Derby Trail Forums - 9/24: Parx ~ PA Derby/Cotillion Day (5th-13th)

PHILADELPHIA PARX

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: PA-Prince Lucky, 2yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Gordian Knot 2-1 WON ($2.80)
Next Best: #4 Ninetyprcentmaddie 9-5 Gate SCR
Exotics Use: #9 In Spades 5-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Keithsendshelloooo 8-1 2nd

6th: PA-Plum Pretty, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Leader of the Band 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #7 Trolley Ride 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Love in the Air 4-1 WON ($7.50)
Exotics Use: #4 Midnight Obsession 6-1 4th

7th: Parx Dirt Mile, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Too Boss 9-2 6th
Best Value: #8 Derby House 5-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Mind Control 6-5 WON ($3.20)
Exotics Use: #7 Milton the Monster 12-1 7th

8th: Greenwood Cup (G3), 3+, 12f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Magic Michael 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Fearless 6-5 7th
Best Value: #5 Riden With Biden 8-1 WON ($19.20)
Exotics Use: #7 The Reds 5-1 8th

P4 Grid:

5: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-8 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x4 = $48 ($24 for .50)
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

9th: Turf Monster (G3), 3+, 5f-T (Must Pay Philly 5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Boat's a Rockin 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 That's Right 3-1 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Uncle Ernie 8-1 9th
Super Add: #9 Breezy Gust 10-1 6th

10th: Gallant Bob (G3), 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #12 Alottahope 10-1 12th
Next Best: #8 Witty 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Provocateur 4-1 8th
Super Add: #9 Runninsonofagun 6-1 3rd

P4 Grid:

7: 2-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-8 (A), - (B), 5-7 (C)
9: 1-7 (A), 5-9 (B), - (C)
10: 8-12 (A), 3-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (5-7 in 8th): 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

11th: Cotillion (G1), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Green Up 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Adare Manor 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Shahama 8-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Gerrymander 8-1 8th

12th: PA Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Best Value: #4 Skippylongstocking 10-1 9th
Next Best: #5 Cyberknife 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Taiba 5-2 WON ($4.80)
Super Add: #1 Zandon 5-1 2nd

13th: PA-Alphabet Soup, 3+, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #6 Midnight Hauler 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Buy Land and See 5-2 WON ($3.80)
Exotics Use: #7 You Must Chill 3-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Wait for It 6-1 5th

Must Pay P5 Grid:

9: 1-7 (A), 5-9 (B), - (C)
10: 8-12 (A), - (B), 3-9 (C)
11: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), 3-5-6-9 (C)
12: 4-5-8 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
13: 6 (A), 1 (B), 7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups ($72): $18 (3-9 in 10th) $24 (3-5-6-9 in 11th) + $12 (1-6 in 12th) + $18 (7 in 13th)

P4 Grid:

10: 8-12 (A), 3-9 (B), - (C)
11: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), 3-5-6-9 (C)
12: 4-5-8 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)
13: 1-6 (A), - (B), 7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x5x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups ($33): $24 (3-5-6-9 in 11th) + $9 (7 in 13th)

Good luck!
Steve