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-   -   1/26 (GP): Pegasus, Turf (G1's), McKnight, Bertie, Hooper, Prevoyante (G3's) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=65641)

Kasept 01-22-2019 11:02 AM

1/26 (GP): Pegasus, Turf (G1's), McKnight, Bertie, Hooper, Prevoyante (G3's)
 







RHT2004 01-22-2019 11:18 AM

I watched the BC Classic 3x today. IMO its an eyesore. I want no part of Accelerate.

freddymo 01-22-2019 11:57 AM

PatternofRec got screwed. The only horse that I can see winning other than Accelerate at this point is City of Light. If they both fall I guest Gunnervera has a 6/7% chance of winning?

How about that turf race? It's a real DUSSY for a 7 mil Grade 2.

Don't you wish these races were 2.0 mil and 750k respectively and saved all the manufactured hype around purse envy?

RHT2004 01-22-2019 12:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo (Post 1120825)
PatternofRec got screwed. The only horse that I can see winning other than Accelerate at this point is City of Light. If they both fall I guest Gunnervera has a 6/7% chance of winning?

How about that turf race? It's a real DUSSY for a 7 mil Grade 2.

Don't you wish these races were 2.0 mil and 750k respectively and saved all the manufactured hype around purse envy?

I think Bravazo has a shot. I also believe in Dallas Stewart. Couldn't the race collapse with the 3,5,6,7,12 all having speed and no clear horse to beat like Arrogate and Gun Runner.

RHT2004 01-22-2019 02:28 PM

The more i look, the more I could possibly see City of Light just bottoming this field out.

freddymo 01-22-2019 03:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004 (Post 1120826)
I think Bravazo has a shot. I also believe in Dallas Stewart. Couldn't the race collapse with the 3,5,6,7,12 all having speed and no clear horse to beat like Arrogate and Gun Runner.

Bravazo is a cool horse he runs whenever called upon but where is his race(figs) that elevates him to the top slot. I can see Gunnevara he likes the track his race at SPA was VERY good and the trainer knows what he is doing, that said he needs Accelerator to be subpar and City of Light who has run some terrific and fast races not to fire. The only other angle, and it's a flyer, is Audible pulls the ole TAP break rebreak Florida special.

knickslions2 01-23-2019 09:28 AM

Aerolithe could be live at 8-1 in the turf

RHT2004 01-23-2019 10:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 1120847)
Aerolithe could be live at 8-1 in the turf

Tough spot IMO.

RHT2004 01-23-2019 10:11 AM

That morning line in the turf feels off. Bricks could be favored. Yoshida could be lower in the dirt race. How is CM that much higher then Yoshida? Maybe Im wrong..... we shall see.

cakes44 01-25-2019 11:48 AM

A 12 lbs weight break for Magic Wand vs most of those seems significant.

JJP 01-25-2019 08:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 1120847)
Aerolithe could be live at 8-1 in the turf

I suspect she will be nowhere near 8-1. More like 4-1.

declansharbor 01-25-2019 08:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JJP (Post 1120948)
I suspect she will be nowhere near 8-1. More like 4-1.

That would then make 4 of the 10 entries at 4-1 or lower, imo.

Magic Wand, Yoshida, Bricks, and Aerolithe. Perhaps even Catapult.

GREAAAAT race, despite what i’ve read about it on Twitter. Seems like everyone is knocking the field, when I think it’s an awesome, competitive event.

GL tomorrow everyone!

JJP 01-26-2019 01:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by declansharbor (Post 1120949)
That would then make 4 of the 10 entries at 4-1 or lower, imo.

Magic Wand, Yoshida, Bricks, and Aerolithe. Perhaps even Catapult.

GREAAAAT race, despite what i’ve read about it on Twitter. Seems like everyone is knocking the field, when I think it’s an awesome, competitive event.

GL tomorrow everyone!

If Aerolithe is 4/1 then several of the others will rise. I suspect Magic Wand will be one, as she seems to want more firm going. Bricks is already 5/1, and I could see him coming up to 6/1 or so. Yoshida could be 7/2 instead of 5/2, and Catapult could easily go from 7/2 to 5/1.


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