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-   -   1/11: Gulfstream (6th-11th; 3yo MSW Notes) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=67250)

Kasept 01-11-2020 07:02 AM

1/11: Gulfstream (6th-11th; 3yo MSW Notes)
 
GULFSTREAM PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 3yo, 6f

Bear Alley a half to Maraud (who runs in the 10th) & Arklow, while Awakened a half to Imagining; Silver Ratio, Guaco, Tio Will, Bourbon Street all are out of stakes-winning mares.

Most Likely: #7 Mr. Philly Dilly 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Silver Ratio 4-1 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #9 Tio Wil 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Guaco 8-1 5th


3rd: MSW, 3yo, 1m

Kingmeister a half to Strike Power..

Most Likely: #2 TELEPHONE TALKER 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Bourbon Wisdom 10-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Awesome Party 6-1 10th
Exotics Use: #1 Kingmeister 9-2 WON ($13.20)


4th: MSW, 3yo, 6f

Epic West a half to Threefiveindia..

Best Value: #2 Violent City 10-1 WON ($17.80)
Next Best: #1 Palm Springs 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Touchpoint 10-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Epic West 3-1 9th


6th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Militarist (Unbridled's Song) a half to Little Mike (the best son of Spanish Steps.. Unbridled's Song brother); Clifton Park a half to Bankit; Don Bourbon out of SW Padua mare Juanita..

Best Value: #4 Militarist 6-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Unrighteous 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Don Bourbon 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #10 Caracaro 7-2 WON ($6.20)


7th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Ny Traffic 9-2 WON ($6.00)
Next Best: #8 Moon Over Miami 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Sounion 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #1 Tiz Rye Time 10-1 4th


8th: Marshua's River (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T/120' (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Andina Del Sur 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Sweet Bye and Bye 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Munchkin Money 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 Magic Star 9-2 WON ($7.20)


9th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Endorsed 9-5 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #9 Brasstown 12-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Fortune Cookie 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Cutting Humor 7-2 3rd


10th: Tropical Park Turf (G3), 4+, 1m-T/60' (DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #9 Exulting 6-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Maraud 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Tusk 8-1 WON ($19.00)
Super Add: #8 A Thread of Blue 5-2 4th


11th: CLM/N3L, 4+, 8.5f-T/120' (Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 Keep It Up 8-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Honey Don't 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #1 Saratoga Colonel 9-2 WON ($6.60)
Super Add: #8 Iconic 7-2 7th
Hi-5 Play: #2 Krachenwagen Late SCR


P5 Grid:

7: 4-5-8 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C)
8: 4-5 (A), - (B), 2-3-7 (C)
9: 2 (A), - (B), 9 (C)
10: 2-9 (A), 4-6-8 (B), - (C)
11: 1-6-10 (A), 2/SCR-8 (B), 12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x1x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 3x2x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-5 (5/3/2,8,11,12/6/1,2,13,14,15,16) Paid $7.35 (4OF5)


P4 Grid:

8: 3-4-5-7 (A), - (B), 2 (C)
9: 2 (A), - (B), 9 (C)
10: 2-9 (A), 4-6-8 (B), - (C)
11: 1-6-8-10 (A), 2/SCR-12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x5x6 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 4x1x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $16

$0.50 Pick-4 (3/2,8,11,12/6/1,2,13,14,15,16) Paid $152.20


Good luck!
Steve

moses 01-11-2020 09:12 AM

Thanks and good luck Steve.

The pace scenario for the Tropical Park Turf looks like it could really hinder A Thread of Blue and help Exulting so I’m with you 100% there. Also going to take a shot on a bomb there and include Gunnison who ran into some trouble last time out. That should be a nice betting race.

I feel the same way about Spiced Perfection later in the day at Santa Anita. Definitely some value today. Hopefully we can all cash some nice tickets.

knickslions2 01-11-2020 10:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moses (Post 1133940)
Thanks and good luck Steve.

The pace scenario for the Tropical Park Turf looks like it could really hinder A Thread of Blue and help Exulting so I’m with you 100% there. Also going to take a shot on a bomb there and include Gunnison who ran into some trouble last time out. That should be a nice betting race.

I feel the same way about Spiced Perfection later in the day at Santa Anita. Definitely some value today. Hopefully we can all cash some nice tickets.

Gunnison scratched

moses 01-11-2020 10:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 1133944)
Gunnison scratched

Oh darn. I checked the scratches and totally missed that. Thanks.

Bogey 01-12-2020 07:56 AM

Steve, solid work. Saffie firing on all cylinders. He basically gave Ny Traffic on ATR.

Jackson 01-12-2020 09:19 AM

Thanks Steve for the tip on Violent City in the 4th, probably would have over looked him.

moses 01-12-2020 11:16 AM

Great job Steve.

Kasept 01-14-2020 03:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bogey (Post 1133994)
Steve, solid work. Saffie firing on all cylinders. He basically gave Ny Traffic on ATR.

THX Gus.. Until indicated to the contrary, appears Joseph has to be taken seriously. He sure made it clear on air last week that he was excited about Ny Traffic.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jackson (Post 1133996)
Thanks Steve for the tip on Violent City in the 4th, probably would have over looked him.

My pleasure Jax.. Violence hitting at a 20% clip first out and just enough worktab hint from Donald Harris at PMM to reach for the price.



Quote:

Originally Posted by moses (Post 1134001)
Great job Steve.

Thanks Moishe! Fun day. Though it didn't return a fortune ($400+), I'd still like the P5 back. Didn't get her at all, but still was silly to relegate Magic Star to a C.


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