![]() |
Holiday Week/Weekend Stakes Beyers
SA American Oaks (G1): Rhea Moon-IRE 88 (Starspangledbanner-AUS) P. D'Amato/J. Hernandez
SA Malibu S (G1): Taiba 106 (Gun Runner) B. Baffert/M. Smith SA La Brea S (G1): Fun to Dream 94 (Arrogate) B. Baffert/J. Hernandez SA San Gabriel S (G2): Dicey Mo Chara-GB 96 (Adaay-IRE) L. Powell/J. Hernandez SA San Antonio S (G2): Country Grammer 99 (Tonalist) B. Baffert/L. Dettori SA Mathis Mile S (G2): One More Bid 91 (California Chrome) R. Hanson/R. Vazquez SA 2yo MSW (8.5f): Bletchley Park 81 (Nyquist) B. Baffert/J. Hernandez SA 2yo MSW (6f): Faustin 89 (Curlin) B. Baffert/R. Vasquez SA 2yo MSW (1m-T): Smart Code 69 (Honor Code) M. Glatt/K. Frey FG Untapable S: Pretty Mischievous 83 (Into Mischief) B. Walsh/B. Hernandez FG Tenacious S: Happy American 99 (Runhappy) N. Pessin/J. Graham FG Letellier Memorial S: Dazzling Blue 74 (Into Mischief) B. Cox/F. Geroux FG Buddy Diliberto S: Spooky Channel 96 (English Channel) J. Barkley/J. Graham FG Richard R. Scherer S: Surveillance 102 (Constitution) J. Desormeaux/J. Graham FG Gun Runner S: Jace's Road 93 (Quality Road) B. Cox/F. Geroux FG Sugar Bowl S: Corona Bolt 89 (Bolt d'Oro) B. Cox/F. Geroux FG Blushing K. D. S: Oliviaofthedesert 86 (Bernardini) W. Catalano/C. Lanerie FG Spanky Broussard S: Moon Swag 80 (Malibu Moon) B. Walsh/C. Lanerie FG 2yo MSW (8.5f): Banishing 82 (Ghostzapper) B. Walsh/B. Hernandez GP Tropical Park Derby: Golden Glider 86 (Ghostzapper) M. Casse/J. Morelos GP Tropical Park Oaks: Candy Light 84 (Candy Ride-ARG) H. Motion/J. Ortiz GP Janus S: Belgrano 98 (War Front) F. Russo/P. Lopez GP Abundantia S: Miss J McKay 86 (Hangover Kid) C. Clement/T. Gaffalione |
I am waiting to see the Malibu v LaBrea figs. If you use 102 for taiba the filly fig is a few points too high. I am not sure you can use less than 102 for him, and even that is sort of low, given he won by 4+ lengths
|
I know he was odds on and much the best.
However, I thought Mike Smiths ride on TAIBA yesterday was very good. He clearly knows that horse very well. Have to think that sews up a 3yo Eclipse. Agree? |
Quote:
|
Quote:
Hard ridden throughout, struggled to match strides with the unheralded Straight No Chaser (who by the looks of his stride in the stretch--and subsequent wilt--could use a few months off), and did just enough to keep a bunch of midwest allowance horses and some old Santa Anita Derby also-rans from putting any pressure on him late. My prediction for the rest of his career: 2nd in the Saudi Cup last in the San Diego retired To be fair, that could be Country Grammer's 2023 campaign, too. |
Quote:
|
106 for Malibu and 94 for Labrea... Tough number to make
|
Quote:
Country Grammer looked good beating Stilleto Boy; puts him in the top 100 of horses that raced in 2022 for sure... |
Quote:
|
Quote:
Not sure Eclipse voters take field strength into account that much. Three Grade 1's vs one for Epicenter makes me think Taiba will get the nod. |
Quote:
And if he did run an improved race, what does that mean in the greater scheme of things? I suppose he can win the Big Cap and/or Hollywood Gold Cup (but he likely won't cuz he'll probably go to the middle east). If you think his Dubai World Cup was some sort of landmark performance, I'm pretty sure most of the also-rans in that race were coming from the middle east's answer to Mahoning Valley... |
Quote:
Epicenter's Travers was the best route run by a 3-year-old in '22 I think Taiba will win as well. If you are using 106 for Taiba, Forbidden Kingdom did run well. I think FK ran his regular 96/7 and hasn't improved. Taiba hasn't sprinted since his mdn race. I don't think he ran his best sprint fig ever, not when meh fillies ran .24 slower an hour earlier. I have no problem with 106. It is a complex number to come up with as it hard to play it straight vs. the Labrea |
Quote:
|
Quote:
I give Taiba credit for still finishing fairly well after being taken a bit out of his game to chase the quick pace. The race was actually closer to a half a second faster than the La Brea ( if you correctly time the races ) but still, in relative terms, it was a bit underwhelming. Like Freddy, though, I give him a ton of credit for surviving the foolish early handling and think he's better than you do. I would vote for Epicenter, I intentionally do not have a vote, as 3YO champ but it's fair to say Taiba made more than a reasonable case to win the Eclipse. I wouldn't argue with someone that gave him the award, I just think overall Epicenter deserves it more. It's close. |
Quote:
I'm not sold on the whole "he's not a sprinter" post-race vibe from his connections; Smith is usually full of BS, it's not like Baffert can't put speed into a horse, and Taiba broke like a shot, dueled a rival into submission, and drew clear in 1:09+ (good for a triple digit BSF) in his belated career debut. Quote:
Still, Epicenter should have absolutely been in the Belmont and could have had the requisite classic win that would easily trump Taiba's manhandling of the overrated Forbidden Kingdom. |
Cyberknife deserves at least some discussion in this. Isn’t he the 3yo champ free and clear if the Dirt Mile goes his way?
|
Quote:
He might be third over Modern Games. Don't worry, Al will still ( eventually ) speak to you if you're honest. |
I'd write more on this subject, but I intentionally don't have a further opinion!:D
|
Quote:
Taiba lost to Cyberknife, while Epicenter trounced Cyberknife. |
Quote:
|
All times are GMT -5. The time now is 01:38 PM. |
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.