeing ran a good one at GP last month, comes in a bit slower than the top horses, but can improve, DANGEROUS!

Race 9: the Carter, #3 Ah Day, hasn't been facing this type, but the TG #'s are excellent...#5 Diabolical, looks good although I heard Andy say he may scratch...#6 Latent Heat, favorite giving weight, taking a shot against. #4 Silver Wagon, extremely fast, but may react to his last (TG neg 2). #7 Keyed Entry, obviously dangerous, especially if this is looking like Pletcher Saturday.

Race 10: the Excelsior, #1 Corinthian, gets the rail, nice timing, should be very tough to beat...expect a good run from #3 Naughty New Yorker, despite Samyn... #4 Magna Grad, the key horse in the sense of throwing out, which is tough to do, especially if Pletcher's are running.

Race 11: MSW night cap, very evenly matched race, looks like any of top 4 can win, #1 Contessa's Timirene should improve 2nd start from the rai, #2 Golden Manna, nice circle back pattern, although comes back a bit quickly..#6 It's All Good, nice spacing off a stretchout, 1st Lasix bounce, can rebound here with Talamo...nothing wrong with Tullock's #8 Automatic Appeal. use all 4.

As always, Good Luck to all

Just looked at the Oaklawn Handicap, race 10, which is the TG Race of the Week... #4 Papi Chullo looks very enticing, especially at 12-1 ML.. favorite Lawyer Ron should run well, but is giving alot of weight, don't like McCanns Mojave at all.. will use #'s 1,2 and 3, Brother Bobby, Jonesboro, and Smokeyjonessutton underneath with Lawyer Ron.

Aqueduct, race 2 on the turf
 

according to NYRA website, as of 10:10, race 2 is ON the turf, for those interested.

my longshot pick for the Santa Anita Derby
the race has a bunch of nothings entered in it so I will go long with 2

Court the King and
Black Seventeen

hey that rhymes

Talamo will be on Ah Day

Talamo instead of Pino now on Ah Day....

Pino is back aboard according to the Big A changes

With local hero Lawyer Ron in the Oaklawn Handicap, you guys that like Papi Chullo should get huge odds. Might be interesting to play him in a daily double over the whole field in the 11th race. It's a maiden race.

take de tour at 6-1 is nutz...he should be 2-1..lemons..i think not

Congrats on ANOTHER pk6 Steve!!!

Good work on Pick 6!

hope you played it stevie.

2 things to say about today:

Steve, congrats on some OUTSTANDING WORK, as usual.

And I stunk at Aqueduct, although I wouldn't have stunk as much if Garcia could have held his 3+ length lead turning for home on
Hobbitontherocks!:( That was a killer for me.

well mr award winner...quite a day..hmm hmm..how about a.....................