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-   -   2/28: Gulfstream (P6 Carry) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=10328)

Kasept 02-28-2007 05:48 AM

2/28: Gulfstream (P6 Carry)
 
Month ends with a nice roll going as the weekend produced GP P4 hits worth a combined $570 on a $132 investment. Fountain of Youth week seems to have racing secretary Dave Bailey working harder to card better events, as Wednesday's fare is better than fair.


GULFSTREAM (4th-9th)


DD's (4th-8th), P3's (4th-7th), Supers in all..


4th: CLM, 4+, 9f (P6)

1. #4 Halos Sailing Sain 3-1: Competitive to deep stretch in Donn; Dictates pace.. 3rd
2. #6 Touched by Madness 4-1: Plesa 5yo has been turfing, but looks a fit.. WON
3. #1 Wiggins 2-1: Away since Clark but Romans barn hitting board now.. 2nd

$2 Exacta 6-1 $57.60
$1 Trifecta Box $61.20



5th: MSW, 4yo, 9f-T

1. #5 Mantle 3-1: Team Valor slugger exits good fray; goes 2nd off long break..
2. #2 Dynaski 6-1: Came next after top tab in that 1/17/07 event.. 2nd
A. #9 With Honour 12-1: Respect Sheppard runner who whacked gate in OTT debut.. 3rd
B. #8 The Cuban Hawk 4-1: Hushion adds blinks to Barry K. player..


6th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P4)

Murderously tough group to decipher with return of Magical Ride and runbacks by 4 last-out maiden-breakers.. Spread here starting P4's..

1. #8 Quality Affair 6-1: Jerkens' bay has it right now; offers best value in brutal scramble..
2. #3 Silverinyourpocket 5-2: Pitts hot; silly ML number on likely third choice.. WON
A. #6 Magical Ride 4-1: Victory Ride's daughter away since September; working well.. 2nd
B. #7 Extra Classy 3-1: Classic Pletcher runner comment line: "3 wide, drew off"..

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #1 Rodeo Drive 10-1: Plesa-Padua princess intriguing at price off diploma score and with addition of rally king Kent D.. 3rd

$2 Exacta 3-6 $39.80
$1 Trifecta Box $179.40



7th: CLM, 3yo, 8.5f-T

1. #7 Artie Hot 4-1: OK v. stakes placers Sedgefield & Le Dauphin in race 2 back.. 2nd
2. #5 Impressive Command 10-1: Mott grey aced exam at $32k last..
A. #2 Iron Man Surprise 20-1: Had trip from hell last; moves to Guid..
B. #3 On My Dime 3-1: Ignore off turf fiasco; faced good ones at CRC, LRL..

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #8 Fair Weather Stan 6-1: Lack of pace factors could give last-out winner repeat scenario; takes them at least to stretch.. WON

$1 EX $79.40


8th: ALW/N2X, 4+, 1m

1. #2 Justa Streak 5-2: Deserving fave demolished name foes last; 2/2 GP; stretches..
2. #4 Political Force 6-1: "Chief" enjoying best meet in long time; grey a board regular.. WON
A. #5 Greeley's Legacy 6-1: Preakness also-ran bulleted for 2nd off break..
B. #7 Barbican 4-1: Darley-bred A.P. Indy was heralded 'back when'..


9th: MDN CLM, 4yo-F, 8.5f-T

1. #1 Rose of Geri 4-1: Mott miss showed some interest in grass debut..
2. #2 My Own Story 3-1: McPeek going well and Desormeaux just missed with her.. WON
A. #5 Lady in the Pulpit 12-1: Castro rides back and he certainly could have others here..
B. #4 Dutiful 15-1: Tricky Vicki scored with Meadowlands bombs '2nd career start'..

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #8 Cheektowaga 8-1: Bad 'Yielding' tries sandwich excellent effort; Douglas doesn't hurt..


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 4-6
5: 5
6: 3-6-8
7: 2-3-5-7
8: 2-4
9: 1-2

2x1x3x4x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 3-6-7-8
7: 3-5-7
8: 2-4
9: 1-2

4x3x2x2 = $48


<$25 P3 Saver:

7: 2-3-5-7-8
8: 2
9: 1-2-4-5-8

5x1x5 = $25


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 02-28-2007 10:25 AM

Gulfstream Park Changes : Wednesday Feb. 28th 2007

Track // Fast --- Turf // Frim : Rail At 84 Feet

Partly Cloudy Low 80's

Pick 6 Carryover $ 26350.00

==race====horse ========

1 Jockey #7 Tba

3 Scr. #10 Great Taste

7 Scr. # 9 Bond Champ

8 Scr. #9 Pipers Thunder

9 Scr. #13 Bourbon Night

POINTGIVEN1985 02-28-2007 10:53 AM

it seems that you like mantle alot, im thinking about putting $100 to win on him and hoping i get 3-1

2MinsToPost 02-28-2007 10:54 AM

Race 6 I am very interested in Unbiased. Been racin at Laurel, then comes to Gulf and rolls in that 62500. I'll be playin this horse. Out the door in moments to the track on a nice pre spring day in the capital city.

estreetposse 02-28-2007 11:51 AM

R1) Early PK3's
456
26
237 = $18

6-6-2 $39.20 (for $1)

Saver PK3
56
123456
237 = $36

6-6-2 $39.20 (for $1)

R2) PK3
126
237
456 = $27

6-2-6= $97.40 (for $1)


gl all


-bt-

Kasept 02-28-2007 01:16 PM

Big hailstorm just through Lauderdale.. and heading towards Hallandale.. Will ruin the rest of card. Certainly off the turf... Tornado warnings issued too.

estreetposse 02-28-2007 01:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Big hailstorm just through Lauderdale.. and heading towards Hallandale.. Will ruin the rest of card. Certainly off the turf... Tornado warnings issued too.

"Newman"


-bt-

Kasept 02-28-2007 01:39 PM

$2 Exacta 6-1 $57.60
$1 Trifecta Box $61.20

Boy.. time to quit while we're ahead... How about that payoff in a six horse field?

estreetposse 02-28-2007 01:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
$2 Exacta 6-1 $57.60
$1 Trifecta Box $61.20

Boy.. time to quit while we're ahead... How about that payoff in a six horse field?


gotta love those $250K claimers

R5) throwing darts around Mantle
$2 ex. box
4789


-bt-

Kasept 03-01-2007 05:31 AM

Blew a huge score here yesterday making Fair Weather Stan the Longshot Alert play as opposed to keeping him in the body of main selections. (And he did start out in the body of the selection...)

Using the 5 horses suggested in the P3 play in the P4 would have boosted P4 cost to $80 from $48 and brought back $1,700. Sickening... And of course top pick and much the best Artie Hot should have won the race anyway had laughable Juan Leyva not moved too early on the runner up. (Wouldn't have paid $1,700 in that scenario of course.)

How Fair Weather Stan was allowed to go off at 19-1 is beyond me, (6-1 in ML), and shows how annoting it can be to 'publish' picks. Fair Weather Stan was "interesting and useable" at 6-1 when writing up the race in the morning, but was totally loveable at 19-1 at post time..

All the late action was there and I was unable to put them together properly. Hope you spread them together better than I did... And I won't even talk about the Aqueduct results which were similarly maddening...

SentToStud 03-01-2007 07:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Blew a huge score here yesterday making Fair Weather Stan the Longshot Alert play as opposed to keeping him in the body of main selections. (And he did start out in the body of the selection...)

Using the 5 horses suggested in the P3 play in the P4 would have boosted P4 cost to $80 from $48 and brought back $1,700. Sickening... And of course top pick and much the best Artie Hot should have won the race anyway had laughable Juan Leyva not moved too early on the runner up. (Wouldn't have paid $1,700 in that scenario of course.)

How Fair Weather Stan was allowed to go off at 19-1 is beyond me, (6-1 in ML), and shows how annoting it can be to 'publish' picks. Fair Weather Stan was "interesting and useable" at 6-1 when writing up the race in the morning, but was totally loveable at 19-1 at post time..

All the late action was there and I was unable to put them together properly. Hope you spread them together better than I did... And I won't even talk about the Aqueduct results which were similarly maddening...

If I'm wrong I apologize and I'm certainly not one to critique but I recall you noting a week or two back your P-4 plays might have even better results with slightly expanded tix, at least in some sequences. I think yesterday's 4 was one of those that may have merited a wider play for the sole reason that there were two limited claming turf races. In my experience these are the price generating races and when there are two of them in the 4, ....

Your handicapping is truly outstanding and scoring yesterday on a small ticket was very tough. I played a 2x5x2x6 ticket and was live going into the last but I left out My Own Story and ran 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 6th, 7th and 8th.

Keep up the great work!

As an aside, you're being too kind in your Juan Leyva reference. I see him ride 3 or 4 a day at Calder and do not believe I have seen him ever win on anything but the much the best horse.

plahotnyu 03-01-2007 09:27 AM

"I blew a huge score yesterday," Steve stated.

Steve, I have been here only a few days, and in this time I've noted what you've hit/cashed each day. What you've missed by a hair, as well.

At the same time, noting the number of people that are READING every one of your picks. I'm sure many are using these, some, maybe, without time for their own handicapping.

Don't fret when you don't hit, certainly, not with apology to others in mind. The fact that you do this, willingly, each day is beyond generous. It's unheard of. Handicappers all over the country sell their picks daily to the buying public.

Where online can anyone find 600-800 reads each day on a thread where someone has posted their tickets early, applying changes for scratches, etc, all the while, sharing with others?

Much good racing luck today--its what you should hear and know is coming your way, each day.


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