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-   -   Youbet Handicapping Shows (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=10276)

blackthroatedwind 02-26-2007 11:43 AM

Youbet Handicapping Shows
 
Beginning with the first weekend of April I will be hosting a handicapping show available to Youbet customers entitled " Playing to Win ". We will be doing about 20 shows throughout the year focusing on big race days and they will include handicapping segments where I will be joined by other handicappers such as Andy Beyer, Steve Crist, Mike Watchmaker and Steve Davidowitz. We plan to talk about the big races on these days but more importantly focus on our specific strategies and ideas for how to best make money on these specific days and races. While we will focus on the marquee races we are not necessarily limited to these races.

The shows will also include other segments, such as betting strategies, trip handicapping and many other handicapping ideas. Hopefully we will also be offering some more random replays for a " horses to watch " segment as well. We are very interested in thoughts and suggestions as the idea is to not only offer opinions but, more importantly, try and help make all of us better players. Any ideas for topics anyone here would like to see discussed would be most welcome. Also, I imagine we will offer a way to communicate through Youbet and they should be setting this up shortly.

And, oh yeah, there should be some kind of " Beat Andy " contest so that any of you eager for the easy task of " out-handicapping " me will finally get your, I'm sure, long awaited opportunity.

Scav 02-26-2007 11:55 AM

So is this going to be shown in the morning on Saturday on Youbet or do they mail us a link?

A "Blinkers Off" mentality would be great, I would watch you yelling at Beyer or Watchmaker, would be great online video

blackthroatedwind 02-26-2007 11:58 AM

They should be available early Friday on the day before the races. I wouldn't say they will necessarily be overly contentious but I expect there to be at least some healthy disagreement. If you are at all familiar with the Siro's Seminars you might know at least some of what to expect.

CapperZeke 02-26-2007 12:08 PM

Andy,

I would like to see you guys address equipment changes and what they do for a horse. I'm never sure why a trainer adds/drops blinkers on a horse. Also, how about a discussion on stretchouts/turnbacks?

Do you know if this will be a video feed or just audio?

The Indomitable DrugS 02-26-2007 12:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
And, oh yeah, there should be some kind of " Beat Andy " contest so that any of you eager for the easy task of " out-handicapping " me will finally get your, I'm sure, long awaited opportunity.

HRTV/ExpressBet did the same sort of thing....and to promote it, they had a crazed looking Jeff Siegel put on a crown, purple cape, and one of those gold things king's sometimes carry with them.

They get him to glare into the camera, and say "think you can out-handicap me? Puh! No one out-handicaps the king!"

I only hope YouBet is as creative in promoting that contest.

I remember about five or so years ago, Crist did one of those contests (I also believe for Youbet) During the promotional print ads for it, I think the photo they were using of his came straight from his high school yearbook.

blackthroatedwind 02-26-2007 12:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CapperZeke
Andy,

I would like to see you guys address equipment changes and what they do for a horse. I'm never sure why a trainer adds/drops blinkers on a horse. Also, how about a discussion on stretchouts/turnbacks?

Do you know if this will be a video feed or just audio?

It will be video. We are using a terrific, and very professional, studio in NYC.

I definitely plan on talking a lot about turnbacks as well as stretchouts. Equipment changes is an excellent idea. Thanks.

point given 02-26-2007 12:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Beginning with the first weekend of April I will be hosting a handicapping show available to Youbet customers entitled " Playing to Win ". We will be doing about 20 shows throughout the year focusing on big race days and they will include handicapping segments where I will be joined by other handicappers such as Andy Beyer, Steve Crist, Mike Watchmaker and Steve Davidowitz. We plan to talk about the big races on these days but more importantly focus on our specific strategies and ideas for how to best make money on these specific days and races. While we will focus on the marquee races we are not necessarily limited to these races.

The shows will also include other segments, such as betting strategies, trip handicapping and many other handicapping ideas. Hopefully we will also be offering some more random replays for a " horses to watch " segment as well. We are very interested in thoughts and suggestions as the idea is to not only offer opinions but, more importantly, try and help make all of us better players. Any ideas for topics anyone here would like to see discussed would be most welcome. Also, I imagine we will offer a way to communicate through Youbet and they should be setting this up shortly.

And, oh yeah, there should be some kind of " Beat Andy " contest so that any of you eager for the easy task of " out-handicapping " me will finally get your, I'm sure, long awaited opportunity.

Will the Siro's " dunce cap " be in play ?

I think you should have Mullins on to inform all of us on all the methods a trainer can use that the betting public is unaware of. IE - shoes, bits, nosebands, cornell collars, meds. etc. etc. Any one or combination of these may significantly effect how the horse runs, positive or negative. ALSO, a segment on feet, mud feet and turf feet. One more reason for bettors to attend live racing ( or have someone on track to phone them),

blackthroatedwind 02-26-2007 12:41 PM

I had wanted to get away from having trainers on as in the specific it is virtually impossible for them to speak candidly about their horses. However, you bring up a good point, and I think having a trainer on to talk about equipment changes and strategies could prove very useful. Thanks.

WillSmith 02-26-2007 12:49 PM

trip handicapping is probably the least scientific and most subjective of all handicapping. I look forward to hearing your views on this subject. I know I have tons to learn.

blackthroatedwind 02-26-2007 12:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by point given
Will the Siro's " dunce cap " be in play ?


Absolutely.

blackthroatedwind 02-26-2007 12:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by robfla
trip handicapping is probably the least scientific and most subjective of all handicapping. I look forward to hearing your views on this subject. I know I have tons to learn.

I plan to talk about this quite often and use replays both pertinant to the races we are covering and from races run during the previous week or weeks to give observations.

point given 02-26-2007 12:56 PM

Einstein
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I plan to talk about this quite often and use replays both pertinant to the races we are covering and from races run during the previous week or weeks to give observations.

You can use the past saturdays Gulfstream Handicap race as your first example. Using the trips of Jambalaya and Einstein as a case in point. J from the 3 post saves ground all the way, while Bejarano takes E from the 10 post, 4-5 wide throughout, to miss by less than a length.

Sightseek 02-26-2007 01:04 PM

Congrats on this new venture Blackthroatedwind. :)

blackthroatedwind 02-26-2007 01:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek
Congrats on this new venture Blackthroatedwind. :)


Thanks. I'm really looking forward to it and have high hopes that the shows will be both informative and a lot of fun. The people at Youbet have been terrific and very positive about my ideas for them.

KY_Sasquash 02-26-2007 01:09 PM

Are these shows going to be available to only youbet users? or will they be on the other sites as well-sometimes the DRF has them on their site as well.

blackthroatedwind 02-26-2007 01:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KY_Sasquash
Are these shows going to be available to only youbet users? or will they be on the other sites as well-sometimes the DRF has them on their site as well.


The DRF shows you see on DRF Plus on the weekends are seperate shows I do every week with Dan Illman. While I will continue to do those they are not related to the Youbet show.

DRF is involved with " Playing to Win " but I do not know if the content will be available at least before the races are run at DRF.

MisterB 02-26-2007 01:19 PM

What about pedigree discusions on the entries?

blackthroatedwind 02-26-2007 01:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MisterB
What about pedigree discusions on the entries?


It's hardly one of my areas of expertise and I am also dubious about how useful it is in handicapping. I do look up produce records for horses trying the turf for the first time but I don't recommend people using pedigree information for trying to predict performance ( other than first time turfers ).

Sightseek 02-26-2007 01:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
It's hardly one of my areas of expertise and I am also dubious about how useful it is in handicapping. I do look up produce records for horses trying the turf for the first time but I don't recommend people using pedigree information for trying to predict performance ( other than first time turfers ).

Do you look at 'first time starter' sire stats on maidens?

blackthroatedwind 02-26-2007 01:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek
Do you look at 'first time starter' sire stats on maidens?


Not particularly. Frankly I look at maiden races loaded with firsters as necessary evils and more for gathering information for the future. The betting will tell you much more than pedigree info.


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