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-   -   4/4: Aqueduct Main Opener (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=11586)

Kasept 04-04-2007 06:19 AM

4/4: Aqueduct Main Opener
 
Came agoinizingly close to a terrific score at Tampa Tuesday as Longshot Exotic player So Bling Bling fails to hang on to third in the Oldsmar nightcap. Earlier, the P4 slipped away when Forever Jamie was wiped out at the start of a DQ-affected 7th. Second choice candidates won the other three quad tests. Interesting afternoon...

The Aqueduct Main opens today at Ozone Park in advance of Saturday's Wood Memorial Card, and there is a chance that grass racing returns to NY this weekend as well. As is the tradition, here's the whole opening day sequence...


AQUEDUCT

POST-Scratches.. Supers in 5th, 9th..

1st: CLM, 4+, 6f (DD) SCR: 3

2. #2e Levine entry 5-2
2. #8 My True 6-1
A. #1e Contessa entry 7-2 2nd/4th
B. #7 Unswept 4-1 3rd


2nd: MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P3, P4)

1. #2 Tsuris 7-2 WON
2. #3 Chaldean's Rocket 10-1 3rd
A. #4 Clickitorticket 4-1
B. #8 Mighty Thor 4-1 2nd

$1 Exacta 2-8 $21.30
$1 Quinella 2-8 $9.50
$1 Trifecta 2-8-3 $160.25



3rd: NYB-ALW/N2X, 3+, 7f (P3)

1. #1 D Money 8-1 2nd
2. #6 Doctor Freud 3-1
A. #7 He's a Lumberjack 8-1 4th
B. #5 Precise Alloy 2-1


4th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P6, P3)

Hard for me to not put colt in which I had 10% stake on top..

1. #3 Funny Boy 2-1 2nd
2. #6 Debbiesprettyboy 5-1 3rd
A. #1 Al's Lark 8-5 WON
B. #5 Almost Persuaded 6-1

$1 Exacta 1-3 $4.85
$1 Quinella 1-3 $3.30
$1 Trifecta 1-3-6 $11.30



5th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 1m (Grand Slam, P3) SCR: 2

1. #8 Not On My Turf 4-1 WON @ 1-1
2. #9 Private Town 20-1 2nd @ 37-1
A. #6 Eye for Style 7-2 3rd @ 3-1
B. #1 Bonus Size 6-1 4th @ 5-1


$1 Exacta 8-9 $31.50
$1 Trifecta 8-9-6 $113.00



6th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 6f (P4, DD) SCR: 2,3,7.. No Triefecta

1. #6 Victorious Affair 3-1 WON
2. #4 Winaway 10-1 3rd
3. #8 Jack's Away 2-1


7th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3) SCR: 3.. No Superfecta

1. #2 GRAND REFER 5-2 WON
2. #1 Market Psychology 3-1
A. #4 Smokin Warrior 4-1 4th
B. #6 Trust Nobody 5-1 3rd

$1 Pick-3 8/6/2 $26.00


8th: ALW/N2L, 3+, 6f (DD) SCR: 1-7

1. #5 Abraaj 2-1 WON
2. #8 Memphis Mon 5-1
A. #3 Mass Charles 6-1 2nd
B. #7 SCR Sub: #4 Kong's Revenge


9th: NYB-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 1m SCR: 6, 8, 11

1. #3 Hali Sings 6-1
2. #8 SCR
A. #1 Pegasus Son 3-1 3rd
B. #10 Fiddler's Princess 7-2 WON

SCR SUB: #7 Flash Lightening 9-2 2nd

$1 Exacta 10-7 $25.00
$1 Trifecta 10-7-1 $64.00



<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-4-6-8
7: 2
8: 3-5-8
9: 1-3-7-10

4x1x3x4 = $48

$1 Pick-3 2/5/10 3 of 3 $21.40
$1 Pick-4 6/1,2,3/1,5,7/10 $121.75



NO P6 PLAY..

@ http://www.attheracesandbeyond.com/handicapping.html
$2 Pick-6 1/2,5,8/6/1,2,3/1,5,7/10 (5 of 6) $14.40 (x8)
$2 Pick-6 1/2,5,8/6/1,2,3/1,5,7/10 (6 of 6) $512.00


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 04-04-2007 10:15 AM

AQU Changes/Scratches
 
Number of program changes at the Big A with rain in forecast. Listed FAST for now...

http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/AQU-changes.asp

pmacdaddy 04-04-2007 10:21 AM

Steve,

Glad to see you like D Money in 3rd. I went through PP's last night and liked him a lot at 8-1. Especially returning to what I think is his preferred distance. As long as he gets some pace to close into I think he has a good shot.

Have to admit he is a sentimental favorite of mine, after my brother and I made a mint on him in his 2 starts at Saratoga last summer.

Think I will take a shot at early pick4 with him as single.

2,3,4 / 1 / 1,3,6 / 6,8,9 - $27

Good Luck Today

Pat

jaripeo 04-04-2007 10:22 AM

STEVE: I just wonder what do you think of Kong´s Revenge :
He comes with Lasix 1th time, good patron of workouts, some of them SHARPS. Run not bad in THe Futurity. From a good Sire with blood of the fast Dixieland.
¿How come you didnt used in you Picks?

Kasept 04-04-2007 10:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jaripeo
STEVE: I just wonder what do you think of Kong´s Revenge :
He comes with Lasix 1th time, good patron of workouts, some of them SHARPS. Run not bad in THe Futurity. From a good Sire with blood of the fast Dixieland.
¿How come you didnt used in you Picks?

Added Kong's Revenge just now as Scratch Sub with #7 Spiriton out..

dellinger63 04-04-2007 10:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jaripeo
STEVE: I just wonder what do you think of Kong´s Revenge :
He comes with Lasix 1th time, good patron of workouts, some of them SHARPS. Run not bad in THe Futurity. From a good Sire with blood of the fast Dixieland.
¿How come you didnt used in you Picks?

IMO he's not fast enough with these and his 3-1 ML is a joke. That said I'd probably back Memphis Mon and his 5-1 ML

dellinger63 04-04-2007 10:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Added Kong's Revenge just now as Scratch Sub with #8 Spiriton out..

Steve Spiriton is the 7. Memphis is the 8

Kasept 04-04-2007 10:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dellinger63
Steve Spiriton is the 7. Memphis is the 8

Thx Dell. G/L today!!

blackthroatedwind 04-04-2007 10:53 AM

Two things....

D Money. Have you taken a good look at the make-up of this race? There is very little speed which works directly into the hands of the mediocre favorite Precise Alloy. All things being equal only stalker He's a Lumberjack will be in a favorable enough position to possibly defeat the favorite and win the race. How anyone could like a deep closer like D Money considering today's race dynamics is beyond me.

Kong's Revenge.....he was scratched AT THE GATE two weeks ago. No thanks.

pmacdaddy 04-04-2007 11:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Two things....

D Money. Have you taken a good look at the make-up of this race? There is very little speed which works directly into the hands of the mediocre favorite Precise Alloy. All things being equal only stalker He's a Lumberjack will be in a favorable enough position to possibly defeat the favorite and win the race. How anyone could like a deep closer like D Money considering today's race dynamics is beyond me.

Kong's Revenge.....he was scratched AT THE GATE two weeks ago. No thanks.


I agree that if pace does not materialize, D Money is done for.

However, I didn't necessarily see Precise Alloy as lone speed in here. I would think #6 Doctor Freud will be contesting pace on cutback in dist. Also #7 He's a Lumberjack has showed speed in some previous 7F races and I think Belly Rub could get caught up as well. If that Happens, I think D money is legit at a price.

That was my rationale. If Precise alloy sets soft uncontested fractions, I agree D Money is not a winner.

blackthroatedwind 04-04-2007 11:33 AM

I have no argument that D Money is one of the three best horses in the race at the very least. However, I do not see the pace you are suggesting materializing.

We shall see.

whodey17 04-04-2007 12:26 PM

I LOVE race 2. Prob wont hit it, but it is a nice looking race. Look at all the horses who burned money as the fav and didnt produce. This also could be one of the slowest races of the meet at this distance. Monetary Policy had every chance to win the last time out but he didnt switch leads and didnt get by. Tsuris is just a plodder in my mind and RD gets off this one. Prob wont get in the money today. I like a long shot play The Vin Man the 1 horse. Gets the rail, should go to the lead and prob could wire this field. Forgot to list my bet. I dont want to get accussed of red boarding. My play is $50 ATB on the 1 The Vin Man.

blackthroatedwind 04-04-2007 12:29 PM

What about The Vin Man's one race makes him the speed here? He wasn't close at a mile.

whodey17 04-04-2007 12:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by whodey17
I LOVE race 2. Prob wont hit it, but it is a nice looking race. Look at all the horses who burned money as the fav and didnt produce. This also could be one of the slowest races of the meet at this distance. Monetary Policy had every chance to win the last time out but he didnt switch leads and didnt get by. Tsuris is just a plodder in my mind and RD gets off this one. Prob wont get in the money today. I like a long shot play The Vin Man the 1 horse. Gets the rail, should go to the lead and prob could wire this field. Forgot to list my bet. I dont want to get accussed of red boarding. My play is $50 ATB on the 1 The Vin Man.

Tsuris got it done. Surprised me a little. I didnt think he could get it done. But he liked the track and looked good coming for home. Tough trip for the 1 horse. Thought he might show a little more speed today, but maybe we will get them next time.

Kasept 04-04-2007 12:41 PM

Sure would have liked to see 'Chaldean' get past Thor.. Helped the Tri ($160.00) but would have really JUICED it second... Gave us a good run though at 17-1...

ARyan 04-04-2007 12:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cmfhb411
I tried Memphis Mon in my pick-3s over a week ago. And I think it's a big "thumbs up" (from rider and trainer) that he's running today.
Abraaj is an obvious threat. The only other one who I'd give an outside ( far outside ) look to is Lemon Drop King. And if Kong's Revenge gets this, he'll do it without me backing him.

And I think Kasept's got the right top three in the 1st today. Too bad Golden Gator didn't scratch today, because I like the other two betting interests better. Fairly Crafty doesn't concern me in the least. I feel like I'm forced to include the 2 entry in my exbox. So you know I want 1-8 or 8-1 here.

Good luck everyone.

I too like the looks of Memphis Mon and Lemon Drop King. We shall see.

blackthroatedwind 04-04-2007 12:47 PM

What was tough about the Vin Man's trip?

Antitrust32 04-04-2007 12:59 PM

man i really hope they scratch funny boy in this slop. slop is not good for a horse who has had issues before.. :(


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